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#7 - JRL 7218
Asia Times
June 10, 2003
Russia strengthens its military shield
By Sergei Blagov
MOSCOW - Former Soviet defense ministers have tentatively agreed on new
measures to limit the proliferation of Soviet-made portable air defense
missiles. However, they face a formidable task due to the huge number of missile
launchers already manufactured, and the reluctance of some countries to ink an
agreement.
Defense ministers of the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) met in
Schuchinsk, Kazakhstan, on Monday, and most of them backed measures to control
the export and import of portable missiles such as the Strela (Arrow) and the
Igla (Needle). From now on, CIS states will be obliged to inform one another
about any export and import deals involving these missiles, which can be used by
terrorists to shoot down civilian planes.
No other details of new control measures have been revealed. Moreover,
defense ministers of Georgia, Azerbaijan, Uzbekistan, and Ukraine declined to
sign the deal, while the Turkmen representative failed to show up at the
meeting. This left Armenia, Belarus, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Russia and
Tajikistan as signatories. Clearly then, loopholes in terms of portable missile
proliferation remain.
Strela has been in production for some time. The SA-7 GRAIL (Strela-2) was
the first generation of the Soviet man-portable, shoulder-fired, low-altitude
surface-to-air (SAM) system, with a high-explosive warhead and passive infra-red
homing guidance. Development of Strela-2 started in 1959 and its basic version
was introduced after 1966. The SA-7a (9K32 Strela-2) was introduced for service
in 1968, but was soon replaced by the SA-7b (9K32M Strela-2M), which became the
most common production model.
The SA-7a had a slant range of 3.6 kilometers and a kill zone of between 15
and 1,500 meters in altitude. The SA-7b has a slant range of about 4.2km and a
ceiling of about 2,300m. To date, Strela-2 has been considered a reasonably
efficient weapon to destroy air targets because of its simplicity of
construction and easy deployment.
The SA-14 GREMLIN (Strela-3) man-portable SAM is the successor to the
SA-7/SA-7b. The SA-14 has a maximum range of 4.5km and a maximum altitude of
three kilometers.
The SA-16 GIMLET (Igla-1) man-portable SAM system, a further development from
the SA-7 and SA-14 series, is an improved version of the SA-18 GROUSE, which was
introduced in 1983, three years before the SA-16. The SA-16 has a maximum range
of 5,000m and a maximum altitude of 3.5km.
The Strela has been in service with many armies throughout the world. For
instance, the Indian army procured hundreds of 100 Igla missiles from Russia and
in 2002 there were reports that the Indonesian armed forces planned to procure
Igla missiles. The total number of Igla missiles manufactured worldwide is
estimated at some 50,000 pieces.
Some of these portable missiles have ended up in the wrong hands. For
instance, the Russian military has alleged that after the Soviet collapse in
1991, some 150 Igla launchers remained in Georgia. Russian experts have claimed
that serial numbers on missiles that Russian troops captured in Chechnya showed
that the weapons came from Georgian stockpiles.
Russian Defense Minister Sergei Ivanov is in Kazakhstan on a four-day visit
that ends on Wednesday not just to take care of portable missiles. He warned of
the threat of drugs coming out of Afghanistan, yet he ruled out even a
"theoretical" possibility of Russia sending troops to Afghanistan.
Separately, Ivanov and his Kazkah counterpart Mukhtar Altynbayev clinched a
deal on joint military planning. Ivanov also announced that some 800 Kazakh
officers were currently studying at military academies and colleges in Russia.
On Monday, Ivanov announced that an alliance of former Soviet republics,
known as the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO), was due to hold
anti-terrorist war games in Central Asia, tentatively called "Commonwealth
Southern Shield".
Ivanov also stated that from next January 1 CSTO states will be able to
procure Russian-made weapons at Russia's domestic price, a significant discount.
He did not mention whether this policy would also involve missile technology.
In April, Russia and five other CIS countries formalized a security alliance
that potentially could help boost Moscow's strategic presence in Central Asia.
At an April 28 summit, Russia, Armenia, Belarus, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan and
Tajikistan formally created CSTO, which will attempt to provide a more efficient
response to strategic problems confronting member states, specifically terrorism
and narcotics trafficking.
The CSTO is an outgrowth of the 1992 Collective Security Treaty, which sought
to promote greater strategic cooperation among the signatories. The bulk of the
organization's attention and resources will be concentrated in Central Asia,
with a rapid deployment force to be stationed at a Russian military facility at
Kant, Kyrgyzstan.
Since the September 11, 2001, terrorist attacks, the United States has
established a strategic presence in the region, with bases in Kyrgyzstan and
Uzbekistan. Some Russian policymakers believe that CSTO has the potential to
help Moscow reestablish its high strategic profile in what traditionally has
been its sphere of influence.
In April, Russian President Vladimir Putin played down the notion that Russia
seeks to utilize CSTO to reduce US influence in the region, saying that the
organization will strive to contain the flow of drugs coming out of Afghanistan,
and counter the threat posed by radical Islamic organizations in Central Asia.
Moreover, Russia is now confronting Islamic radicals from Central Asia inside
its capital. On Monday law-enforcement agencies in Moscow announced that they
had detained 121 alleged Muslim militants, including 55 members of the
Hizb-ut-Tahrir radical group. The suspects were reportedly headed by Kyrgyz
citizen Alisher Musayev and Tajik citizen Akram Jalolov. In February, the
Hizb-ut-Tahrir group, which mainly operates in Central Asia, was officially
banned in Russia.
Meanwhile, Moscow has confirmed it is determined to launch a major air base
in mountainous Central Asia, not far from the Chinese and Afghan borders. Ivanov
told journalists in Schuchinsk that the Kant air base in Kyrgyzstan would be
fully operational by the end of this year.
Last December, Russia and Kyrgyzstan signed the Bishkek Declaration, pledging
closer security and economic ties. The military airfield in Kant, about 20km
east of Bishkek, is supposed to host a force that will ultimately include more
than 20 Russian aircraft and more than 700 troops, eventually to become the most
significant outside Russia's borders since the Soviet collapse in 1991.
In all, Russia plans to deploy five Su-25 attack jets, five Su-27 fighters,
two An-26 transports, two Il-76 transports, five L-39 training jets and two Mi-8
helicopters at Kant. The Russian aircraft will form the core of the air unit
based at Kant at a rumored cost of up to US$300 million a year.
In December, Putin traveled to Bishkek and announced that Russian air force
deployment was very important. Kyrgyz President Askar Akayev has urged Russia to
become a "main strategic cornerstone of Central Asia".
The Russian task force is to provide the air power for a contingent of ground
forces. Known as a rapid-reaction force, this group could total more than 5,000
troops from Russia, as well as from Kyrgyzstan, Kazakhstan and Tajikistan,
members of CSTO.
In the meantime, Russian experts warn of potential conflicts among Central
Asian nations themselves. The military and political situation in Central Asia
could deteriorate for a variety of reasons, notably disputes over water
resources, warns Andrei Kokoshin, head of the CIS committee of the state Duma,
the lower house of the Russian parliament. CSTO should keep an eye on this
problem, Kokoshin was quoted by the Russian Information Agency (RIA) as saying.
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