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Enron and the Afghanistan military campaign
notwithstanding, the big story this February is the increased money flowing to
the Department of Defense and the myriad agencies (including defense) that have
tied programs to homeland security.
Counting the defense nuclear activities of the Department
of Energy, President George W. Bush’s defense request for Fiscal Year (FY)
2003 comes out at $396 billion, an overall 14 percent jump from 2002 and 12
percent after inflation adjustments.
Homeland security saw its FY’03 request almost double
over the 2002 request, going from $19.5 billion to $37.7 billion.
Even counting monies from the Emergency Response Fund targeted to
homeland security ($9.8 billion) for FY’02 still leaves a gap of 29.3 percent
between the two years.
Meanwhile, the increases for the13 agencies and offices
that comprise the U.S. intelligence community have gone largely unnoticed –
perhaps because, unlike defense and homeland security, they are secret.
Only in 1997 and 1998 was the veil lifted.
In those years, the director of Central Intelligence (DCI) and head of
the Central Intelligence Agency, publicly informed Congress that total U.S.
intelligence spending for those years was $26.6 billion and $26.7 billion,
respectively.
Despite the re-imposition of secrecy about the intelligence
budget, analysts and reporters have been able to estimate its inexorable rise. 1
In 1998, Tim Weiner, a reporter for the New York Times, noted that
intelligence would receive “the largest spending increase…in 15 years.”
Conservative estimates placed the community’s budget request at $27
billion-$28 billion, not including classification costs. 2
Over the next few years, estimated increases were modest
(see chart). There was much
talk of reform, of strengthening the DCI’s oversight of the community, even of
putting Pentagon agencies – the National Reconnaissance Office (NRO), the
National Imagery and Mapping Agency (NIMA), and the National Security Agency (NSA)
– under the DCI. But lapses in
the agencies – the CIA’s Aldrich Ames, the bombing of the Chinese embassy in
Belgrade attributed to outdated information, congressional displeasure with the
pace of modernization at NSA and NIMA, and the FBI’s Robert Hannsen – seemed
somehow to scuttle major systemic reforms.
More puzzling has been the perception (if not the fact) that no one was
held accountable for these missteps. And
funds were never cut as an incentive to improve performance.
Even Sept. 11 had a mixed effect. More money – $1.5 billion – was immediately poured into
intelligence and “situational awareness.”
Under the “U.S. Patriot Act” passed in October 2001, the FBI was
directed to reorient its activities from law enforcement to domestic
anti-terrorist intelligence activities. The
CIA was given broad powers to act overseas, while at home its reach was expanded
to include involvement in FBI surveillance operations and in the tracking of
terrorist financial activities by the Treasury Department 3
– this for an agency that, until his retirement at the end of the 106th
Congress in 2000, Sen. Daniel Patrick Moynihan advocated closing completely.
In the Intelligence Authorization Act for FY’02, the conference committee highlighted four priorities: (1) revitalizing the National Security Agency (NSA); (2) correcting deficiencies in human intelligence; (3) addressing the imbalance between intelligence collection and analysis; and (4) rebuilding a robust research and development program. 4
Some analysts believe $41 billion for the FY’03 request
is too high. However, when it comes
to the intelligence budget, Congress is less a watchdog and more of an advocate.
(Most often it bears down on the intelligence community when there is an
abuse of power or violations of law.) Moreover,
in addition to the comment by Rep. Jerry Lewis, R-Calif., comment on the percent
increase in the intelligence proposal from FY’02 to FY’03, 5
conferees made three observations in the FY’02 bill that point to their
receptivity to a large increase in FY’03.
Estimated Intelligence Community Spending FY1998-2003
in $Billions 7
| |
1998 |
1999 |
2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
| CIA |
3.0 |
|
3.0 |
3.5-4.0 |
3.5 |
5.0-5.5 |
| DIA |
1.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
| NIMA/DARO |
2.0+ |
|
|
|
|
|
| NRO |
6.0+ |
6.2 |
7.0 |
7.0 |
|
7.5+ |
| NSA |
4.0 |
|
3.7-3.8 |
3.7-4.0+ |
|
|
| TIARA
7.0-8.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
12-15 8 |
| FBI |
0.5 9 |
3.0 |
3.3 |
3.4 |
3.6 |
4.3 |
| Other |
3.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Total |
27.0+ |
29.0 |
29.5 |
29.5-31.5 |
33.0 |
9.3-41.3 10 |
| % Increase |
|
~5% |
1.7% |
0-6.4% |
8% |
25% |
1998 – Richard Stubbing, “Improving the Output of Intelligence,”
in Craig Eisendrath (ed.), National Insecurity: U.S. Intelligence After the
Cold War. Philadelphia: Temple University Press, 2000 (pp. 174 and 188).
(A Project of The Center for International Policy.)
1999 – “Secret Budget Figures Estimated,” Defense
Week, June 18, 2001 (p. 3); Tom Raum, “CIA Budget Disclosure
Considered,” Associated Press, Nov. 2, 1999.
2000 – Glenn Zorpette, “Making Intelligence Smarter,”
IEEE Spectrum, Jan. 2002 (pp. 38-43); “Secret Budget Figures
Estimated,” Defense Week, June 18, 2001 (p. 3);
“Senate Boosts Fnding for Intelligence,” Washington Post, Nov.
20, 1999 (p. A10).
2001 – Glenn Zorpette, “Making Intelligence Smarter,”
IEEE Spectrum, Jan. 2002 (pp. 38-43); “Secret Budget Figures
Estimated,” Defense Week, June 18, 2001 (p. 3).
2002 – “CIA Gets Increase For War on Terror,” The
Washington Times (AP), Feb. 6, 2002 (p. 8);
2003 – Tony Capaccio, “Pentagon Wants to Add $6 Bln For
Intelligence Over Five Years,” Bloomberg.com, Jan. 18, 2002; “CIA Gets
Increase For War on Terror,” The Washington Times (AP), Feb. 6, 2002
(p. 8); “Rep. Lewis remains
cautious on Air Force tanker lease,” Aerospace Daily, Feb.11, 2002 (p.
5).
CIA – Central Intelligence Agency
DIA – Defense Intelligence Agency
NIMA – National Imagery and Mapping Agency
DARO – Defense Airborne Reconnaissance Office
NRO – National Reconnaissance Office
NSA – National Security Agency
TIARA – Tactical Intelligence And Related Activities
1
Some specific dollar amounts are routinely revealed.
For FY’01 and FY’02, Congress set aside $27 million and $44
million, respectively, for the National Drug Intelligence Center in the
Department of Justice. In the same years, $216 million and $212 million were allocated for the CIA’s
Retirement and Disability Fund (Congressional Record, Oct. 2, 2000 (p.
S9578) and Conference Report 107-328).“Community Management”
received $145 million in FY’02 in the Intelligence Appropriations Act for
FY’02 (Public Law 107-108).
The FBI’s budget is public information, and the
request is the subject of congressional hearings as part of the Commerce,
State, and Justice appropriations act (for FY’02, Public Law 107-77).
Occasionally, funding for special projects becomes
known. In the DoD
Appropriations Act for FY’02, the House provided the Director of Central
Intelligence with $451 million to create a Counter-Terrorism and Operational
Response Transfer Fund. In the
final bill this line disappeared but was apparently subsumed in Chapter 3,
Sec. 303 dealing with transfers of funds for intelligence purposes from the
$1.5 billion allocation for the Defense Emergency Response Fund. (Public Law
107-117).
A few specific dollar additions to intelligence budgets
have been reported: $484 million for NRO, $245 million for “special Navy
activities” (communications intercept programs), and $51 million to begin
development of a replacement for the U.S. Air Force’s “Cobra Judy” seaborne
missile trajectory tracking system.
In Tony Capaccio, “Pentagon Wants to Add $6 Bln For Intelligence
Over Five Years,” Bloomberg.com, Jan. 18, 2002.
2 Craig Eisendrath, “U.S. Intelligence After
the Cold War: A Program for Reform,”
The Center for International Policy.
3 Jim McGee, “An Intelligence Giant in the Making,”
The Washington Post, Nov. 4, 2001 (p. A4).
4 House Conference Report 107-328
on the Intelligence Authorization Act for FY2002 (H.R. 2883), Dec. 6, 2001.
Rebuilding the NSA was the top priority in the FY’01 budget.
The conferees singled out the CIA to correct deficiencies in human
intelligence collection by re-evaluating its agent recruitment guidelines
so that “a new balance [can] be struck between potential gain and risk,
a balance that recognizes concerns about egregious human rights behavior
and law breaking.” Conferees
lamented the 1990s decline in budgets for analytical tasks, and decried
the use of research funds as “bill-payers” for other requirements.
5
Tony Capaccio, “Pentagon Wants to Add $6 Bln For Intelligence Over Five
Years,” Bloomberg.com, Jan. 18, 2002.
Rep. Lewis chairs the Subcommittee on Defense of the House Appropriations
Committee.
6 House Conference Report 107-328.
7 The FY’98-FY’02 dollar totals are found
in the sources indicated for each year.
The FY’03 dollar total is derived from the percentage increase over
the FY’02 total.
8 Capaccio notes that “analysts estimate the
Defense Department will allocate $12 billion to $15 billion” for military
intelligence, which makes sense only in the context of those agencies
directly supporting military intelligence: service intelligence
organizations, (mostly in the TIARA program), DIA, and perhaps NIMA.
9 The 1998 figure is for counterintelligence
only. Other years reflect the
entire FBI budget.
10 If the $1.5 billion added in for intelligence
and “situational awareness” as a result of Sep. 11 is considered a
one-time addition, the base total for FY’02 would fall from $33 billion to
$31.5 billion, which would produce the lower figure for FY’03.
This would accord with a Defense News report by Frank Tiboni,
“Intel Budget Likely To Stay Flat Despite Needs,” Oct. 15-21, 2001 (p.
38).
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