Johnson's Russia List
#6397
12 August 2002
davidjohnson@erols.com
A CDI Project
www.cdi.org

[Contents:
  1. Financial Times (UK): Anatol Lieven, The road to riches discredited.
  2. Moscow Times editorial: Would a Windfall Tax Do Justice? 
  3. Moscow Times: Matt Bivens, At the Coal Face.
  4. Wall Street Journal: Guy Chazan, Pulp-and-Paper Mill Shows Flaws of 
Russia's Capitalism.
  5. Arthur McKee: Putin's man at the Post?/6396.
  6. Lois Dupey and Robert Jaeger: re 6369-Vershbow's Speech.
  7. Los Angeles Times: Helene Elliott, Harried by the Mob? Reputed crime 
boss' alleged attempt to rig Olympic skating may be tip of iceberg for 
international sports.
  8. Wall Street Journal: Guy Chazan, Russia Denies Peace Corps Visas Amid 
Domestic Political Pressure.
  9. The Russia Journal/Prime-Tass: Experts worried about Russia.
  10. Financial Times (UK): Andrew Jack, Mutual fund blow to Russian markets. 
(Templeton)
  11. The Sunday Herald (UK): Revealed: US plea to Kremlin to invade Romania 
over bomb. In 1989 James Baker met Soviet leaders to ask them to overthrow 
an east European state to oust dictator Nicolae Ceausescu. Gabriel Ronay 
uncovers a cold war secret.
  12. UPI: Turkmenistan celebrates Melon Day.] 

*******

#1
Financial Times (UK)
12 August 2002
The road to riches discredited 
By Anatol Lieven 
 
Latin America's economic crisis has intellectual implications which extend
far beyond that continent. It sounds the death-knell of "transitionology",
the belief that by following a simple set of universal rules, countries all
over the world can in a short space of time make the transition to
democracy and the free market. This mantra is now intellectually dead,
though it will doubtless live on in the mouths of politicians, pundits and
diplomats. What we are left with is history, with its many winding paths
and lack of final destinations.

There was always something odd about the degree of belief invested in such
an ideological and teleological framework of analysis. In its main
outlines, transitionology has resembled the modernisation theory of the
1950s and 1960s. Indeed, they were developed in similar circumstances.
Modernisation theory was meant to help the newly independent former
colonies of European powers to develop in a western direction and reject
Communism. Transitionology was meant to do the same for the former Soviet
empire.

But by the time the Soviet Union crumbled, the former European colonies had
decades of experience to show that there is nothing inevitable about such
progress, and no universal rules that can bring it about. Of the former
European colonies, many have experienced some development, but only a tiny
handful have joined the developed world. A considerable number in Africa
have experienced not progress but catastrophic decline, with steep falls in
living standards and services, and in some cases the complete collapse of
the state.

Similarly, the former Communist dependencies in central Europe and around
the Baltic have achieved great progress (though this by no means applies to
their entire populations). Other states such as Russia are experiencing
uncertain recoveries from very steep declines, while some, in the Caucasus
and central Asia, have experienced what amounts to radical demodernisation.
None have sunk to African levels, but some are a great deal further from
the developed world than they were in the 1980s. Even Russia and Ukraine
stand no chance of real integration into the west in the foreseeable future.

Latin America is a particularly striking example of the triumph of hope
over experience. Several states have achieved very real progress, and are
of course vastly richer than they were a century ago. But very few indeed
have achieved western standards of living and levels of democracy.
Argentina was probably closer to such a breakthrough a century ago than it
is today. Millions of Mexicans continue to risk their lives by illegal
immigration to the US.

How many times in the course of that century have we heard of one Latin
American country or another instituting a bold economic reform programme
and experiencing an economic miracle? And how many times have we seen that
economy collapse into crisis again as a result of an external economic
shock, mass domestic unrest, or both? How many times have we seen countries
move from dictatorial rule to democracy and back again? How many times has
democracy proved only a facade for an incompetent and greedy oligarchy? For
that matter, how many of these democracies have made a real difference when
it comes to the brutish treatment of the poor by the police, the courts and
the bureaucracy?

Despite all the works on this subject, a general theory of capitalist
development, valid across widely different cultures, remains a distant
dream. There is also no clear-cut or universal relationship between
democracy and development, or for that matter between dictatorship and
development. Arguments derived from central Europe forget that these
societies were already close to the west before being conquered by
Communism, and that after 1989 both democratic and free market reform
derived a unique extra political charge from the nationalist desire to
escape from the hated Russians and to join the west.

In this context, the possibility of European Union and Nato membership has
provided an incentive which also cannot be replicated elsewhere: a clear
badge of having arrived in the west, and one which could be gained only by
genuine and successful reform. The EU accession process has also led to
comparatively large amounts of western aid to central Europe and, more
importantly, aid that has been strictly controlled. We are however unlikely
to be able to encourage reform in Pakistan or Peru by telling them that
this will lead to escape from the Russian empire and to membership of the EU.

Objectively, the centres of successful capitalism remain today what they
were 100 years ago: western Europe, its overseas white colonies and its
immediate European periphery; and Japan. Since 1945, to this group have
been added two former Japanese colonies already developed under Japanese
rule - South Korea and Taiwan - and a handful of international entrepots
such as Singapore.

Some of the south-east Asian states and parts of China may be heading in
the same direction, but they are very far indeed from arriving at stable
market prosperity, let alone stable democracy. And thanks to the cold war,
at key moments parts of east Asia benefited from a uniquely favourable
attitude on the part of the US: not just in terms of massive flows of aid
and military spending, but more importantly the openness of America's
markets to their exports.

This is not to suggest that the free-market reforms of the past decade were
mistaken, and that a swing back to leftwing populism would produce better
results in Latin America or elsewhere. Of course, some of these reforms
were monstrously inequitable in their effects and should be modified; but
the real lesson is bleaker and more tragic.

Latin America over the past century suggests rather the old comparison of
human polities to a sick man on a bed, continually changing his position in
an effort to find relief from his pain, and always finding only a temporary
respite. Nor should this be a matter for smug self-congratulation on the
part of the developed world. No economic or political system is eternal and
100 years from now, this unhappy picture may be true of the west as well.
 
*******

#2
Moscow Times
August 12, 2002
Editorial
Would a Windfall Tax Do Justice?

Despite Boris Berezovsky's best attempts to persuade us otherwise, there is
in fact little evidence to suggest that President Vladimir Putin is really
intent on nationalizing all of the country's national resources as part of
a ploy to install a full-fledged authoritarian regime. The reality is
almost certainly much more mundane and can be summed up in one word:
elections.

With less than 18 months to go to the parliamentary elections and just over
18 months until the presidential election, there have been a number of
tell-tale signs that the election season is already getting under way.

A couple of examples from last week: Gazprom's reported decision to
postpone sale of its media holdings (NTV, etc.) until after the 2004
presidential election is clearly a political decision, rather than a
financially motivated one as officially stated; and the president's
well-publicized call for regional governments to publish their public
sector wage arrears in the press.

The proposed amendments to the subsoil resource law submitted to the
government by Putin aide Dmitry Kozak at the end of July, which caused such
a carfuffle, seem to be driven by a similar logic. In a nutshell, the Kozak
proposal effectively envisages raising oil, gas and metals companies'
royalty payments -- although by how much and whether permanently or as a
one-off measure, remains unclear. The quid pro quo is that production
licenses are to be put on a stronger legal footing.

Aside from Putin's innate caution, it is highly unlikely that he would want
to rock the oligarchs' boat too much in the run-up to elections. 

A study released last week provided a timely reminder of the concentration
of wealth (and consequently power) in this country: Taken together, the
eight largest private business groups -- whose core business, in most
cases, is natural resources -- have considerably higher revenues than the
federal government. It is precisely these groups that would bear the brunt
of any increase in natural resource royalty payments.

Putin, since hounding Berezovsky and Vladimir Gusinsky out of the country
and making it known to the oligarchs that he would not countenance direct
political interference, hasn't seriously encroach upon powerful private
sector interests.

The most plausible explanation is that Putin is planning to levy a one-off
"windfall tax" on the natural resource sector -- the amount to be
determined, presumably, through the usual process of bargaining between big
business and the government.

Such a move would allow Putin to kill two birds with one stone: First,
squeezing the oligarchs would undoubtedly be a popular move with the man on
the street and allow Putin to put some distance between himself and them in
the run-up to elections; and second, it would generate additional revenue
(a ballpark figure being batted about is several billion dollars) in a year
when the budget will be strained both by electoral exigencies and the peak
period in foreign debt repayments.

So, would a windfall tax be a good thing?

It would certainly go some way to redressing the injustices of the cheap
sell-off of energy and metals companies in the early and mid-1990s (and has
a "respectable" precedent in the Windfall Tax on privatized utilities
levied by the British Labour government upon coming to power in 1997). 

The downside, however, is that it would be a rough kind of justice (as
indeed was the case with Labour's Windfall Tax), hitting not just the core
shareholders of these companies, most of whom acquired their assets on the
cheap, but also outside shareholders who never benefited. 

Among the latter would be a large swathe of the country's nascent middle
class as well as foreign equity investors.
 
*******

#3
Moscow Times
August 12, 2002
At the Coal Face
By Matt Bivens  
 
WASHINGTON -- Here are some stories this summer about coal miners that have
not made international headlines: On June 20, a Virginia coal miner was
crushed between a mine car and a beam. On May 21, a mining electrician in
Kentucky electrocuted himself. On April 10, a West Virginia miner was
killed in a roof fall-in.

So far 17 American miners have been killed on the job this year -- a
"safer-than-average" rate. Accidents kill somewhere from 30 to 60 American
miners every year. Check out the official accident reports, called
"Fatalgrams," at www.msha.gov/fatals/fab.htm -- but keep in mind two things:

• The death toll from electrocutions, cave-ins and such is dwarfed by that
of Black Lung, a respiratory disease caused by breathing in coal dust. The
U.S. Centers for Disease Control says 2,000 American miners a year die from
Black Lung. Coal miners also collect about $500 million annually in health
benefits from the federally-funded Black Lung Fund. 

• Mines in Russia and Ukraine are, on average, about three times deeper and
at least 10 times as dangerous as those in America. (A rule of thumb: from
one to three post-Soviet coal miners, or about 400 a year, die for every 1
million tons of coal mined.)

In 1995, I visited a mine outside of Rostov. I'm not claustrophobic, and
I've had occasion to see some bad things. But never before or since the day
I went down that Russian mine have I been more frightened -- nor more
bewildered as to why people would keep doing something so insane.

On the surface, I talked with semi-retired miners. Black Lung had left them
sucking shallow gasps and clutching inhalers. Ruined and broken at age 40,
some as consolation were drawing their pensions while moonlighting in the
mine administrations. The World Bank's famous coal restructuring plans --
where the bank lost hundreds of millions but shrugged and kept lending --
were conditioned on an end to these miners "double dipping" with salaries
and pensions. 

Later, a kilometer underground, I waded through calf-deep water (and ducked
under a naked 600-volt wire overhead). I wriggled sideways between a mine
wall and a long row of cars (and froze amid a roar of confused shouting as
more cars banged into the back of the train, smashing all the cars together
and nearly taking off my arm). I crawled for long stretches to watch in
by-now abject, animal terror as coal was mined -- basically by causing a
coal cave-in, then trucking out the debris. The morning after I woke up
feeling as sore as if I'd been beaten with baseball bats.

I found myself asking the miners, over and over, why anyone would be a coal
miner. This was during the first Chechen war, and even putting aside Black
Lung, being a miner had all the risk (and none of the reward) of being a
private at the front. Why do it?

It's a question that has been asked for far too long. Stephen Crane, George
Orwell -- just about anyone who comes into contact with the reality of
mining freaks out that anyone is still a miner. I was reminded of this by
the recent Ukrainian mine accidents (and President Leonid Kuchma's
suggestion the mines be closed); and again when I saw the nine rescued
Pennsylvania miners, $150,000 checks in hand from Walt Disney for their
story rights, all to a man insisting they'd never go back into a mine. 

My opinion -- written, alas, on a computer powered by coal -- is that no
one ever should. 

Matt Bivens, a former editor of The Moscow Times, is a Washington-based
fellow of The Nation Institute [www.thenation.com].

*******

#4
Wall Street Journal
August 12, 2002
Pulp-and-Paper Mill Shows Flaws of Russia's Capitalism
By GUY CHAZAN 
Staff Reporter of THE WALL STREET JOURNAL

KORYAZHMA, Russia -- Guards in combat fatigues patrol the corridors. Buses
block the entrances. Sentries with red armbands smoke in huddles, debating
when the next enemy attack will come.

Kotlas Kombinat has the feel of an armed encampment under siege. It is, in
fact, a pulp-and-paper mill, one of the biggest in Russia , and the focus
of a bitter property dispute involving one of Russia's most powerful
businessmen.
 
Russian capitalism has long been subject to violent ownership fights. Armed
men in ski masks break down office doors to install new managers, as the
old ones barricade themselves in their boardrooms. Factories turn into
battlefields as riot police scuffle with workers.

There were hopes that President Vladimir Putin, who came to power promising
a "dictatorship of law," would put a stop to this. But, old habits die
hard. Many of Russia's corporate raiders still use loopholes in the law, a
malleable court system and even the threat of armed force to take on their
opponents.

The man vying for control of Kotlas is metals magnate Oleg Deripaska, whose
investment company, Base Element, promotes itself as a model of
transparency, openness and commitment to "international norms of economic
behavior."

Mr. Deripaska, co-owner of OAO Russian Aluminum, the world's second-largest
aluminum producer, declared an interest in the Kotlas mill last month, when
he announced plans to create a huge forest-products company. As a first
step, he said he and his partners had already acquired a 61% stake in
Kotlas, one of Russia's three largest pulp and paper mills.

But Kotlas's former owner, ZAO Ilim Pulp Enterprise, disputes that claim.
Ilim -- Russia's largest pulp producer, with sales forecast to top $1
billion (€1.03 billion) this year -- claims Mr. Deripaska's takeover and
the acquisition of the 61% stake were illegal.

"It's not just that the bully wants to take our ball, he wants the whole
bloody playground," says Frank Graves, a Canadian who serves as Ilim's
chief operating officer.

The dispute began in April, when an obscure minority shareholder of Kotlas
filed a suit against Ilim Pulp in a local court in the Kemerovo region of
Siberia, more than 2,000 kilometers away, claiming the company hadn't met
its investment obligations. Ilim officials say they were given no notice of
the suit, and had no opportunity to organize a defense.

The court found in the shareholder's favor, awarded about $113 million in
damages against Ilim, and as collateral sequestered its stock in Kotlas.
The 61% of shares in the mill were promptly seized and handed over to
Russia's State Property Fund, which sold them for a little more than $100
million to Base Element, a bank owned by influential St. Petersburg banker
Vladimir Kogan, and a small investment company linked to Mr. Deripaska,
Continental Management.

On July 5, the new owners met at a chicken factory outside St. Petersburg
to elect a new management team and board. Four weeks later, three of their
representatives, accompanied by a court bailiff, went to take over the
mill. They were backed by two busloads of guards from a local security
firm, who waited in Koryazhma for orders.

But they found their path blocked by railway wagons and timber trucks
parked on the mill's access roads, and by Kotlas's own private security
force of 70 guards. When they finally reached the factory offices, they
were told they were "closed for cleaning." The new owners' representatives
retreated to a Koryazhma hotel and sent their small private army home. They
haven't returned.

Executives at Base Element were furious. "Kotlas is a part of Russia where
Russian law does not apply," says Konstantin Remchukov, a company executive
and a close adviser to Mr. Deripaska. "The local authorities have
effectively been privatized by" Ilim Pulp.

This isn't the first time Mr. Deripaska's business practices have drawn
attention. Last year, a group of former competitors filed charges in a U.S.
district court seeking damages of $3 billion against Russian Aluminum for
alleged murder, bribery, fraud and money laundering. Russian Aluminum has
repeatedly rejected the allegations as untrue.

The new owners of Kotlas insist they acquired their stake fairly, and have
condemned what they call Ilim's "illegal occupation" of the plant.

"It's absolutely criminal what they're doing there," says Yuri Sverdlov,
Kotlas's new chairman. Ilim's claim -- that the new owners are planning an
armed assault -- is "fantastic and absurd"

Koryazhma, the sleepy town of 44,000 that is home to the mill, doesn't know
quite what to make of the dispute, as the two sides trade insults and
accusations in the local media. Many of the 10,000 who work at Kotlas are
pulled off regular duties to man patrols. "We don't know whom to trust,"
says Yuri Kislitsyn, a timber loader.

Mr. Deripaska and his associates reject Ilim's claims that they had
anything to do with the minority shareholder's lawsuit in Siberia, a region
where many of Mr. Deripaska's business interests are concentrated. "I don't
even know who he is," Mr. Sverdlov says.

Changes to Russian law effective this month require shareholders involved
in commercial disputes to bring proceedings to a court of arbitration in
the region where the company is based. The changes mean "there'll be fewer
opportunities for people in ski masks to seize control of a company," says
Veniamin Yakovlev, chairman of Russia's supreme court of arbitration.

Meanwhile, Ilim has vowed to fight what it calls an "illegal, carefully
premeditated assault by predatory corporate raiders." It hired U.S. lawyers
and public- relations consultants, and even asked Mr. Putin to intervene.
Base Element says it is trying to find a "civilized solution" to the
dispute but insists Ilim must first abide by the court rulings against it.

In Koryazhma, the workers' attitudes range from apathy to confusion. "In
the end, we don't care who owns the plant, as long as they pay our wages,"
Yuri Kislitsyn says. "I don't really get all the politics."

*******

#5
Date: Sun, 11 Aug 2002 
From: Arthur McKee <wamckee1@yahoo.com>
Subject: Putin's man at the Post?/6396

Was it just me, or did it seem that Peter Baker's article in Sunday's Post
seem like it could have been written by Putin's mythmakers at the Kremlin?

The thrust of the article suggests that without the strong arm of the state
(i.e., censorship and arrests of political enemies) foreigners" (who Baker,
unlike the Post's headline writer, correctly specifies s generally being
eople of Caucasian ancestry) will come under attack by jackbooted thugs.
Who nows, maybe the thug who elebrates Hitler's birthday as his own will
become Russia's Hitler?  At least, that is the question that Baker leaves
us with -- a question that strengthens the Kremlin's hand not only against
the far right, but against his opponents
more generally.

While the crimes Baker carefully describes are real and frightening, as are
the David Duke-inspired Russo-Nazis, surely it could not have hurt to
include a bit of context: that Putin's past comrades in arms at the KGB
funded Pamiat' to make Soviet communism seem to be the lesser of two evils,
that the first candidate to become Russia's Hitler, Zhirinovsky, has
essentially been laughed off the political stage as a clown, that the
groups that Baker talks about have no more followers as a percentage of the
population than do similar groups in the US.

Yes -- Russia is less stable, and ethnic violence is proabably more likely
to spark a conflagration than in the US.  But at the very least these
points should be made explicity.  Otherwise the Post's readers might come
away thinking just what the Kremlin wants them to -- and as Putin's order
becomes more entrenched, this is something to be worried about.

********

#6
Date: Sun, 11 Aug 2002 
From: LOIS J. DUPEY, ldupey@oz.net
ROBERT N. JAEGER, rnj@jaegerdesigns.com
Subject: re 6369-Vershbow's Speech

Dear David,

Please allow just a brief comment, if you would be so kind, on the recent
remarks of the Honorable Ambassador Vershbow at the Moscow School of
Political Studies (printed in JRL #6369 7/25/02):

The Honorable Ambassador's speech was a very important and valuable
statement of the U.S. government's perspective on the current state of The
U.S.-Russia relationship. It seems appropriate to emphasize when considering
the Ambassador's statement, that a reader always consider the source and
context of the remarks. While the Ambassador, thankfully, did not "think
twice and say nothing" in good diplomatic fashion, he is a professional and
did speak in formal, diplomatic language for this public statement. Given
that context, one must expect that he would not be particularly speculative.
In this specific case, the result seems to be a surprisingly neutral view of
the severity of the problems faced by Russia and the USA, both independently
and together.

The Ambassador pointed out in a very articulate way a set of challenges
faced by most countries in the 21st century. These include greater
trans-national linkages and cross-border flows of money, goods, travelers,
information, disease, crime, WMD concerns and terrorism. He also enumerated
additional challenges specific to Russia, including unstable border states,
current domestic economic problems, a very uneven distribution of wealth,
and the high likelihood of major internal disruptions due to the actions of
external states.

The Ambassador also succinctly pointed out a range of Russian domestic
issues of even greater significance. He mentioned the dramatic increase of
HIV and other disease (in some areas exceeding levels in southern Africa),
the decline in life expectancy and low birth rates leading to a projected
20% to 30% decrease in population in one generation, and the continuing
problems of Chechnya, hatred and intolerance, and civilian human rights
violations. Sadly, he did not specifically mention 'excess deaths', or the
devastating rise of discarded children and youth. Should a critical number
of these challenges not be substantially mitigated in the nearest future,
the result could be conditions not unlike those leading to the first and
second revolutions, or the great depression. Such grave internal disruptions
on the near term ‘event-horizon ’ cannot be prevented from having a
similarly great impact on our relationship and on the USA.

With respect to the structure for the future, the Ambassador was equally
eloquent; "But the determining factor will not be law, but the attitudes of
the Russian people to questions of power, freedom, tolerance, and of the
kind of country in which they wish to live.  Laws can be distorted or
ignored, but this is much harder if people believe - and insist - that the
law be followed, and the spirit of the law, too." Thus, the responsibility
for massive change in Russia is clearly placed on the least capable and most
poverty stricken population in the equation. We must not forget leadership's
historically critical role in ‘guiding’ the attitudes of the population
(leading by example) in all of these questions. The necessity for
maintaining predictable, acceptable governance, therefore, may be seen as
vital to our own security. The Ambassador continued, affirming that the
US-Russia relationship is crucial for us.

So, where do we as policy makers, counselors or countries, go? The
Ambassador wrote "Now, the most reliable means of ensuring the stability and
prosperity of Eurasia is for there to be a Russia that is itself stable and
prosperous; a Russia that is content with the international economic and
political system because it participates in that system and feels that its
voice is heard; a Russia that maintains normal relations with its neighbors
based on mutual respect and mutual advantage, rather than on the hegemonic
policies of the imperial past; and a Russia that is an effective partner -
indeed, an ally - in dealing with the global challenges I mentioned earlier.
These are our overarching goals for U.S.-Russian relations."

The combination of the above mentioned immediate threats from internal and
external players combined with a possibility of internal collapse, any of
which could be lethal, was presented without solution. Additionally, the
goals the Ambassador has set forth, above, were not presented with any
suggested paths or mechanisms to achieve them. This seems to leave us with a
very wide gap between the tremendously unstable present and stable,
predictable, desirable future. The statement of this dilemma will come as no
surprise to any JRL reader. The clear question following the above
description is, 'where do we go from here?'

If the attainment of these, or similar, goals is actually a national
priority, then methods and paths may be designed to bridge the gap, using
national and international means. Such objectives might be well-served by
quickly implementing, on a large scale, detailed and coordinated programs to
empower enterprise development that benefits local communities.  Such
programs would, if effectively organized by knowledgeable professionals with
a track record in the area, make it far less likely for a young woman to be
conned into prostitution or slavery, or for a young man to engage in drug
trafficking for want of any other viable economic options, or for a man or
woman to engage in IV drug use (the main method of HIV infection in the FSU)
to escape an unbearable present.

Removing the economic conditions that provide easy recruiting grounds for
all organizations operating outside of the law, criminal and terrorist, is
the most important joint goal that we can have in a partnership. Poverty
reduction implemented through enterprise development is the only known
long-term solution to the challenges enumerated in the Ambassador's remarks.
Such programs require creative approaches and new players that are not
wedded to past or present policy failures.

That such programs are critical is perhaps not apparent to government policy
makers on either side, given the euphoria over what is mistakenly perceived
in the West to be unequivocal indicators of a rosy picture of Russia's
marking economic progress since 1998. The positive impact of "four straight
years of economic growth and steady growth in real income" is surely
mitigated by the dramatic and well documented increase in poverty in Russia
(and even more so in neighboring former republics) during the period since
1998.

As far as the foreign investment climate is concerned, one author can say
from personal experience that it is now possible for foreign companies to
protect their rights more or less effectively through the Russian courts. A
culture of the rule of law (let it be the dictatorship of law, in President
Putin’s words) has taken hold in a positive way. Especially, given Mr.
Putin's commitment to economic and judicial reform, and increased control
over untaxed economic outflows from regions, the investment and taxation
climate are very positive by comparison with the early 1990s.

This does not, however, excuse foreign companies from operating without
consideration or acknowledgement of local conditions and the psychology of a
foreign culture. An optimal approach would be for the U.S. government to
provide even a tiny fraction of the assistance it provides domestic
producers to those American firms that wish to empower economic development
in Russia or its neighboring regions in cooperation with Russian companies.

Moreover, such assistance, were it to be offered on an openly competitive
and transparent basis, ESPECIALLY TO SMALLER American companies with a
dedicated commitment to the U.S.-Russia partnership, would contribute to a
desirable, new business environment. Changes necessary for economic
development, poverty elimination and trans-boundary threat reduction could
be facilitated in this way, thus empowering stability throughout the region.

Thus, a very direct connection is made between the Ambassador's descriptions
of present and future with a solution set understandable to American
citizens and politicians, alike. After all, we benefit from expertise and
firms which evolved from the CCC and other programs of the 1930's, when our
domestic future was not rosy, either. The current US domestic economic model
encourages public-private partnerships at all levels of society, with
demonstrated successes. Emphasis on this model in the FSU, with small,
dynamic, private international groups partnered with official groups and
firms in countries of need would likely yield similarly desirable results.

Affirmation of this philosophy in words and actions on the part of U.S.
officials would go a long way toward increasing mutual trust, based on
evidence of desirable performance, and overcoming dangerous misperceptions
currently fermenting as a result of other events in the relationship. These
events include the perception of a threat from NATO enlargement, and other
issues inherent in converting our bilateral security relationship from that
of cold war confrontation to warming commercial partnership.

These are only some of the concepts and actions that might be considered
priorities. No doubt, some are under discussion, but this is certainly not
apparent to many observers on either side.

Thank you very much for the opportunity to comment.

******

#7
Los Angeles Times
August 11, 2002
Harried by the Mob?
Reputed crime boss' alleged attempt to rig Olympic skating may be tip of 
iceberg for international sports.
By HELENE ELLIOTT, Times Staff Writer

His friends know him as Alik, a businessman who launched himself into the 
orbit of athletes and entertainers like a satellite.

Alimzhan Tokhtakhunov would get player-guest passes for the French Open 
tennis tournament at Paris' Roland Garros, giving him access to off-limits 
lounges. He befriended Ukrainian tennis player Andrei Medvedev, who gave him 
a Mercedes-Benz, and Russians Marat Safin and Yevgeny Kafelnikov. He also was 
an agent for soccer players, among them goalkeeper Ruslan Nigmatullin of the 
Russian national team.

He liked to live well—he owned houses in Italy and France—and he liked to 
party, as documented by Russian TV coverage of a 1999 Paris fete whose guest 
list included NHL star Pavel Bure, Olympic ice dancer Marina Anissina and 
Russian singer Alla Pugachyova. He was often photographed with Josif Kobzon, 
a singer known as "the Russian Frank Sinatra."

Dark-haired, stocky and not very tall, he doesn't stand out in a crowd. 
Vladimir Geskin, deputy editor in chief of the respected Russian sports 
magazine Sport Express, said colleagues consider him "a rather interesting 
man personally. He's a good storyteller.... He's the kind of person who likes 
to be near something interesting."

A card shark and gambler who operated on the fringes of the law, he found 
fertile ground in post-Soviet Russia and its far-flung sister republics, 
where government can't or won't provide basic services.

"You're looking at places where the rule of man is stronger than the rule of 
law," said Sarah Mendelson, senior fellow at the Center for Strategic and 
International Studies, a nonpartisan institute that focuses on international 
policy issues.

"Corruption is a part of everyday life from top to bottom."

Law enforcement officials and those who study crime know Tokhtakhunov as 
"Taivanchik," or Little Taiwanese, a nickname given him because of the Asian 
cast to his features. They believe he's a heavyweight who has been involved 
in illegal arms sales, drug distribution and stolen-car sales.

All of which might someday be considered a mere prelude to an alleged crime 
that has shaken the Olympic movement less for its brazen nature than its 
implications.

In an unexpected twist to an investigation sparked by suspicions that he was 
laundering money, Tokhtakhunov was charged July 31 in federal court in New 
York with conspiring to fix two figure skating events at the Salt Lake City 
Winter Olympics. Described in the criminal complaint as "a major figure in 
international Eurasian organized crime," he allegedly tried to bribe skating 
judges and officials to carry out a vote-swapping deal that would give 
Russian-born Anissina and her French-born partner Gwendal Peizerat the 
Olympic ice dance gold medal.

What he wanted was a visa to return to France, which had expelled him because 
officials there suspected he had ties to Russian criminals. Born in 
Uzbekistan, he went to Moscow in the 1970s and met reputed criminals at a 
Uzbekistan-themed restaurant there. He reportedly had French, Swiss, Israeli 
and German passports when he was arrested at his Italian home in Tuscany, 
where he lived with his third wife.

"That a Russian can fix the Olympics when Russians fix sports events all the 
time is not unlikely," said Louise Shelley, director of the Transnational 
Crime and Corruption Center in Washington and author of more than two dozen 
books and articles on international organized crime.

"To our way of thinking, it might seem illogical. To their way of thinking, 
it's not," added Shelley, who knew Tokhtakhunov's nickname and believes him 
to be a crime boss. "It's a question of how you make things work. What is he 
going to do to change his position when he wants to live [in France] and has 
real estate investments there? The French haven't been doing so well in the 
Olympics and there's corruption in their visa process and people are aware 
they can find holes. It doesn't seem so entirely strange."

U.S. and Italian authorities have transcripts of wiretaps in which he 
allegedly discussed the fix with "a female ice dancer," her mother, and other 
conspirators. Tokhtakhunov and Anissina have denied wrongdoing, as have 
French and Russian skating officials.

"I've spoken to several people who are specialists in figure skating and they 
never heard of such a man before," Geskin said. "From my point of view, it's 
impossible for someone who is not in figure skating to make this [happen]. 
Maybe sometime he said something about this. He could talk lots, but I'm not 
sure he could do something. Officials in figure skating in Russia I know, 
some people say they never heard of him.... In criminal circles, he is a real 
man, but not in sports."

But what if those circles overlap?

Rules flew out the window when the Soviet Union broke up and its former 
republics were thrown into economic chaos.

"Communism vaporized and the only people left standing were KGB [secret 
police] operatives implanted in the capitalistic West, and empowered 
criminals," author Jeffrey Robinson wrote in "The Merger: The Conglomeration 
of International Organized Crime," published in 2000. "They were the ones who 
stepped in to take over."

Hockey players who flocked to the NHL to make their fortunes, tennis players 
and other athletes became natural targets of extortion in the lawless society.

"There are so many areas of intersection between sports and organized crime," 
Shelley said. "Five years ago, I was on '60 Minutes' talking about sports and 
[illegal sales of] nuclear arms. It was being done through a karate club. 
Sports people are the only ones allowed out of the country easily."

The Olympics long ago lost any pretensions of purity, and ice dancing in 
particular has been a swamp of scandals.

Figure skating appeared to have hit bottom early in the Salt Lake Games, when 
French pairs judge Marie-Reine Le Gougne said she had been pressured to vote 
for Russians Elena Berezhnaya and Anton Sikharulidze over Canadians Jamie 
Sale and David Pelletier. She later changed her story, but Sale and Pelletier 
were awarded duplicate gold medals.

The case was thrown open again by allegations that Tokhtakhunov had plotted 
to get the French judge to vote for the Russian pair in exchange for a 
Russian ice dance judge's vote for Anissina and Peizerat. International 
Olympic Committee President Jacques Rogge declared himself appalled and said 
the results could be recalculated if the allegations were proven. The U.S. 
Figure Skating Assn. called for the International Skating Union to form an 
independent ethics board to review the matter.

Although figure skating insiders professed shock, the idea that an Olympic 
event could have been fixed—or that a criminal or criminal group could have 
been involved—was no such breach of faith for outsiders.

"It's naive to assume professional sports is untouched by this," said Mark 
Heeler, assistant director of the Nathanson Centre for the Study of Organized 
Crime and Corruption at Canada's York University.

"I don't think it's entirely surprising. It's not unknown in the sports world 
in the past. It's probably a product of figure skating being such a lucrative 
business. The popularity of figure skating has grown in the last decade. It 
makes more sense now from an organized crime perspective."

Said Mendelson, "Why would you think it would be outlandish? Of course it's 
totally possible. Everything we know about the Olympics suggests there's a 
fair amount of corruption. It's news, but the story to me is corruption in 
the Olympics, not that the Russian Mafia is involved.

"The Olympics are about politics and they have been for a long time. Politics 
is ultimately a struggle over resources. That Russia is involved is 
symptomatic of the corruption [in Russia] and in the Olympics."

Tokhtakhunov is known to have associated with reputed crime figures, 
including the singer Kobzon. But it's unclear whether he's tied to what is 
loosely called "the Russian Mafia," which experts say isn't exclusively 
Russian and isn't very structured. Robinson called Russia "a full-fledged 
mafiocracy," with more than 12,000 criminal organizations that have nearly 
100,000 members.

"There are no pyramid organizational structures, no family ties to unite 
them, no commission to oversee their activities," he wrote. "Instead, these 
groups are more like collections of friends and associates who band together 
for certain crimes, going their own way for others. As a group they may 
target a specific industry, or just hold onto a specific territory. The term 
they use is 'zones of influence.' "

Alleged incursions into sports by mobsters are impossible to document because 
fear scares most athletes into silence. But mobsters' existence is well 
enough known for former German tennis star Boris Becker to have planned to 
fight a paternity suit last year, after he'd had a sexual encounter with a 
Russian model in the broom closet of a London restaurant, by claiming the 
Russian Mafia had stolen his sperm. He scrapped that defense when he admitted 
paternity and settled before trial.

In a more serious vein, Robinson lists NHL players Alexander Mogilny, 
Vladimir Malakhov, Oleg Tverdovsky and Alex Zhitnik as having been targeted 
for extortion by reputed mobster Vyacheslav Sliva in the 1990s. He also 
linked Viacheslav Fetisov, a distinguished player who coached Russia's 
Olympic team at Salt Lake City, to a company that allegedly laundered money 
for Vyacheslav Ivankov, a reputed crime kingpin now in jail for extortion. 
Fetisov was chairman of a company owned by Ivankov, known as 
"Yaponchik"—little Japanese—but denied any illegal activities.

"The NHL took its time before admitting there was a problem," Robinson wrote. 
"And then, a 15-month investigation by the United States Senate suggested 
that the extortion of Russian players in the NHL was more widespread than the 
league was willing to 'fess up to. Since then, Senate investigators have 
spoken about extortion of Russian basketball players in the NBA and Russian 
tennis players on the professional tour."

NBA spokesman Brian McIntyre said his league knew of no threats against its 
Eastern European players or threats by the Russian Mafia.

Details magazine and a "Frontline" TV documentary produced by PBS and the 
Canadian Broadcasting Corp. also found links between NHL players and 
suspected Russian criminals. They also questioned Bure's relationship with 
Anzor Kikalishvili, labeled a top crime boss by the FBI. Bure called him a 
friend and denied he had been blackmailed or had paid protection money.

NHL spokeswoman Bernadette Mansur said league executives investigated the 
extortion rumors and found only two proven cases, neither of which involved 
mobsters. She also said NHL security personnel have toured training camps 
each year since 1993 to warn players about associating with people they don't 
know.

"There was no instance of any involvement or intelligence about any ties with 
the Russian Mafia," she said.

Mogilny paid $25,000 to silence threats from countryman Sergei Fomitov in 
1994, but Mansur said Fomitov was a friend, not a crime figure. Tverdovsky 
was a target in 1996 when his mother, Alexandra, was kidnapped in Kiev, 
Ukraine, and held for $200,000 ransom. A former coach of Tverdovsky's was 
arrested for allegedly ordering accomplices to kidnap her.

"I was worried about these things at the time," said Tverdovsky, who was 
recently traded by the Mighty Ducks to New Jersey. "Usually, when this kind 
of stuff happens, it was serious people. If that was the case with me, I 
don't know how it would have ended. In my case, it was a group of people who 
tried to make easy money. They didn't know what they were doing. That made it 
easier for [them to be caught]....

"I think it is way better now. The country is changing from those times 
seven, eight years ago when things were out of control. The country is being 
put back together."

Yet, fears remain. Duck forward German Titov lost his father and brother 
within five months during the 2000-01 season after each died in what he said 
were "falls from a balcony," although he didn't use the word "suicide." 
Beyond that, though, he was reluctant to discuss what had happened.

Said a Russian player who requested anonymity, "You can't go to Russia and 
ask these questions. If you do, you don't come back."

In the meantime, Tokhtakhunov sits in a Venice, Italy, jail, proclaiming his 
innocence and vowing to fight extradition to the United States, which will 
prolong a resolution of the case.

"It was maybe a little surprising he was involved in figure skating," the 
Nathanson Centre's Heeler said, "but maybe making inroads there is easier 
than in other sports.... It will be interesting to find out later how many 
people are involved."

And whether this was the Olympics' first brush with alleged criminals. 
Shelley, traveling in Europe last week, said newspapers there gave the story 
extensive coverage and ran pictures of Tokhtakhunov with reputed mobsters.

"The Olympic process has been so corrupt," she said. "There needs to be a lot 
more oversight of organized crime and the Olympics."

Times staff writer Chris Foster contributed to this report.

******

#8
Wall Street Journal
August 12, 2002
Russia Denies Peace Corps Visas Amid Domestic Political Pressure
By GUY CHAZAN 
Staff Reporter of THE WALL STREET JOURNAL

MOSCOW -- The U.S. Peace Corps is scaling back its operations in Russia
after the authorities denied visas to almost half its volunteers.

Peace Corps spokeswoman Ellen Field said the organization was "very
disappointed" that 30 of 64 volunteers on two-year assignments weren't
allowed back into Russia for their second year of service. She said a new
group of 62 volunteers scheduled to arrive in Russia next month will now be
redirected to other countries.

The Peace Corps has 7,000 volunteers serving in 70 countries, involved in
clean-water, health and teaching projects. Since it was established by U.S.
President John F. Kennedy in 1961, more than 165,000 Americans have joined
the Peace Corps, serving in 135 nations. Jeff Hay, the Peace Corps' Russian
director, said 700 Peace Corps volunteers have worked in Russia since 1992,
mainly teaching English and business. He said the organization receives 150
requests a year from all over Russia for its volunteers.

Russia's relations with the U.S. have blossomed since President Vladimir
Putin threw his support behind the U.S.-led war against terror in a move
that signaled a full-scale realignment of Russian foreign policy toward the
West.

But within Russia , mistrust of foreigners lingers. Mr. Hay said articles
have recently appeared in Russia's regional press accusing volunteers of
being spies and ridiculing the organization as a scheme for bringing down
U.S. unemployment figures. He said some regions, such as Nizhny Novgorod
and Udmurtia in central Russia , have recently pulled out of the program.

A Russian Foreign Ministry spokesman refused to comment on the visa issue.
"The authorities are not required to provide any explanation for why a visa
has been denied," said Vladimir Godina.

Last year, several foreigners working for nongovernmental organizations,
many of whom had been active in Russia for several years, were barred from
re-entering the country. Among them were employees of environmental groups
like Greenpeace and charities running schools and orphanages for refugees
in Chechnya.

The new tougher policy on visas has coincided with a flurry of spy trials
targeting academics and businessmen with ties to Westerners.

*******

#9
The Russia Journal
August 9-15, 2002
Experts worried about Russia
Prime-Tass 

With the United States clearly in a recession, Latin America sliding into a
deep crisis and Asia feeling the jitters of a global crisis, Russia still
stands out on the world economic scene as nearly a success story. The
country is paying off its foreign debt on time, plans no new foreign
borrowings next year and still expects the economy to grow this year around
4 percent. 

But not everything is so bright, economists are saying, pointing to the
slowing growth, declining investments and the first signs of fiscal
problems. The cure is deeper and faster reform, they say. But with looming
parliamentarian and presidential elections in 2003 and 2004 respectively,
it appears that there is lack of political will to make the painful
decisions needed to push the reforms forward. 

"The number of warning lights that have started flashing in the last
several months is concerning, despite the apparent health of the basic
ratios," Roland Nash, head of research with Renaissance Capital investment
bank, said commenting on Russia's latest macroeconomic figures. 

"First and most widely recognized, slowing growth. Industrial production
growth has fallen from 5.5 percent in the first half of 2001 to 3.1 percent
in the first half of 2002. While recovery in the service sector has partly
disguised this in the GDP figures, headline growth is down to 3.7 percent
in the first half of 2002 from 5.3 percent last year."

Unlike in other emerging markets, in Russia economic growth is fueled
mostly by the energy sector, which has been benefiting from relatively high
commodity prices on the global market. 

"The current growth mechanism is not sustainable in the long term," Troika
Dialog investment bank commented in the most recent economic report. "In
this regard, Russia is at crossroads: if it can modify the existing growth
mechanism, then higher and more sustainable growth rates are perfectly
plausible in the long term. If not then growth is likely to continue its
decline," the report added. 

Most of investments attracted into Russia in the last few years went into
the development of mineral resources or came from the energy sector. 

With commodity prices volatile and generally falling, it is not surprising
to see investments declining as well. While domestic investment rose 18
percent in 2000 and 15 percent in 2001, in the first half of this year
investment rose only 2 percent. "The level of direct investments remains
appallingly low," Peter Westin, senior economist with Aton investment bank
said. "So far Russia has attracted about $22.4 billion in accumulative
foreign direct investments, which comes to about $150 per capita, compared
to over $2,000 per capita for countries like Hungary, the Czech Republic
and Estonia. For many observers this remains somewhat puzzling, as Russia
has enjoyed several years of economic and political stability," he added.

Westin also said despite upbeat statements by Russian officials about
capital coming back into Russia, capital flight remains high. In the second
quarter this year, it amounted to $2.7 billion, which is a reduction from
the first quarter's $3.5 billion, but 15 percent above the first quarter
2001 level. According to Westin, since 1994, $114 billion or almost $800
per capita has left Russia. Westin said: "President Putin recently called
for the government to consider the implementation of amnesty for
individuals bringing money back from foreign held assets. However, amnesty
alone will not accomplish this. The indisputable prerequisite for halting
capital flight and attracting flight capital back in large numbers is the
creation of investment opportunities and an improved investment climate." 

The strengthening ruble is also hurting the economy, analysts said. "With
real appreciation at 8 percent a year and wage increases at 20 percent –
add to this increased utility tariffs – Russian companies either have to
sacrifice profits or price themselves out of the market," Peter Lavelle, a
Western economist based in Moscow, wrote recently in The Russia Journal.
"The latter increases inventories and lowers demand – and eventually lowers
industrial output. The incentive to delay payments is obvious." For the
first time since the 1998 devaluation, the non-payment and barter deals are
again becoming serious problems. 

But in many respects Russia is doing better than some of its emerging
market peers. 

In July, the Standard & Poor's international ratings agency upgraded
Russia's sovereign long-term local and foreign currency ratings to BB- from
B+. At the same time, Standard & Poor's affirmed its single-B short-term
local and foreign currency sovereign credit ratings on Russia. The outlook
on the sovereign's ratings has been revised to stable from positive.
According to Standard & Poor's, the stable outlook reflects the expectation
of sustained prudent fiscal and debt management, and further progress in
reform implementation. 

Russia is now standing two notches below investment grade and this helps
Russian companies to borrow abroad at relatively cheap rates. "A positive
development with a negative twist is the increase in capital in the second
quarter brought in by non-financial private enterprises, amounting to $4
billion compared to $2.5 billion in the second quarter last year. About
half of the inflow was in the form of foreign loans taken by Russian
companies," Westin said. "The fact that Russian companies are able to
acquire foreign loans is clearly a product of increased transparency and
corporate governance. 

However, the negative aspect of the increase in foreign loans to Russian
companies is the lack of access to domestic financing." Banking reform
still has to get off the ground, considering that only 3 percent to 4
percent of capital investments are financed by bank loans. Investors are
also concerned about slow progress of structural reforms, the restructuring
of gas giant Gazprom and UES power grid monopoly, as well as the full
implementation of production sharing agreements. 

Reforms have begun in key areas including tax, the natural monopolies,
land, labor market and deregulation of economy. But the results may fail to
impress, analysts said. 

"Certain regulations were found to be inconsistent, requiring a number of
amendments to be passed, some of which have and effect of creating
instability and hampering the business climate," Troika Dialog said. "The
presence of unreformed public administration has also impeded the general
reform process. 

"The government has been ordered to develop concept for administrative
reform by end 2002, but with the 2003 budget already formulated, actual
restructuring is unlikely to start before 2004. As a result, progress on
reforms through end 2002 and 2003 is likely to be gradual and growth rates
moderate."
 
*******

#10
Financial Times (UK)
12 August 2002
Mutual fund blow to Russian markets 
By Andrew Jack in Moscow
 
Franklin Templeton, one of the world's largest fund managers, is poised to
sell off its Russian domestic mutual funds business, in a blow to the
country's fledgling equity markets.

The decision represents a disappointment for the company, one of the
longest established and best-known franchises within Russia since the
mid-1990s, as well as an indictment of the slow development of the industry.

It comes in spite of President Vladimir Putin's stated commitment to
liberal economic reform and the recent launch after long delays of pension
reforms that are set to increase considerably the scope for the creation of
a domestic fund management industry to help invest employees' long-term
savings in equities.

Mark Mobius, head of Templeton's emerging markets fund, stressed that his
company would continue to invest extensively in Russia on behalf of its
global clients through its global and specialist funds, but that the time
was not right for its involvement in the domestic mutual fund industry.

"There are so many other things to do in Russia, it just did not make sense
to keep it going," he said.

"It's too early for us. I am not saying there is no potential and there is
no question that pension funds will grow, but Russian houses are better
prepared to handle them. Our role when Russians are ready will be to invest
globally for them," said Mr Mobius.

Templeton, which is believed to be negotiating a sale of its funds to other
groups including Moscow brokerage UFG, is the latest foreign manager to cut
its involvement in the sector, following others such as CSFB.

However, several Russian institutions, including Alfa Bank, Troika and UFG,
have recently been strengthening their teams.
 
********

#11
The Sunday Herald (UK)
11 August 2002
Revealed: US plea to Kremlin to invade Romania over bomb
In 1989 James Baker met Soviet leaders to ask them to overthrow an east
European state to oust dictator Nicolae Ceausescu. Gabriel Ronay uncovers a
cold war secret

The 'last secret of the cold war,' divulged by a former top Kremlin leader,
reveals that President George Bush Senior was just as determined as his son
Dubya to use armed force to oust a dictator who had furtively obtained a
dirty atom bomb in 1989. 

Just as George Bush Junior has his sights set on Iraq's Saddam Hussein,
Bush Senior urged Moscow to unleash the Red Army to rid Romania of the
dictator Nicolae Ceausescu.

After the peaceful velvet revolutions in Eastern Europe resulting in the
rapid fall of communism in East Germany, Hungary, Czechoslovakia and
Bulgaria, the tyrant Ceausescu grimly clung to power and set his murderous
Securitate secret police on the peaceful demonstrators in Timisoara and
Bucharest. 

As thousands were being shot in the unequal street battles in December
1989, Bush Senior's hands were tied: however much he wanted, he could not
intervene militarily in the backyard of the Soviet Union. The Yalta
agreement had made that impossible.

Washington's moral outrage against the West's then favourite hate figure
forced Bush Senior to send James Baker, his secretary of state, on a secret
mission to Moscow to urge the Kremlin to intervene militarily in Romania.
Soviet military interventions in East Germany in 1953, in Hungary in 1956
and in Czechoslovakia in 1968 had earned Russia the evil empire epithet
coined by President Reagan, Bush Senior's predecessor in the White House. 

In bestowing this epithet, reminiscent of Bush Junior's axis of evil label,
Washington occupied the moral high ground. Yet here was the champion of
democracy and torch-bearer of human rights urging the Soviet Union to
invade a presumably equally evil communist dictator. For President
Gorbachev, this was an unpredictable turn of events .

Admittedly, Ceausescu was a dangerous and unstable dictator. But he posed
no real threat to the US. Nevertheless, Bush Senior decided that the tyrant
must be removed by armed force.

Shortly before Christmas 1989, Baker flew to Moscow to ask Eduard
Shevardnadze, the then Soviet foreign minister, to invade Romania. 'The
Kremlin was startled,' revealed Shevardnadze, speaking for the first time
about the US's invasion call in the Georgian capital of Tbilisi. 

Shevardnadze is now the president of independent Georgia and is apparently
not bound by the rules of secrecy of former top Soviet officials.

He told President Iliescu of Romania during his state visit to Tbilisi last
month that, 'in 1989, the Kremlin firmly rejected the suggestion of my
American counterpart that the Soviet Union should intervene militarily in
Romania'. He added that Russia had repudiated the Brezhnev Doctrine of
limited sovereignty, which -- not unlike the US's Monroe Doctrine -- gave
Moscow a fig leaf of legality to intervene anywhere in the Soviet bloc
where allegedly socialism was in danger.

The veracity of 'the last secret of the cold war' was confirmed by a
spokesman of President Iliescu in Bucharest. 'At a moment in time which was
decisive for our national destiny, and when thousands of Romanians were
being killed and wounded in the people's uprising against the Ceausescu
dictatorship, the Georgian-born foreign minister of the Soviet Union firmly
rebutted his American colleague's suggestion of a Russian invasion of
Romania. We thank him for it now,' the Romanian presidential spokesman said.

Recently, the Sunday Herald uncovered incontrovertible proof that, shortly
before his overthrow and execution, Ceausescu's scientists had developed a
nuclear capability. With its east European empire in terminal crisis, the
Kremlin was alarmed but reluctant to act. Washington wanted military action. 

Ever since the bloody overthrow of Ceausescu, during which Moscow-backed
communists like Ion Iliescu, Romania's present president, were deeply
involved, there have been rumours that in the last days of Ceausescu's rule
Romania had the technological know-how to produce atomic weapons. A recent
report by Russia's FSI external intelligence service, based on the secret
archives of the KGB, confirms communist Romania's nuclear capability.

The report, obtained by the Bucharest daily Ziua, reveals a hitherto
unknown facet of Ceausescu who, in his heyday, was a signatory to the
nuclear non-proliferation treaty and a vociferous opponent of arms of mass
destruction, be they in the East or in the West. In 1985, while publicly
backing the West's unilateral nuclear disarmers, he ordered a crash nuclear
arms programme with no expenses spared even though Romania was bankrupt.
Four years later, he had his weapon of mass destruction. 

In May 1989, scientists at Romania's secret nuclear research centre at
Pitesti, disguised as a chemical plant, crossed the nuclear threshold and
produced 2lbs of arms-grade plutonium sufficient for a dirty atom bomb. 

However, the Balkan dictator had joined the Rogue States' Nuclear Club with
the help of US technology and aid, provided by the US to Romania to
discomfit the Soviet Union. Ceausescu's nuclear ambition only got off the
ground with the help of enriched uranium supplied by America for research
purposes to Bucharest, and a Triga-II nuclear reactor, also of US origin,
according to the FSI report.
 
******

#12
Turkmenistan celebrates Melon Day 

ASHGABAT, Turkmenistan, Aug. 11 (UPI) -- Residents in the former Soviet
republic of Turkmenistan attended festivities Sunday to celebrate Melon
Day, a holiday that aims to revive the country's millennia-long tradition
of melon growing, Russia's RIA Novosti news agency reported.

President Saparmurat Niyazov decreed in 1994 to establish a national
holiday that would boost the image of Turkmenistan as one of global leaders
in melon growing.

Today, the Central Asian nation, which has a population of 4.5 million, is
mostly known for its extensive oil and gas reserves and its president who
possesses almost unlimited powers and enjoys a personality cult rivaling
those of former Soviet leaders Lenin and Stalin.

To a savvy botanist, however, Turkmenistan is the home to a number of rare
varieties of melon first, and only then a one of world's most authoritarian
regimes.

Turkmen archeologists assert the history of melon-growing in the region
dates as far back as 4th century B.C., RIA Novosti said. The fact is
witnessed by the melon seeds discovered at the ruins of the ancient city of
Gyaur-Kala, which existed at the time.

According to RIA Novosti, one of Turkmenistan's most famous selectors Durda
Nepesov grows at least 100 different sorts of melon on his own plot of land.

Throughout the country, the number of varieties of the crop reaches 400,
the report added.

The figure is even more impressive because 80 percent of the country is
occupied by the Kara Kum desert.

Ak-tak, Bakharman, Garrygyz, Gulaby, Bareng, Zamna, Subkhany are only a
handful of trademark names of various sorts of melon that through centuries
have earned Turkmenistan the nickname of the sweetest place on Earth.

Ancient history books keep record of Arab traders who gave money, gold and
even lands in exchange for imports of Turkmen melon.

Today, melon -- as well as watermelon and gourd -- is grown chiefly in the
Chardzhou and Tashauz provinces.

These three crops combine for a total of over 215,000 tons produced
annually on plantations spreading over 23,000 hectares (56,810 acres) of land.

Hot, sunny weather and long summers contribute to one of Turkmen melon's
most distinctive features -- high sugar content, which touches 18 percent.

The revival of melon-growing is part of the Turkmen government's program to
revitalize its agricultural sector, which has been given the task of
providing the country with all basic food staples by 2005.

Once the chief supplier of melon to the markets throughout the former
Soviet Union, Turkmenistan suffered as the Communist-led empire collapsed.

The union's disintegration dealt a heavy blow to the struggling economies
of former Soviet provinces as transportation tariffs skyrocketed, urging
farmers and other agricultural workers to give up long-distance deliveries
and sell their produce locally. 

*******

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