|
#19 - JRL 8258 - JRL Home
From: "Dale R. Herspring, Professor of Political Science, Kansas State
University" <falka@ksu.edu>
Subject: MOD/General Staff
Date: Thu, 17 Jun 2004
From all appearances, Russia is in the process of finally redefining the role
played by the General STaff and the MOD. Under the old document, the Minister of
Defense controlled the Armed Forces "via the Defense Ministry and the General
STaff." The latter was considered the center for operational control. This
caused tremendous problems as the MOD -- on occasion ignored orders from Ivanov
since it was up to them to implement them. Indeed, those who follow military
politics in Russia are well aware that a battle has been raging between Ivanov
and General Kvashnin since the former took over as defense minister.
The new law, however, makes it clear that the General Staff is subordinate to
the Mininister of Defense. It is no longer a "separate but equal" structure. In
fact, it will be up to the Minister of Defense to determine the General Staff's
prerogatives. While Ivanov has used the expected diplomatic language in
describing the changes he plans, suggesting that the General Staff has been
overburdened by worrying about "day-to-day" operations. "Specialists with the
very highest qualifications likethose concentrated in the General Staff ought to
be spending every day dealing with issues of strategy and the operational arts."
The message is clear, Kvashnin and his colleagues are to confine themselves to
long-term planning. As far as who will be in charge, Ivanov turned to the old
Soviet concept, "unity of command" noting that "there is one immutable constant
in military organization: the principle of one-man command and one-man military
control." Translation -- Ivanov is in charge period.
Things change slowly in Russia under Putin and the reader should not expect a
revitalized Military establishment tomorrow. The key, however, is that in many
ways, Kvashnin and some of his colleagues will no longer be able to stand in
Ivanov's way. If they do, they risk being "retired." It is too soon to say
whether Ivanov will use his newly gained power to push through meaningful
reforms. The latest exercise "Mobility - 2004" suggests that a major restruring
may, repeat may be in the offing. In any case, after several years, Moscow now
has a defense minister with the power needed to take on the General Staff. That
in itself is a major change.
|