Johnson's Russia List #6270 24 May 2002 davidjohnson@erols.com A CDI Project www.cdi.org [Contents: DJ: The Johnsons are off to the beach. A computer is packed. You probably have more than enough to read already...but we'll see what comes next. 1. Reuters: Bush, the accidental tourist in Moscow, Berlin. 2. AP: Russian Analysts Hail Arms Deal. 3. Christian Science Monitor: Fred Weir, The view from Russia. 4. White House: Remarks by the President to Community and Religious Leaders. 5. White House: Joint Statement by President George W. Bush and President Vladimir V. Putin on U.S.-Russian People-To-People Contacts. 6. White House: Fact Sheet: U.S.-Russian People-To-People Cooperation. 7. Moscow Tribune: Stanislav Menshikov, AFTER BUSH LEAVES. Does he really need partners? 8. The Russia Journal: Andrei Piontkovsky, The U.S. to Russia: ‘You don’t matter’ 9. Matt Bivens: CORRECTION re article in 6267. 10. Izvestia: Viktoriya Voloshina and Vladimir Demchenko, UNITED AND DIVISIBLE. The battle for territory may greatly reshape Russia's internal borders. 11. The Guardian (UK): Paul Brown, Russian nuclear dump plan attacked by Arctic governor. Moscow denies claims that archipelago will be used for imported waste. 12. The Nation book review: Matt Taibbi, Grabitization (Don't Look). (re The Oligarchs: Wealth and Power in the New Russia by David Hoffman Building Capitalism: The Transformation of the Former Soviet Bloc by Anders Aslund)] ******* #1 Bush, the accidental tourist in Moscow, Berlin May 24, 2002 By Patricia Wilson MOSCOW (Reuters) - President Bush lived up to his reputation as a brisk sightseer Friday, cramming what had been scheduled as a half-hour tour of some of the Kremlin's most spectacular sites into seven minutes. His whirlwind trip took him to the Kremlin's famous Cathedral Square, its three onion-domed churches, a bell tower and past a 500-year-old cannon -- all high spots of any tourist tour to Moscow that would normally take an hour or two. "It's beautiful, some of the most beautiful buildings I've ever seen in my life here. Yes, it's so beautiful," Bush said as he strode past the 14th and 15th century Assumption, Archangel and Annunciation cathedrals with their distinct architecture and vast collection of Russian icons. Thirty minutes had been set aside for Bush, his wife Laura and their hosts Russia's Vladimir Putin and his wife Lyudmila to stroll outside the Grand Kremlin Palace. But the U.S. leader, who signed a pact Friday with Putin to slash their nuclear warheads, made short work of the tour, stopping briefly to chat with tourists and watch art students sketching the Kremlin's domes. "Nice to meet everybody," he said, shaking hands and posing for pictures. "It sure is wonderful to be here with my friend." Then it was off past the Bell Tower of Ivan the Great and the Tsar Cannon -- unique monuments of Russian 16th century foundry work -- and across the street for a quick unscheduled call at Putin's office. Bush, who is on his first trip to Moscow, spent a similar scheduled length of time Friday at the Tomb of the Unknown Soldier at the foot of the Kremlin's red-brick perimeter wall. The president laid a wreath as a 50-member marching band played the U.S. national anthem and then headed back to his motorcade and off to his appointment with Putin. LIFE IN THE PRESIDENTIAL FISHBOWL Bush, who prides himself on punctuality and being a fast runner, is something of an accidental tourist. Lest the Russians be offended at the quick work he made of their sites, he has been equally speedy elsewhere. Last summer in Italy, he gave the Roman Forum, one of the cradles of Western civilization, about 15 minutes. In Berlin this week, he took in the Brandenburg Gate that used to separate East from West from the window of his passing limousine. Blaming the fishbowl that is the U.S. presidency, Bush told reporters that no matter where he was he didn't get to see much because of tight security. "I live in a bubble," Bush said at a news conference with German Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder. "But that's life." "I like to meet people. I saw one small glimpse of Berlin last night. It frustrates me not to be able to see more of this growing city. That's just life in the bubble." Bush's sightseeing stamina will be tested at the weekend when he goes to Putin's hometown of St Petersburg, the old imperial capital renowned for its canals, elegant baroque buildings and one of the world's greatest art collections. Saturday, his host has arranged for him to tour the Hermitage Museum's extensive collection of art in 30 minutes, attend the ballet and take a late-night boat trip down the Neva River to experience Russia's summer "White Nights." Sunday, he visits Kazan Cathedral, the Grand Choral Synagogue and the Russian Museum before leaving for France. ******* #2 Russian Analysts Hail Arms Deal May 24, 2002 By VLADIMIR ISACHENKOV MOSCOW (AP) - Russian officials and arms control analysts praised the nuclear arms deal that is the centerpiece of the U.S.-Russian summit Friday, saying it allows Russia to remain an equal partner of the United States. ``The positive meaning of the new treaty is that once again it has fixed the equal status of Russia and the United States as two nuclear superpowers, and fixed that relation for a rather long time,'' Ret. Gen. Vladimir Dvorkin, a former top arms control negotiator who helped draft previous nuclear deals with Washington, said on Russia's ORT television. The U.S.-Russian treaty, signed by President Bush and Russian President Vladimir Putin in the Kremlin on Friday, foresees cuts in each country's nuclear arsenals to 1,700 to 2,200 warheads from the approximately 6,000 that each is now allowed. Bush, initially reluctant to codify the nuclear arms reductions, later agreed to Putin's push for a legally binding treaty. ``This treaty is a serious achievement of Russian diplomacy,'' said Sergei Rogov, the head of the USA and Canada Institute, a leading think-tank specializing in arms control and foreign affairs. ``A few months ago, the United States didn't want to take on any legal obligations, and it appeared that the whole arms control regime would disintegrate,'' Rogov said on ORT. Konstantin Kosachev, a deputy head of the Russian parliament's foreign affairs committee, said that with Russian nuclear forces facing imminent cuts because of fund shortage, it was especially important to reach an arms control deal with the United States. ``It's a sign of goodwill shown by Bush, and it must be highly appreciated,'' he said. While Washington accepted Russia's proposal to formalize the arms reductions in a treaty, it dismissed Russian complaints about the Pentagon's plan to stockpile some of the decommissioned weapons rather than destroy them. That prompted Russian hard-liners to assail the treaty as caving in to the United States, and Communist Party chief Gennady Zyuganov accused Putin of treason. Russia's Defense Minister Sergei Ivanov dismissed the allegations that the new deal compromised Russia's security interests. ``Now we are facing new threats,'' Ivanov said. ``The presidents paid close attention to the fight against terror and nonproliferation efforts - the threats of the 21st century.'' The arms control deal reflects the continuing warming of relations, bolstered by Putin's support for the U.S. war on terror. But the summit agenda was marred by U.S. concern about Russia's military and nuclear cooperation with Iran and Moscow's criticism of a possible U.S. military action against Iraq, another longtime ally of Moscow. ******* #3 Christian Science Monitor May 24, 2002 The view from Russia By Fred Weir | Special to The Christian Science Monitor MOSCOW – In the wake of a new nuclear arms control treaty between their country and the US, many Russians are feeling an undertow of doubt. Ordinary citizens here often express confusion and sometimes outright suspicion about American intentions toward Russia. Some members of the policy elite complain that the summit – and the sweeping agreements to be signed today – are little more than smoke-and-mirrors designed to conceal Russia's descent into strategic irrelevance. "What partnership?" asks Andranik Migranyan, vice-chair of the Reforma Foundation, an independent Moscow-based think tank. "Americans understand partnership as the complete subordination of Russia to American interests," he says. "The agreements to be signed at this summit are meaningless window dressing, designed to keep Russia in its orbit." Opinion polls on Russian attitudes toward the US are mixed, but tend to show a population deeply divided and dubious about the prospects for the strategic partnership championed by the Kremlin. One survey, conducted this month among 1,000 adults in the 10 largest Russian cities by the independent ROMIR agency, asked people what they thought of American designs toward Russia. Almost 29 percent answered that the US was a "friendly" power; 28 percent said the US is "neutral" in its attitude; and 40 percent described the US as having "hostile" intentions. Vladimir Fayer, a young information technician says he doesn't expect anything worthwhile from the summit. "I wish Russia would stop following the West and speak more independently," he says. "All these years of following the American path has done no good at all." Housewife Svetlana Lapichkina is more sanguine. "The summit won't change anything," she says, "but the mere fact that it's taking place gives hope that Russia and the US can find common language and stop interfering in each other's business." Putin has been steering Russia Westward since Sept. 11, when he phoned Bush to offer full support in the war against terrorism. Since then, the Kremlin has turned the other cheek as US forces entrenched in several former Soviet Central Asian republics and the troubled Caucasus nation of Georgia. Putin barely winced when Bush unilaterally pulled the US out of the 1972 Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty, which Russia still regards as the keystone of strategic stability. "Putin is far ahead of the Russian public and elite in his pro-Western policies," says Sergei Kolmakov, an expert with the independent Center for the Development of Parliamentarism in Moscow. "It is a traditional position for a Russian reformer to be in, but it's not a comfortable one." Today the two presidents will seal a treaty to radically slash the offensive nuclear arsenals of both sides from the current levels of around 6,000 warheads each to about 2,000 each by the year 2012. While the deal is more far-reaching than even the wildest cold war-era hopes for disarmament, it is clouded by US insistence on storing its own decommissioned warheads rather than destroying them. Pavel Felgenhauer, an independent defense expert, says this could leave the US with a vast preponderance of near-ready strategic arms within 10 years, since Russia will be forced by economic reasons to destroy most of its delivery systems. The presidents also will sign a non-binding declaration of strategic partnership that optimists say could remove the single greatest obstacle to better security relations between the two nuclear powers by granting Russia a partnership role in the US "Star Wars" anti-missile defense project. But, according to Mr. Felgenhauer, "Washington has never managed to run a major defense production and procurement program in cooperation with its closest European allies, let alone Moscow." In addition, Putin agreed last week to join a historic NATO-Russia Council that will, for the first time, give Moscow a limited say over the Western alliance's policies in fighting terrorism, curbing the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction, and peacekeeping operations. In exchange the Kremlin has dropped its objections to NATO plans to induct three former-Soviet Baltic states into the alliance. "Basically, Russia is giving up substantive things by allowing the penetration of US power into the former USSR, where we definitely would not want the Americans to be," says Mr. Migranyan. "In return, we are given treaties of little or no importance." Optimists counter that the summit is just the start of an essentially fresh US-Russia dialogue that will lead to a new model of problem-solving between the two states. They point out that Bush spent less than 24 hours in Germany, but plans to stay in Russia for three days. Where he was greeted by crowds of furious anti-globalist protesters in Berlin, only a handful of elderly communists were picketing the US Embassy in Moscow yesterday. "Anti-Americanism is stronger in Europe than it is in Russia," says Andrei Piontkovsky, director of the independent Center for Strategic Studies in Moscow. "I don't believe there are any lasting anti-American moods in Russia." The cold war-era strategic calculus is no longer the crucial measure of relations, optimists say, but rather economic and more mundane political issues have come to the fore. "That is a major, and probably permanent, shift from the past," says Anatoly Bursov, a professor at the Diplomatic Academy. One question hanging over the summit is whether Bush will officially declare Russia to be a "market economy." Before leaving the US, he had urged Congress to lift trade restrictions against Russia imposed by the Jackson-Vanik amendment that ties Moscow's trade privileges to its policies on human rights. Senators refused, but signaled future willingness to remove the restrictions if Moscow fully lifts a ban on poultry imports from the US. ****** #4 White House May 24, 2002 Remarks by the President to Community and Religious Leaders Spaso House Moscow, Russia 4:40 P.M. (Local) PRESIDENT BUSH: Thank you all very much. Mr. Ambassador, thank you, and Lisa, for opening up your modest home. (Laughter.) I bet every ambassador that represents the United States wishes they lived this way. But we appreciate your taking on this very important assignment, and that is to represent our country here in Russia. I'm honored that Laura was traveling with me today. Trips always seem to go so much better when she is by my side, so I'm really glad you got to meet Laura. I like to tell the story in America that when I married her, she was a public school librarian who didn't like politics and didn't particularly care for politicians. (Laughter.) And then she got stuck marrying one. (Laughter.) But she's doing a great job for our country and I'm real proud of her. And I'm proud of the team I put together, as well. I've got a great national security team, headed by Colin Powell and by Condi Rice and Andy Card. And I'm honored they're traveling with me and I'm honored you have a chance to meet them, as well. And thank you all for coming. For those of us, the Spaso House -- at least those of us who pay attention to international politics -- the Spaso House was always viewed as a refuge for freedom. And I'm so privileged to give you a few comments here in this historic setting, where so much history was written. You know, I'm aware that during World War II, Russian-American diplomats and soldiers met here as allies. It's kind of an interesting part of the history of this house. And during the Cold War, this is where many of you came -- refusniks and human rights activists. You're always welcome here and we're glad you're here. Our nation stands for freedom. That's what we're fighting off the terrorists about. We believe so strongly in freedom, we're willing to defend it at all costs. The Soviet era is gone. The Cold War, I hope, is past us. And today, President Putin and I signed an historic document. It was more than just a document that reduces nuclear weaponry, although that in itself is good. It's a document that says there's a new era ahead of us; that instead of being stuck in the past, these two leaders are willing to take two great countries forward in a new relationship built on common interests and cooperation. And cooperation on all fronts -- the idea of working together to make the Russian economy strong and vibrant, so people can make a living, so people have hope about putting bread on the table for their families. The cooperation of fighting terror, the cooperation of promoting peace. But the best cooperation also must be based on common values, as well as common interests. And I want you to know that we hold the values in America dear, and you know that. We hold dear what our Declaration of Independence says, that all have got uninalienable rights, endowed by a Creator -- not endowed by the ones who wrote the Declaration of Independence, but by a Creator, a universal Creator. I want you to know that I believe all governments have a duty and responsibility to protect those rights, those inalienable rights. In Soviet times, people heroically defended those rights with incredible courage, and you earned the respect of a lot of people -- a lot of people -- by doing so. Many of you now are active in a modern Russia, and I want to thank you for staying active and involved in this important society, starting with making sure that freedom is protected by rule of law, and we agree completely. And we hope we can help. Because rule of law is essential for a modern society to thrive and to succeed. I applaud your commitment and your patriotism. I love the fact that you love your country. I love mine and you love yours, and that's incredibly healthy and important. You understand that free nations and a free Russia require strong civic and religious institutions committed to democratic values. Russia's on the road to democracy, but it's important, as she does so, that she embrace the values inherent in democracy. In the past, I know you know that we have been committed to helping institutions which promote those values through direct government assistance, and we will continue to do so. We believe it's for the good of Russia. We believe it will help Russia develop in a way that will be -- enable Russia to become a lasting friend. And that's what I'm interested in. I'm interested in friendship, and peace, and mutual development. Most Russians want and expect what most Americans want and expect -- and that's important for the Russian people and the American people to understand -- a government -- starting with a government that works for citizens, that represents everyday citizens, not a corrupt elite. And that's important. People want a society ruled by law, not by special privilege, special circumstance, a law where people are treated equally, regardless of their religion, ethnicity, income level. In a multi-ethnic society, people must work toward tolerance, and reject extremism. It's important in America, just like it's important here in Russia. And this is a multi-ethnic society, to the credit of Russia, just like America is a multi-ethnic society, which makes our country strong. We're bound together by common values, and so can Russia be bound by the same values. To reach these goals, societies need fair laws, and as importantly, fair enforcement of law. They need independent media that is respected by the government. I remind those who sometimes get frustrated with the media that, even in America, elected officials sometimes don't agree what's written about them. Maybe especially America, for all I know. (Laughter.) But it's important for those of us who value democracy to promote an independent media. Opposition parties must be free to associate and must be free to speak their minds. In order for a democracy to be strong, there has to be competition of ideas, a free discussion of ideas and an airing of philosophy in an open way. Freedom of religion and separation of church and state are so important, so important so that people can worship as they choose -- Jews, Muslims and all Christians, and all religions. Free societies have all got to meet the great challenges we face in ways consistent with values. That's what I'm here to tell you that's in my heart. That's what I want you to know about this administration -- that we're not only committed to fighting terrorism, and we will, we are. We were under attack in America. In Germany yesterday I said, September the 11th was just a fine -- just as clear a dividing line in our history, in our nation's history, as Pearl Harbor. It was. America at one time was protected by two oceans; we seemed totally invulnerable to, for example, the wars that took place here in Russia or on the European Continent, all of a sudden found ourselves attacked -- because we love freedom, because we respect religion, because we honor discourse. And you need to know that we're going to defend ourselves, and defend that which we hold dear, and at the same time, protect civilization itself. But in Afghanistan, we've shown, I believe, how to do it, in a way that's commiserate with our values -- that, on the one hand, we're plenty tough, and we will be. We've got a military we're going to use, if we need to, to defend freedom. But on the other hand, we delivered a lot of medicine and a lot of food. We hurt thinking not only that the children in Afghanistan could not go to school, we cried for the fact that people were starving in the country. We have rebuilt schools. We have also provided medicine and food. Russia is building hospitals in Afghanistan. It's incredibly positive, we think. Nations are not only contributing military forces, but we're working to build a state that can function on her own, a state at peace in the neighborhood, and a state where people have got hope and a chance to survive, where moms and dads can raise their children in peace. And that's important for you to know, as well. You know, a lot of times people talk about the tough talk. But you've got to understand, we also have got a soft heart when it comes to the human condition. Each individual matters to me. Each individual has got worth and dignity. The experience in Afghanistan has taught us all that there's lessons to be learned about how to protect one's homeland and, at the same time, be respectful on the battlefield. And that lesson applies to Chechnya. The war on terror can be won and, at the same time, we have proven it's possible to respect the rights of the people in the territories, to respect the rights of the minorities. We are -- I represent a great nation, and Russia is a great nation. Both of us share a lot. We've got a big resource base. We've got people who are very smart. I remind Vladimir Putin that the great resource of Russia is the people of Russia. The resource of this country is the brain power of this country. And when they get the system right, that encourages individual growth and entrepreneurship, that brain power is going to flourish, and so will commerce, and so will opportunity. And while that happens, both nations must respect the multi-ethnic character of our lands. That, too, makes us great. And how we promote that multi-ethnicity, and how we respect human rights is another way we'll be judged by history. We'll be judged by history on how we defend our freedoms. We'll be judged in history by how we help our people prosper and grow. And we'll be judged by history as to whether or not we defend the universal values that are right and just and true. I want to thank you for that commitment to those values. I appreciate your stance for freedom. I appreciate your love of your country. I appreciate your understanding there is a universal and gracious God. May God bless you all. May God bless Russia. And may God bless the United States. Thank you very much. (Applause.) END 5:05 P.M. (Local) ******* #5 White House May 24, 2002 Joint Statement by President George W. Bush and President Vladimir V. Putin on U.S.-Russian People-To-People Contacts In keeping with the spirit of cooperation between our two countries, we affirm the importance of strengthening contacts between our societies and citizens. We are confident that direct links between our cities, states and regions, businesses, educational, research, and medical institutions, and non-governmental organizations increase communication and promote understanding and trust between the United States and Russia. Over the past decade, direct ties between Americans and Russians have grown rapidly, and they continue to broaden and deepen, including through joint business ventures and trade and economic relationships, academic and cultural exchanges, and cooperative efforts aimed at protecting the environment and developing new medical technologies and cures for the most deadly diseases. Such cooperation now goes beyond programs, projects, and agreements financed by our governments; our primary role in the future should be to support this trend by removing legal, bureaucratic, and other impediments. Recognizing the mutual benefits of travel for our private and official visitors, the United States and Russia are committed to streamlining visa practices and taking additional steps to facilitate travel. To this end, we have agreed to reduce substantially visa fees for participants in student and school exchanges. We note that government-supported partnerships between American and Russian institutions are flourishing: they include 94 Russian-American sister cities, 8 hospital partnerships, and 37 university partnerships. In addition, more than 100 U.S.-Russian community and institutional partnerships have been forged between local governments, judges, businesses, professional associations, and other non-governmental groups. We also recognize the strong ties between American and Russian regions and cities, especially the Russian Far East and the U.S. West Coast. Thanks to existing intergovernmental agreements, Native American and Russian citizens can visit their relatives in Alaska and Chukotka visa-free. In an effort to stimulate more of these regional ties, we have just begun a new program which will use U.S.-Russian partnerships to facilitate cooperation, strengthen civil society and media, and improve the business climate in the Russian Far East and the Volga Federal District. Government-supported exchange programs that send Russians to the United States and Americans to Russia have also grown exponentially over the past decade. Under these programs, more than 50,000 Russian students, scientists, legislators and others have been hosted by families and communities in all 50 American states. Last year alone, about 1,000 Russian entrepreneurs visited the United States to exchange experiences and develop mutually profitable ties with their American hosts; these business exchanges are set to increase significantly this year. Meanwhile, thousands of American scholars, scientists, business people, health care professionals, language teachers, and other experts from many walks of life have spent time in virtually every region of Russia, working side-by-side with their Russian colleagues. We will also continue to support our partnership in the critically important area of health care. Our priorities are fighting such infectious diseases as tuberculosis, improving maternal and child health in order to reduce maternal and child mortality, and combating cardiovascular disease. The United States and Russia are committed to preventing the spread of HIV/AIDS. In three regions in Russia, we are currently carrying out health education programs aimed at high-risk populations. We are pleased to note that funding will now be provided for an HIV/AIDS prevention program in a fourth site -- St. Petersburg and Leningrad Oblast. In addition, joint programs for the treatment of tuberculosis within the framework of the World Health Organization are now underway in a number of Russian regions. We will promote further expansion of contacts in such areas of cooperation as information technology, the natural and social sciences, and areas of fundamental research, such as fusion energy and high-energy physics. A viable and independent media sector is an integral component of democracy in both our countries. Accordingly, we initiated the Media Entrepreneurship Dialogue in November. This dialogue has brought together American and Russian media professionals in a business-to-business partnership to exchange experience in resolving problems facing the media, including those of ensuring the development of commercially viable independent media. We welcome the successful development of this dialogue. We also welcome a new partnership starting this year that will bring together Moscow State University's journalism school with an American school of journalism to develop curricula and materials used for training media managers and journalists. The availability and use of the Internet in both the United States and Russia has increased dramatically in recent years, greatly facilitating communication between our two peoples. Both governments will do all in their power to create the conditions for information to flow freely within and between our two countries. Both of our countries are rich in the vast territories they cover and in the diversity of their populations. Respecting the spiritual, cultural, and ethnic legacies of our nations, we affirm our commitment to universal values in the sphere of human rights and religious freedoms. We will seek to promote a climate of mutual tolerance and respect between different creeds and beliefs. To advance these goals, new initiatives are being developed to support Russian and American non-governmental organizations. Our governments intend to promote further cultural interchange between our two countries, including the organization of exchanges between national museums, theaters, operas, ballets, orchestras, and individual artists. In addition, we will seek to promote activities that will enable American and Russian scholars, artists, and ordinary citizens to learn more about one another's history, language, and culture. We encourage the establishment of new contacts between American and Russian organizations such as the agreement between the State Hermitage Museum and the S. Guggenheim Foundation. Through the centuries, Russia's great poets, novelists, painters, composers, and scientists have made brilliant contributions to world civilization, and Americans find their own lives enriched by learning more about this cultural legacy. Similarly, Russians have shown a great interest in learning more about American contributions to the arts and sciences. Increased appreciation of each other's cultures will help advance relations between our two nations into the future. ******* #6 White House May 24, 2002 Fact Sheet U.S.-Russian People-To-People Cooperation People-to-People programs create direct linkages between citizens, cities, businesses, educational and research institutions, hospitals, and non-governmental organizations of all kinds for the purpose of promoting understanding, sharing know-how, and developing new solutions to common problems. Partnerships: Currently, partnerships between American and Russian institutions are flourishing. They include eight hospital partnerships, 37 university partnerships, and 94 Russian-American sister cities. More than 100 additional American-Russian community and institutional partnerships have also been forged between local governments, judges, businesses, professional associations, and other non-governmental organizations. Many of these partnerships continue in one form or another after government support has ended because those involved find them mutually beneficial and value the strong personal connections that have resulted. Especially strong ties between American and Russian regions and cities have been developed, notably between the Russian Far East and the U.S. West Coast. In an effort to encourage more of these ties, the U.S. Agency for International Development has begun a new $2.3 million program that will develop U.S.-Russian partnerships to facilitate cooperation, strengthen civil society and media, and improve the business climate in the Russian Far East and the Volga Federal District. Exchanges: The United States Government sponsors a wide range of academic and professional exchange programs through which American and Russian participants create lasting relationships and gain valuable insights and experience as they learn about each others? society and culture. Under these programs, more than 50,000 Russians have visited the United States on long- and short-term programs. In 2001, under State Department auspices, 355 Russian high school students and 64 undergraduate students spent a full academic year in U.S. high schools and colleges. The Fulbright Program provided two-way exchange for 54 American and 59 Russian university professors and students. The International Visitors program enabled 365 Russian professionals and officials to learn about American practices in their fields on sponsored trips across the United States. Programs that facilitate new linkages between American and Russian businesspeople continue to create new opportunities for both countries. Last year alone, through the State Department-sponsored Community Connections Program and the Productivity Enhancement Program, 975 Russian entrepreneurs visited the United States to participate in training and internships at American businesses. These business exchanges will increase significantly this year. Each year, hundreds of American and Russian scientists participated in exchanges and cooperative research across such diverse scientific fields as physics and nuclear energy, ocean studies, environment, and health. Efforts are underway to strengthen and broaden scientific cooperation from which both sides derive benefits. Through the Peace Corps, 160 volunteers are providing English-language and business education and support to schools and institutes, entrepreneurs, organizations, professional associations, government officials, and non-governmental organizations across Russia. Volunteers are also helping to disseminate practical business information, build new civic institutions, revitalize education, and protect the environment. Currently in its fourth year of operation, in 2002 the Open World Russian Leadership Program at the Library of Congress will bring 2,600 young Russian leaders to the United States. Russians participants will represent all levels of government in Russia and all of Russia's regions. The 2002 program will focus on rule of law, education reform, federalism, health, the environment, economic development, women as leaders, and youth issues. In order to facilitate people-to-people linkages, the United States and Russia have agreed to reduce visa fees for all students, exchange visitors, and those traveling to the United States or Russia for vocational training. The United States and Russia are committed to modernizing visa practices and taking other steps that will both enhance security and facilitate legitimate travel. These significant steps will also remove barriers to trade and investment and stimulate economic development while protecting borders. The United States has also begun a program that allows Russian citizens to apply for nonimmigrant visas in cities throughout the Russian Federation. The program will expand in the coming year to make it possible for Russian tourists, businessmen, students, and other travelers to apply for such visas more easily. Already, this program has enhanced people-to-people linkages at the regional and local levels. Access to Information: Through the U.S. Agency for International Development and the Department of State, the United States Government continues to support the development of Russian independent print and broadcast media, as well as broader access to the Internet. Programs emphasize training, business development, network and association building, production support, and legal advocacy. Through the Department of State, the Internet Access and Training Program provides public access Internet centers and Internet training at 66 sites in 44 cities throughout Russia. Last November, a new Russian-American Media Entrepreneurship Dialogue was launched. The Newspaper Association of America and the National Association of Broadcasters are working with Russian partner organizations to explore ways to create conditions that allow an independent, commercial media industry to flourish in Russia. The Department of State will be initiating a new program this year to partner the Moscow State University Journalism Faculty with an American school of journalism. This partnership will advance the education of future media professionals. Human Rights and Democracy: Through the U.S. Agency for International Development, a new program will advance our mutual interests in promoting tolerance and understanding among our diverse populations. A budget of $1.0 million will fund new partnership initiatives to support Russian non-governmental organizations working to promote tolerance, human rights, and religious freedom. The U.S. Embassy Democracy Commission Small Grants Program awards grants of up to $24,000 to Russian NGOs for projects to enhance the development of indigenous democratic institutions and practices. In 2002, this program will be expanded by 50 percent in order to provide funding for initiatives to advance religious and ethnic tolerance. The National Endowment for Democracy provides additional grant support to promote political and economic freedom, a strong civil society, independent media, human rights, and the rule of law in Russia. Health Cooperation: Health care professionals and hospitals from across the United States have participated in partnerships with their Russian counterparts, contributing to our critically important work in health care and the battle to prevent and cure infectious diseases, cardiovascular disease, and efforts to improve maternal and child health. The U.S. Agency for International Development Health Partnerships program is linking health care professionals and institutions in eight American and Russian cities. The partnerships are tackling such issues as infection control, clinical practice guidelines, financial management, primary health care, women's health, and asthma. The United States and Russia have agreed to intensify cooperation to prevent the spread of HIV/AIDS and other infectious diseases. In three pilot sites in Russia, we are currently implementing health education programs aimed at populations at high-risk for HIV/AIDS and other sexually transmitted diseases. We have provided additional funding for a fourth site that will operate in St. Petersburg and Leningrad oblast. Joint programs for the treatment of tuberculosis are now underway in three Russian oblasts, and will expand to a fourth oblast soon. The United States and Russia have also pledged to address the causes of the decline in the life expectancy of the Russian people by combating heart disease, hypertension, and related behavioral factors. ******* #7 Moscow Tribune May 24, 2002 AFTER BUSH LEAVES Does he really need partners? Stanislav Menshikov About this time in May thirty years ago, this writer together with others was in the bar of the Intourist Hotel in Moscow waiting for the final documents to be signed at the 1972 Nixon-Brezhnev summit. The SALT-1 and ABM Treaties were yet to be flown in from Helsinki, and everybody was worried about a possible last moment breakdown. The Vietnam War, in which the SU and US participated by proxy, was still on, and the summit itself was made possible only after Brezhnev forced three opposing Politburo members to resign. At that time, both countries had less strategic warheads than today, and the critical build-up of nuclear arsenals was yet to come. In three years, the US would leave Vietnam. Another proxy war would soon flare up in Afghanistan. We were in the thick of a Cold War. Yet, underlying that summit was an understanding of the need to call for a stop. Today, as Bush and Putin meet again on Russian soil, there is a lot of talk about finally putting an end to the old confrontation. This new summit is claimed to be the last one on strategic arms and the first one on strategic partnership. Both claims are overstatements. In three weeks, the ABM Treaty will be buried, and the US will be free to go ahead with "star wars". Under the new treaty dubbed START-3, Russia and America will be free to modernise their nuclear armaments as only they see fit. Thousands of warheads will be stored as insurance against future contingencies. MIRVed missiles will be again permitted. This unsatisfactory condition will remain unless both sides choose to improve it by mutual agreement. Which means more summits on strategic arms. The world cannot free itself of nuclear MADness by passively observing a continuing arms standoff. However, a new and safer international order can be built only through concerted action. That is not possible if the most powerful country - the US - chooses to act unilaterally in the belief that the only partners it needs are those who tamely follow its directives. That principle will inevitably backlash because it is in conflict with national interests. When Bush comes to Moscow to lecture Putin on democracy and human rights, he is acting in the old fashioned imperial tradition that will most likely not work. Not because Russia is an ideal country, but because normally nations do not change under foreign pressure. These days Moscow and Saint Petersburg have no illusions about strategic friendship or goodies that might be forthcoming from Bush's visit. One real advantage is seen in maintaining peaceful relations with a long-time opponent. Russia needs a relatively quiet stretch of time to grow economically and restore some of its former status in the world. This may or not come true depending on what Mr. Bush's hawkish friends back home have on their minds. If they proceed with plans for attacking Iraq or choose to extend their military presence in Central Asia and Georgia or go ahead with ABM systems that directly affect Russia's national security - then the sailing will be rough. In the long run, it is hard to see the US and Russia as natural full-fledged partners. Their lists of potential enemies, including international terrorists, are too different to make them meaningful military allies. Their economies are not as complementary, as some writers so readily assume. That does not mean that the two countries need necessarily to be close partners. They may simply maintain good relations by working together on issues where their interests coincide, avoiding confrontations where their interests are different and refraining from messing with each other's spheres of influence. To pursue such an agenda for a relatively weak Russia is not that difficult. But it does mean certain restraint on the part of the US, which is used to the role of a world leader. Unlike in the past, Moscow does not wish to lead others or create blocs under its guidance. But it also has security interests in the so called post-Soviet space that cannot be ignored. A recent "Washington Post" editorial wants Russia out of all these areas and asks Bush to press Putin in that direction. That approach is not reasonable. The US may not like Alexander Lukashenko, but Belarus is an important strategic ally of Russia and will likely remain so in the future. The West applauds Putin for allegedly giving up on NATO expansion to the Russian borders. But Moscow still vehemently opposes including the Baltic states into that alliance. Russia hopes that by participating in the new Council of Twenty, it can somewhat change the former military purpose of NATO. The fact is that NATO expansion was seen as protecting those countries against a Russian threat. If that danger is no longer valid, why continue the expansion? One word from Washington would be enough to change the tide. If Bush really wants Russia as a partner he should think hard and change. If he does not, then let us stop pretending. Grownups can do without illusions. ******* #8 The Russia Journal May 24-30, 3003 The U.S. to Russia: ‘You don’t matter’ By ANDREI PIONTKOVSKY For more than 10 years, Russian and American nuclear strategy experts have held an annual seminar in the little Italian town of Eriche at the end of August. The informal atmosphere and close contacts enable us to hold constructive discussions and come up with early – and, in our opinion, rational – solutions to increasingly pressing problems between the former rivals. Back in 1997, for example, we proposed amendments to the 1972 Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty that would preserve its essence while better taking into account Russian and U.S. interests. I have already written about how Russia so stupidly let the opportunity to use this solution slip while the Clinton administration was in power. But now I want to write about our meeting in August 2001, the first since the Republican administration of President George W. Bush took office. Our old friends seemed to have changed completely. They didn’t want to listen to a word about amending old treaties or signing new ones. Instead, they repeated over and over a single rote-learned official formula: "We are friends, and friends don’t need to sign treaties." It was reminiscent of the long-forgotten times when Soviet participants at these kinds of seminars were obliged to stick firmly to the official party line. But sitting down to a bottle of good Italian wine, I finally got on my Los Alamos colleague’s nerves with these sorts of comparisons. "All right," snapped my colleague (let’s call him Steve). "I’ll tell you the real reason why we don’t want to sign any treaties with you: You don’t matter." "Steve, you can’t imagine what an anti-American statement you just made," I replied. "We’re friends with you, but we don’t mean anything. In other words, to mean something for America, you have to be its enemy." A lot has happened since that exchange – the Sept. 11 attacks, the joint operation in Afghanistan, the U.S. withdrawal from the ABM Treaty, and Washington’s initial refusal and later acceptance to sign a strategic arms reduction treaty with Moscow. Objective geopolitical interests are pushing the two countries into strategic partnership, while the hang-ups and prejudices of their respective elites are only getting in the way. The main stumbling block on the American side is the message "you don’t matter," which Washington sends from time to time, not only to Russia, but to its own closest allies. I remembered my conversation with Steve at the end of April when Crown Prince Abdullah, the authoritarian leader of the medieval kingdom of Saudi Arabia, visited the United States. Of the 25 men accused of plotting or carrying out the suicide hijackings in New York and Washington, 19 were from Saudi Arabia. It’s not politically correct to say so in Washington, but everyone knows that Saudi Arabia provides the main financial base for Islamic terrorism and sponsors an international network of hundreds of Wahhabite "schools" that act as incubators for breeding hatred toward the United States, the West in general and Russia, while nurturing thousands of ignorant fanatics. The Saudi royal family hopes this support will appease its country’s own militants. And so Prince Abdullah came to call on the U.S. president and set about blackmailing him, saying if the United States didn’t pursue policies Saudi Arabia liked, "the consequences could be unpredictable." Just imagine if 19 of the 25 terrorists had been Russian and President Vladimir Putin then went to Washington to demand that George Bush change his policy on, say, NATO expansion. The next day, Bush, sounding hesitant and not very convincing, spoke the words Abdullah demanded of him. So who does matter more to the United States? Those who provide a shoulder for America to lean on at a difficult moment, or those who commandeer American jets and fly them into American buildings? The writer is director of the Center for Strategic Research. ******* #9 Date: Fri, 24 May 2002 From: Matt BivensSubject: CORRECTION re article in 6267 My Nation article about Nunn-Lugar reported, incorrectly, that the new $20 billion non-proliferation program the Bush Administration is flirting with would ask the Japanese and Europeans to "each" contribute $10 billion. The "each" was an editing error. Actually, the plan as described so far by unnamed diplomats is for the U.S. to kick in $10 billion and for the rest of the West to collectively come up with the second $10 billion. ******* #10 Izvestia May 24, 2002 UNITED AND DIVISIBLE The battle for territory may greatly reshape Russia's internal borders Author: Viktoriya Voloshina, Vladimir Demchenko [from WPS Monitoring Agency, www.wps.ru/e_index.html] ON THE MAP OF RUSSIA, REGIONAL BORDERS ARE MARKED WITH A HARD-EDGED BOLD LINE. HOWEVER, EVEN THE MOST DETAILED MAP DOESN'T REFLECT REALITY. RUSSIAN LAW HAS NO PROPER MECHANISM OF RESOLVING TERRITORIAL DISPUTES, AND PROSPECTS FOR CHANGE ARE VAGUE. On the map of Russia, regional borders are marked with a hard- edged bold line. However, even the most detailed map doesn't reflect reality. Now that the Land Code has been adopted and land has become a saleable commodity of which there is a shortage, there are battles over almost every square meter of it. In reality, the "border" issues are not as clear as in the glossy atlas of cartographers. Speaking at the latest session of the Moscow City Duma, Senior Deputy Mayor of Moscow Anatoly Petrov told the deputies that in the immediate future Moscow and the Moscow region would be ready to sign an agreement on the borderline between the two neighboring regions. However, as our survey showed, neither of the parties ready to affix their signatures would accept any real concessions. Similarly, parties involved in many other territorial disputes in the regions of Russia do not accept any concessions. At the same time, there are no mechanisms of resolving territorial disputes between components of the Russian Federation. The borderline war between Moscow and the Moscow region started since the very moment Boris Gromov had been elected Moscow Governor. Assuming the large economy, the general rigorously inspected the entrusted territory as in the army and first of all verified whether the border was locked. In the opinion of Gromov, the border proved to be fuzzy completely: he had counted 27 moot areas where Moscow "has intruded." This primarily had to do with the lands of Sheremetyevo-2 airport, a 45 meters' wide area on the outer side of the Moscow Ring Road and, thirdly, 25 areas more. The governor's interest for the "moot borderline territories" is realizable. Almost every day gasoline stations, camping-sites, by-road shops and restaurants are constructed on the 45 meters' wide area along the Moscow Ring Road - they pay taxes to the budget of the federal subject on the land of which they stand. In Anatoly Petrov's words, the coordination group spent three years in archival depositories studying old maps and documents, visiting moot areas, was nearly measuring spots with a land surveyor, and finally determined where the line of demarcation would pass. Constant unrest along borders can be observed in many Russian regions. It is enough to recall the territorial dispute between Kalmykia and the Astrakhan region, which has dragged on for years; or the claims of the Krasnoyarsk territory to the Taimyr autonomous district. The issue of merging Priangarye and the Ust-Ordynsky Buryatsky autonomous district into the Pribaikalye territory has been considered in the Irkutsk region. A territorial dispute has broken out between the Tula and Oryol regions recently. There are proposals for enlarging regions, primarily by merging small regions, such as the Kostroma, Pskov and Ivanovo regions. However, let alone the fact that this would require rewriting the Constitution, heads of these regions immediately launch active campaign for counteracting similar initiatives. Following a recent proposal of Yaroslavl Governor Anatoly Lisitsyn to start enlarging, local authorities of the Kostroma and Ivanovo regions have immediately sent indignant addresses to the president of Russia. For all the elegance of the grounds the disputing parties contrive to give their objections, the real background is plain to see. It is money. Kalmykia and the Astrakhan region are dividing payments for oil transit via the oil pipeline running through the controversial territory, whereas tax receipts from the largest Norilsk enterprises are divided in the Krasnoyarsk territory. The issue of revising borderlines between certain regions is not new. However, the prospects of resolving the territorial disputes are rather vague. In compliance with the Constitution, borderlines of regions must be modified by mutual consent of the bordering regions. Later on, the Federation Council must approve this consent. However, Russian law does not provide a mechanism of settling disputes in which neither of the parties wants to yield (as practice shows, this is almost always the case). Mikhail Sivachev, advisor to the head of the Federal Land Service, was quoted as saying that until the law on borders between regions is adopted, the service cannot deal with such issues. The bill has been available for a long time already, and last fall it was even planned to submit it to the Duma. According to this bill, the Federal Land Service and the Federal Service of Geodesy and Cartography will be responsible for resolving borderline disputes. However, thus far neither the Cabinet's program nor the Duma's agenda include this bill. Thus far, resolution of any territorial disputes has been left to the regions themselves. (Translated by Andrei Ryabochkin) ******* #11 The Guardian (UK) 24 May 2002 Russian nuclear dump plan attacked by Arctic governor Moscow denies claims that archipelago will be used for imported waste By Paul Brown, environment correspondent Russia is considering plans to build a burial facility for nuclear waste on an Arctic archipelago, raising fears that the country is poised to put into action a multi-million pound new business importing spent fuel from western countries. Vitaly Nasonov, a spokesman for the country's atomic energy ministry, Minatom, said tentative plans to develop the Novaya Zemlya testing site - on Simushir island, part of the Kurily islands in far east Russia - into a dump were approved on Wednesday and a working design was being prepared. But he denied claims that the dump would be used for imported waste. Russia uses the site for sub-critical tests of nuclear weapons, in which plutonium is blasted with explosives that are too weak to set off an atomic chain reaction. The tests are not prohibited by the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty. But Russia has observed a moratorium on full nuclear testing since October 1990. Mr Nasonov said ecological studies had been conducted on the site, and that visiting experts from the US and Norway had found it suitable for dumping waste. Last summer, President Vladimir Putin signed a law allowing Russia to import spent nuclear fuel from other countries for storage and reprocessing. Supporters of the plan say it could earn Russia up to £15bn over the next decade. Last month, Alexander Rumyantsev, the head of Minatom, met environmental activists and openly talked about importing waste as a money-making venture. The money would be used to make Russian nuclear installations safer, he said. The US controls most of the nuclear waste outside the former Soviet Union under existing agreements, so the Bush administration would need to approve any new trade to Russia. A destination for the imported waste has not been named. In March, Mr Rumyantsev had talked about a new site when he confirmed his intention to open Russia up to the import of low-level radioactive waste from Taiwan, possibly Japan, China and other Asian countries. Yesterday Anatoly Yefremov, governor of the Novaya Zemlya Arctic region, ruled out any foreign waste coming to the archipelago. He said: "The transfer of radioactive wastes to Novaya Zemlya from outside the region, not to mention from abroad, is just out of the question," the Interfax news agency reported. Tony Juniper, of Friends of the Earth, said yesterday: "It is good if Russia is taking steps to deal with its own nuclear waste legacy, but the trade of toxic waste across national boundaries is a very bad idea. Russia has changed its law to allow the import of waste, we should change ours to forbid its export. This must not be allowed to happen." Britain has an increasing volume of high and medium level waste in store, with no depository in prospect. Despite this, the policy of the government is to deal with the waste at home. A senior executive in the industry said yesterday that they were aware that the Russians saw importing spent fuel and waste as a potential big money-spinner. He could not, however, envisage British nuclear companies wanting to take advantage or being allowed to by the government. Last week, Russia's foreign minister, Igor Ivanov, strongly denied a report in the New York Times stating that the US joint atomic energy intelligence committee had detected signs that Russia was preparing to resume full nuclear testing on the archipelago. ******* #12 The Nation June 10, 2002 book review Grabitization (Don't Look) By Matt Taibbi The Oligarchs: Wealth and Power in the New Russia. By David Hoffman. Public Affairs. 567 pp. $30. Building Capitalism: The Transformation of the Former Soviet Bloc. By Anders Aslund. Cambridge. 508 pp. Paper $26.95. Almost everything that is wrong with Washington Post foreign editor David Hoffman's new book about Russia's transformation into a capitalist system, The Oligarchs, can be discerned in one small and apparently meaningless passage on page 91. In it, the erstwhile Moscow bureau chief of the Post (1995-2001) describes former Russian Deputy Prime Minister Anatoly Chubais's reaction when, as a young man, the future and now infamous "father of Russian privatization" first read the works of Austrian economist Friedrich von Hayek: Many years later, Chubais recalled the thrill of reading Hayek and instantly gave his own example of how Hayek's theory worked in practice in the United States. "One person is selling hamburgers somewhere in New York," he told me, "while another person is grazing cows somewhere in Arkansas to produce meat that will be used to make those hamburgers. But in order for that person in Arkansas to graze cows, there needs to be a price for meat, which tells him that he should graze cows." Now, the reaction a sane person is likely to have when reading a passage like this is, What kind of maniac experiences a "thrill" when reading about hamburger distribution? A corollary question that occurred to me, as I imagined this 20-year-old Soviet dreaming guiltily of Arkansas cattle, was, Were there no girls at all in the Leningrad of Anatoly Chubais's youth? It's a given that the answers to questions like these are not to be found in the seminal analytical work of one of the Moscow journalism community's most notoriously humorless foreign correspondents, but this problem is less inconsequential than you might think. For it is precisely Hoffman's inability to write honestly and perceptively about ordinary human experience that makes The Oligarchs miss as badly as it does in its attempt to describe the changes in Russian society over the past decade or so. By the time Hoffman took over as the Post's Moscow bureau chief, I had been living in Russia for about five years. First as a student and then as a freelance reporter, I'd watched during that time as Russians became increasingly disillusioned with democracy and capitalism. Kids I'd studied with who had brains and talent found themselves working twenty-four-hour shifts in dingy street kiosks or lugging feminine hygiene products door to door, while the only people from my class who ended up with money were morons and thugs who took jobs with local "biznesmen" (read: mobsters) doing God knows what. That was the reality for the Russians young and old who had the misfortune to live through the early 1990s, when the inefficient old planned economy was dismantled and something-I hesitate to call it capitalism-was installed in its place. Honest, hard-working people were impoverished overnight, while swindlers and killers quickly rose to the top. The insult was exacerbated for Russians when they began to hear that the rest of the world, America and the American press in particular, was calling this process progress. What America called a "painful but necessary transition," most Russians saw as a simple scam in which Communist functionaries and factory directors reinvented themselves by swearing oaths to the new democratic religion and cloaking themselves in fancy new words like "financier" and "entrepreneur." The only difference from the old system appeared to be that the villas were now in the south of France instead of on the Black Sea. The ordinary Russian also noticed that his salary had become largely fictional and that all his benefits had been taken away-corners had to be cut somewhere in order to pay for all those new Mercedes in town. At the national level, this process was symbolized by the rise of the oligarchs, a small group of rapacious and mostly bald men who were handed huge fortunes by their friends in government. Eventually, they were to take the place of the Politburo as the ruling coterie of the new elite. Men like bankers Mikhail Khodorkovsky, Alexander Smolensky and Vladimir Potanin, industrialist Boris Berezovsky and media magnate Vladimir Gusinsky became Croesus-rich seemingly overnight in those early years of the 1990s. By the middle of the decade, they owned or controlled much of the media and held increasing influence over Boris Yeltsin, a weak autocrat who had grown dependent on their wealth and power to fend off his political enemies. The Oligarchs purports to tell the story of the rise of these men. It is an exhaustive book, impressive in scope, that contains extensive interviews with all of the key figures. But it misses because Hoffman does not know what it is like to sleep in a street kiosk during a Leningrad winter, nor does he particularly care to know; he writes like a man trying to describe the dark side of King George from a trundle bed in a guest room of Windsor palace. Not that this is surprising. In his tenure as a reporter in Moscow, Hoffman was notorious for being an unapologetic ideologue, the hardest of hard-core cold warriors. The basic structure of a David Hoffman article was generally to lead with a gloomy flashback to some grim Soviet-era scene and then go on to describe how, with the help of American aid, the courageous leadership of the democrat Boris Yeltsin and the heroic efforts of Western-minded reform economists like Chubais, things had since changed spectacularly for the better. In other words, lead off with a picture of a groaning, overweight housewife at the end of a long line to buy shoes that don't fit, and close with a shot of an apple-cheeked cashier at Pizza Hut using her salary to buy Nikes. That was Russia Reporting 101 during the 1990s, and no one was better at it or more devoted to its practice than David Hoffman. That said, it is surprising, even shocking, that Hoffman would employ that technique in this book, given the subject matter. Hoffman begins his book by focusing on the Soviet-era experiences of a characteristic "ordinary Russian," a schoolteacher named Irina, and describing her humiliating search for toilet paper on a summer day in 1985. Use of these images made a kind of sense in the wake of the collapse of Communism, but in Hoffman's book, published ten years after the fact, the decision to spend the entire first chapter (titled "Shadows and Shortages") describing the hardship of product-deprived Soviets in the 1980s can only mean one thing. Hoffman is setting up his reader to understand the phenomenon of the oligarchs in terms of their eventual benefit to society. That benefit, in Hoffman's view, is clearly a Russia full of available products and the triumphant building of a "rapacious, unruly capitalismŠon the ashes of Soviet communism." That the vast majority of Russians could not and cannot afford those products, or even earn enough to feed and clothe themselves, does not concern Hoffman. The opening of the book, set in the old USSR, is full of portraits of ordinary folks grasping for Beatles records and VCRs and other Western delights (Hoffman even sinks so low as to use the heavyweight champion of Russia-reporting clichés: the Soviet citizen sitting despondent at the sight of a full refrigerator in a Western movie). But those same ordinary people are conspicuously absent from the middle and later pages, when the cracks in the new system-the stalled salaries, the collapsed local industries, the crime- begin to show. In one particularly telling section, Hoffman describes Yeltsin's surprise when he learned in early 1998 that his popularity figures in poll ratings had dropped below 5 percent. According to the book, media mogul Gusinsky and some of the other oligarchs discovered that Yeltsin, kept insulated from the truth by his KGB aides, had no conception of the depth of his unpopularity: "Before the meeting, they agreed that someone would try to deliver the raw truth to Yeltsin that he was no longer popular, a painful realization that, according to [Yeltsin's chief of staff, Viktor] Ilyushin, the president had not absorbed." This passage is ironic because Yeltsin's surprise at this juncture of the story is nearly identical to that of the uninitiated reader traveling through Hoffman's book for the first time. Until he informs us a few sentences later of Yeltsin's meager poll ratings, the pain felt by the overwhelming majority of Russians during the early reform years is completely concealed. When Hoffman first showed us the schoolteacher Irina, she was a Soviet citizen deprived of toilet paper, and this was apparently worthy of note. But if she remained a teacher through this Yeltsin poll moment in the middle of the book, in 1996, Irina also saw her health benefits taken away, her salary slashed to the equivalent of about $50 a month (and possibly delayed for months in any case) and funding for her school cut so severely that she would have to buy chalk out of her own pocket. This is not considered noteworthy, in Hoffman's estimation. The determination to keep the telling of the oligarchs' story within the context of their eventual salutary effect on the country leads Hoffman into some grievous oversights and contradictions. None of these are more important than his insistence upon painting his oligarch subjects-in particular, Khodorkovsky, Potanin and Berezovsky-as self-made entrepreneurs who bucked the state system to make their fortunes. The fact that he connects the rise of these men to the encouraging fact of a Russia full of products on its shelves is even more misleading. The reality is that none of these men produced anything that Russians could consume, and all benefited directly from tribute handed down from the state. Bankers like Smolensky, for instance, made fortunes through a collusive arrangement with state insiders who gave them exclusive licenses to trade in hard currency during a time when prices were set to be abruptly freed. When hyperinflation set in (naturally) and the population frantically scampered to convert their increasingly worthless rubles into dollars, the currency-trading licenses became virtual spigots of cash. Furthermore, the oligarchs really became a ruling class only after the "loans for shares" auctions in late 1995, a series of privatizations that underscored the incestuous relationship between the state and the new tycoons. The state "lent" huge stakes in giant companies (in particular oil companies) in return for cash. Implemented and organized by Minister Chubais, the auctions ended up being one of the great shams of all time, as in many cases the bidders themselves were allowed to organize the tenders and even to exclude competitors. In some cases, the state actually managed to lend the bidders the money to make the bids through a series of backdoor maneuvers. Hailed at the time as the death knell of the state-controlled economy and a great advance of the privatization effort, the auctions were actually a huge quid pro quo in which bankers were handed billion-dollar companies for a fraction of their market price (a 78 percent stake in Yukos, the second-largest oil company in Russia, valued at least at $2 billion, was sold for just $309.1 million to Khodorkovsky's Menatep Bank) in exchange for support of Yeltsin in the upcoming 1996 election. Many Russians today consider loans for shares one of the biggest thefts in the history of mankind. Hoffman, incidentally, didn't bother to cover loans for shares as a reporter, either. One final note about Hoffman. Many reviewers have lauded The Oligarchs for its "readability." They must have been reading a different book. If there is a worse descriptive writer in the journalism world than Hoffman, I have yet to come across him or her. In those passages in which he goes after the "breezy" conversational style of David Remnick's Pulitzer Prize-winning Lenin's Tomb (Hoffman's Remnick inferiority complex is grossly obvious in this book), he repeatedly breaks down into crass stupidities that reveal his lack of knowledge about the country he covered for half a decade. At one point, for instance, he describes the young Chubais as having had a penchant for driving his Zaporozhets automobile at "terrifying speeds." As the owner of two such cars, which feature 38-horsepower engines and can be lifted off the ground by two grown men (or maybe four Washington Post correspondents), I can testify that terror is not and has never been in this machine's design profile. Hoffman's atrocious Russian, a subject of much snickering in the Moscow press community, also shines through in this book. He consistently mistranslates Russian expressions and fails to grasp lingual/ cultural references. For instance, when he talks about Chubais's habit of spending long hours in the Publichka, which he says is what "young scholars fondly called the [public] library," he appears not to grasp that the "fond" nickname is a play on the term publichniy dom, or whorehouse. This might be because Hoffman is the only American male to have visited Moscow in the 1990s and escaped without personal knowledge of the term. Whatever the explanation, it seems clear that Hoffman is not the kind of person one would normally consider an authority on the nontycoon Russian experience. That's particularly true given the ironic fact that prostitution was one of the few real growth industries during the reign of the oligarchs, the one feasible financial option for the modern-day Irinas of Russia. That's modern Russia in a nutshell: plenty of toilet paper for the asking, but no way to afford it exceptŠthe hard way. If The Oligarchs is simply a wrongheaded book, then Building Capitalism, by Carnegie fellow Anders Aslund, is legitimately insidious. Aslund throughout the 1990s was a key adviser to reform politicians like Anatoly Chubais and Yegor Gaidar, and as such his assessment of the success of the privatization era is obviously self-interested. He claims in the book that "populations have gained from fast and comprehensive reforms," and that "economic decline and social hazards have been greatly exaggerated, since people have forgotten how awful communism was." This is typical of Western analysis of Russia over the past ten years-an academic who grew up in Sweden and lives in Washington, telling Russians that their complaints about reform are groundless because, unlike Western experts, they do not accurately remember what life was like under Communism. Aslund, who helped to design the privatization programs in the middle of the past decade, goes on in the book to defend those blitzkrieg liquidations of state industries on the grounds that such formal privatizations were more equitable than what he calls "spontaneous privatization." A major aim of formal privatization was to stop spontaneous privatization, which was inequitable, slow, and inefficient. Reformers feared it would arouse a popular political backlash against privatization and reform, as indeed happened all over. Especially in the [former Soviet Union], the saying "what is not privatized will be stolen" suggested the urge for great speed. It's not clear from this passage to whom this "great speed" idea was suggested. Those "equitable" formal privatizations Aslund helped design left billion-dollar companies like Yukos and Norilsk Nickel in the hands of single individuals (Khodorkovsky and Potanin, respectively) for pennies on the dollar. They were so corrupt and unfair that for most Russians-the majority of whom were left impoverished by the changes-the word "privatization" became synonymous with theft. Indeed, Russians even coined a new term, prikhvatizatsiya (or "grabitization"), that perfectly expressed their outrage over the private commandeering of property they considered public and their own. It should be admitted that the extent to which one finds success in Russia's capitalist experiment-and the worth of the oligarchs who administered it-is largely a matter of opinion. If you believe that capitalism is about destroying a country's industry, handing over its wealth to a dozen or so people who will be inclined to move it instantly to places like Switzerland and Nauru Island, and about humiliating the general population so completely that they are powerless to do anything but consume foreign products and long for the "good old days" of totalitarianism (polls still consistently show that 70 percent of the population preferred life under Brezhnev to that of today's Russia), then you have to judge the Russian experiment a success. But if you believe that people are more than just numerical variables in some dreary equation found in an Adam Smith reader (or perhaps numbers lumped together with cows in Anatoly Chubais's dogeared Hayek text) then you'll have a hard time finding any true capitalism at all in today's Russia. Or in either of these coldhearted books, for that matter. ******* Web page for CDI Russia Weekly: http://www.cdi.org/russia Archive for Johnson's Russia List: http://www.cdi.org/russia/johnson With support from the Carnegie Corporation of New York and the MacArthur Foundation A project of the Center for Defense Information (CDI) 1779 Massachusetts Ave. NW Washington DC 20036