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#15 - JRL 8206 - JRL Home
www.inthenationalinterest.com
What is the G-8 and Why is Russia in It?
May 12, 2004
By Ira Straus
Ira Straus is U.S. coordinator of the Committee on Eastern Europe and Russia in
NATO.
Russia’s involvement in the Group of 8 (G-8) is promising in both for Russia
and for the G-8. It is promising for Russia -- and for those Americans who want
a friendly and Westernizing Russia -- as the best venue thus far developed for
sustaining and strengthening Russia’s connection with the West. And it is
promising for the G-8 as an institution as a way of enhancing its own
importance.
There are opportunities in this situation that the West could be exploring.
Unfortunately, the West is damaging its interests by focusing its discussion
instead on thoughts of expelling Russia from the G-8.
The G-8 is a good fit for Russia. It is the widest major Western institution
geographically: it is both transatlantic and trans-Pacific. With Russia
included, it is now pan-North. The “North” is a grouping that has important
things its countries need to do together. When it is united, the world is fairly
cohesive; when it is divided, the world is torn into conflict as it was
throughout the twentieth century, Adding Russia has not detracted from the
Group’s identity, either in a purposive or a geographical sense; on balance it
has strengthened that identity by filling a hole in it.
The G-8 is also the widest-ranging of the Western institutions in its
subject-matter. It is open to dealing with every aspect of mutual cooperation
and of global governance -- everything, in fact, on which Russia and the Western
countries have common business. It has a better fit to the contours of
Russia-West business than most of the other Western institutions.
Further, the G-8 is an institution against which Russia has no Cold War
hang-ups. It, in turn, has no Cold War hang-ups against Russia, a virtue owed to
one of its vices: it has no permanent staff that could have accumulated such
hang-ups or “milieu culture.” As an institution, it has minimal structure; it
could probably use more baggage, but meanwhile it adapts easily. Its one sphere
of semi-formalized cooperation -- macroeconomic supervision and central bank
coordination on currency intervention -- is one that Russia is not a part of,
for honest technical reasons (not political reasons masquerading for diplomatic
purposes as innocuous technical ones, as is often the case in NATO). However,
the defining part of the G-8 -- the Summit -- is completely flexible. It holds a
large potential for institutional development underneath itself, but over the
decades this potential has gone almost completely unrealized.
Russia began speaking of joining the G-8 -- or rather the G-7, as it was then
known -- in Gorbachev’s time. Westerners in turn began talking of bringing in
Russia during the last years of the Gorbachev era. In the subsequent decade,
Russia gradually was in fact brought in, first as an observer or guest, then as
a participant in a “G-7 + 1”, then as a part of the “political G-8.” Nowadays it
is usually described simply as “a member of the G-8.” At each stage of its
inclusion, its involvement proved advantageous to both sides. Today the G-8 is
the one transatlantic institution in which Russia is a clear-cut member: in all
the others, Russia is still in a process of joining or still left out.
Indeed, the G-8 is the one Western institution that Russia not only supports
but would like to see strengthened. This is partly because it is a member;
partly because there is a natural affinity, which enables it to identify with
the grouping once it has become a member (presumably Russia would not want to
strengthen some other groupings, such as the Organization of the Islamic
Conference, in which it participates). As such, it is perhaps an indication of
the support that can be hoped for once Russia joins the other Western
institutions. Sergei Karaganov has long maintained that, in the case of NATO,
Russia will continue viewing it with fear as long as it is on the outside, but
will become a NATO supporter once Russia becomes a member of it. This comports
with elementary realist logic and with Russia’s own repeated “dialectical”
formulations that what it is against is not NATO per se, NATO’s use of power nor
NATO expansion per se, but the use of power and the expansion of a NATO in which
Russia is not included or does not have sufficient voice in its decisions.
However, it does not comport with NATO’s evaluations of Russian attitudes, which
have generally followed a simpler categorization as either “pro” or “anti-NATO”
without reference to qualifying conditions. This oversimplified method of
evaluation in the West creates a difficult new hurdle for Russia, arguably a
vicious circularity. In the case of the G-7, Russia was never very much “anti”,
whether conditionally or otherwise, so it did not have the same hurdle to
surmount. In any event, it is the G-8 that Russia is in now, and that Russia
supports.
Benefits of Russian Support for the G-8
Having Russian support for a pan-Western institution is not an unimportant
thing. It adds significantly to the global strength of the institution. It not
only adds Russia’s material strengths, which are still considerable; it also
adds acceptance of the institution’s legitimacy by those around the world who
are clients of Russia, particularly those who are in varying degrees its “moral
clients” -- a sometimes large category, Moscow developed a vast moral clientele
during the Cold War, comprising a number of governments along with secular
radical forces inside nearly every country in the world.
Russia’s reinforcement of a pan-Western institution in turn entails, more
specifically, reinforcement of the strength and legitimacy of Western global
leadership. This is a factor that is if some importance to Americans at this
time of strong American-Western pretensions to the leadership.
Further, Russia’s support for the Western institution has the potential of
adding a political impetus from Russia -- a country that still has some
innovative capabilities in this period of its transformation -- to the processes
of developing the G-8. It is very much in the West’s interests for its common
institutions and arrangements to grow more effective, but this is something that
is never achieved easily in face of the resistance of entrenched interests
within each country and government. It is to the advantage of the West to have
Russia acting as a new force for moving the process forward.
By contrast, it has been to the disadvantage of the West to have Russia
sitting uncomfortably on the outside, acting as a nervous, fearful critic of
Western unity. Its objections from the outside have often able to slow down the
progress of Western integration; as we have noted, Russia always had a moral
clientele in the West, and in any case Western diplomats, while often slow after
1989 to see how to bring Russia indoors, have generally considered it unwise to
trample too hard on Russia while keeping it outside. During the Cold War, Russia
would have liked to split the Western alliance; it became so habitual to accuse
Russia of trying to “divide and deceive the West” that Russia is still often
accused in NATO circles of wanting to do this, and much of the Western elite
believed up to 1990 that this was the real purpose behind Gorbachev’s reforms.
Today, however, what Russia wants to do -- at least in the case of the G-8 -- is
not to divide and deceive, but to further unite and strengthen the West.
Russia could be said to harbor great ambitions for the G-8 -- the sort of
ambitions one might think ought to be found in the West, and of which the West
could be viewed as being perversely lacking. Russia views the G-8 as an
increasingly important venue for global governance; some of its analysts have
described it as a kind of emerging “world government”, supplementing although
not completely replacing the UN Security Council, which suffers from being stuck
in the 1945 mould. Russian views on the most urgent tasks for global governance
-- the war on terrorism and the struggle against proliferation -- fit in with
the views of the other G-8 countries, particularly the U.S.
Yet, instead of building on this support in order to upgrade the G-8, the
talk in the West nowadays is of kicking Russia out of the G-8. This is supposed
to be a way of teaching it an object lesson about democracy, although it would
likely have the opposite effect. And it would be damaging to the West’s own
interests.
What has gone wrong? Where has Western thinking on the subject gone off
course?
Misunderstanding of the G-8 in the West
Part of the problem is a misunderstanding of what the G-8 is. Many of the
“expel Russia” proponents are focused on Russia, not on the Atlantic
institutions per se. It is a hiatus in which, to be sure, they are far from
alone: in general there is a lack of an adequate public framework in the West
for conceptualizing the Atlantic institutions. Several of expulsionists have
said -- a few have told me personally -- that it “makes sense” to drop Russia
from the G-8 because “the G-8 is a club of democracies.” They don’t ask whether
it would be practically useful to expel Russia; they simply feel that doing this
would in some sense be “appropriate” to their image of the G-8.
In reality, the G-8 is not a club of democracies, nor a school of democracy,
nor a place to be giving grades on democratic purity; to find that kind of
institution, the places to look are the Council of Europe and the fledgling
global Community of Democracies. It would make sense to discuss whether Russia
is democratic enough to “belong” in these clubs. But that is not what the G-8 is
about.
The G-8 is a practical institution for dealing with joint problems. It is a
part of the extended Atlantic grouping of institutions that includes NATO, OECD,
IEA, hazmat suppliers clubs, IEA, NPA, and other institutions, almost all of
which Russia is affiliated with and some of which have already included Russia
as a member.
The G-7 was formed originally in the 1970s for maintaining economic
coordination among the Western powers after the collapse of the original Bretton
Woods currency system. It gradually took on a broader role as a general foreign
affairs summit of the Western powers. It was upgraded in its economic functions
by Treasury Secretary James Baker in the mid-1980s. It gradually upgraded itself
in its political functions by widening its subject matter at a number of
summits. It was further upgraded in these political functions by its expansion
to a G-8 with Russia -- functions, it should be reiterated for the sake of
clarify, that consist of foreign policy coordination, not mutual political
education or training in democracy. Russia’s inclusion was a natural step and
one that proved helpful to the Group.
The G-8’s original members were drawn from the largest countries in the OECD,
which existed for more than a decade prior to the G-7’s formation. Since Russia
intends to join the OECD, and since the OECD has decided that it intends to have
Russia as a member once Russia meets the technical and economic conditions, the
G-8 summit, with its less formal and technical role, is the logical place for
Russia at this stage.
Some, such as James Huntley, have seen the G-8, with its summits on the
highest level, as the venue where there is more potential energy and visibility
than the other transatlantic institutions, and have proposed building on this
fact. They have advocated giving the G-8 a secretariat for continuity of work,
tasking it with energizing the entire set of Atlantic institutions by planning
initiatives for them, and making it the public face for these institutions
collectively. In this way, the G-8 would provide the Atlantic institutions a
collective identity and visibility as an international community of nations; in
effect it would give a new lease on life to what used to be called “the Atlantic
community”. Whether or not this vision comes to pass, the prospects for an
evolution in this direction are certainly enhanced by the inclusion of Russia in
the G-8 and the political upgrading it has already brought.
Nothing in international life is ever a perfect fit, and Russia is not a
perfect fit to the old G-7. It is not a perfect fit economically, yet even in
this sphere its presence can help fill out the Group’s global hegemony by adding
Russia’s tremendous natural resources -- oil, gas, and other essential minerals
-- to fill in the major hole of mineral supply insecurity that hitherto plagued
the G-7. It is not a perfect fit politically, yet neither was Japan for a period
of decades when it had a hegemonic regime that regularly racked up majorities
similar to Putin’s; and membership was helpful in creating the space and
confidence for the Japanese consensus system of quasi-democracy to evolve
peacefully into a more pluralistic Western-style system. Russia is also not the
only country in the history of the Group to suffer undue vilification: a wave of
Japan-bashing in the 1980s and early 1990s, replete with conspiracy theories
about the Japanese elite pretending to run a Western market economy and
democracy but actually preparing for its return to global domination, threatened
the cohesion of the group even more than the exaggerated bashing of Russia’s
political evolution does today. There is every reason to stop exaggerating about
Russia’s differences from the rest of the Group, and instead to build on the
opportunities inherent in the essentially sound fit that has existed and
continues to exist between the Group and Russia.
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