Johnson's Russia List #6094 23 February 2002 davidjohnson@erols.com A CDI Project www.cdi.org [Note from David Johnson: 1. Itar-Tass: Russia publishes population figures. 2. Interfax: Russia publishes output, trade, inflation data. 3. AP: Aeroflot introduces total ban on smoking. 4. New York Times: Bill Keller, Arise, Ye Prisoners of Starvation. 5. Luba Schwartzman: ORT Review. 6. Reuters: Chechnya security tight on deportation anniversary. 7. Itar-Tass: Gorbachev gives Putin full backing over Chechnya. 8. The Russia Journal: Alexander Golts, A humanitarian intervention. 9. The Russia Journal: Andrei Piontkovsky, New hawk would steer Russia off-course. (re Alexei Arbatov) 10. AP: Russians awake to another Olympic humiliation - a hockey defeat. 11. Los Angeles Times: Robyn Dixon, Russians Bear Ill Will Over Perceived Injustices. 12. Boston Globe: Michael Holley, Russian whine leaves sour taste. 13. Baltimore Sun: Douglas Birch, Russia's history written in vodka. Museum: In St. Petersburg, there's a spot to explore the drink's role in centuries of culture. 14. Financial Times(UK): Andrew Clark, EXILE MAKES HIS PEACE WITH RUSSIA THE ARTS INTERVIEW: MSTISLAV ROSTROPOVICH.] ******* #1 Russia publishes population figures Itar-Tass Moscow, 22 February: The Russian State Statistics Committee has estimated that Russia's GDP was worth R9,040.8bn in current prices in 2001... People's incomes adjusted to inflation were up by 8.5 per cent in January 2002 on January 2001, and down 36.2 per cent on December 2001. Average per capita incomes amounted to R2,629.7, up 31 per cent on January 2001 and down 34.5 per cent on December 2001. According to preliminary estimates, average monthly wages in 2002 have increased by 41.2 per cent since last January to R3,860. Russia's population shrank by 846,600 people in 2001 and was put at 144m people on 1 January 2002, the Prime-TASS economic news agency reports with reference to the Russian State Statistics Committee. In 2000, the population dwindled by 740,100. In 2001, 1,308,600 people were born in Russia compared with 2,251,800 who died, up 3.3 and 1.2 per cent on the same period last year. Natural diminution calculated as the variance between death and birth rates stood at 943,200 people compared with 958,500 people over the same period last year. The number of marriages and divorces has increased by 11.6 and 21.6 per cent, respectively. The birth rate increased in 72 Russian regions and territories last year. At the same time, people died at a higher rate in 60 regions and territories within Russia. The proportion between death and birth has almost remained unchanged since 2000. Natural diminution has been registered in most parts of Russia compared with just 16 regions with natural population growth. The number of migrants dropped by 66.2 per cent in 2001, largely due to the fact that many immigrants have not been officially registered... ******* #2 Russia publishes output, trade, inflation data Interfax Moscow, 21 February: Production of goods and services in the five core sectors of the Russian economy - industry, construction, agriculture, transport and retail trade - grew 3.0 per cent year on year in January 2002, compared with growth of 6.7 per cent in the same month of 2001, the State Statistics Committee reported on Thursday [21 February]. Production in the core sectors was down 14.6 per cent from December 2001 due to seasonal factors, since there are more holidays in January, the committee said. Industrial production in January rose 2.2 per cent year on year to R514.4bn, agricultural output grew 4.1 per cent to R37.4bn, capital investment was up by an estimated 0.5 per cent to R73.7bn, freight turnover increased by 1.8 per cent (including a drop of 3.5 per cent by rail) and retail sales rose 10.1 per cent, the committee said. The visible foreign trade turnover in December 2001 slumped 9.0 per cent year on year to 13.8bn dollars, as exports plunged 20.2 per cent to 8.2bn dollars, while imports rose 14.6 per cent to 5.6bn dollars. Real disposable incomes rose by an estimated 8.5 per cent year on year in January and the real average wage was up 18.7 per cent; in nominal terms, not adjusted for inflation, wages rose 41.2 per cent. Consumer price inflation was 3.1 per cent in January and 19.0 per cent in the year to the end of January; producer price inflation was, respectively, 0.3 per cent and 8.5 per cent. ******* #3 Aeroflot introduces total ban on smoking AP February 22, 2002 MOSCOW - Russia's largest airline, Aeroflot, has decided to ban smoking on all its flights starting March 31, a company representative said Friday. Passengers will be offered an assortment of nicotine-containing products such as chewing gum and inhalers as a substitute for smoking, said Aeroflot spokeswoman Lyubov Kalinina. The airline has already stopped selling cigarettes during flights, she said. Once among the world's most smoker-friendly airlines, Aeroflot introduced some nonsmoking flights a few years ago and later extended the policy to all flights lasting less than four hours. More than half of Russians smoke, and officials say smoking has risen alarmingly among children over the past decade. Kalinina said that a poll of 5,000 passengers recently conducted by the airline showed that 70 percent of nonsmoking passengers and 40 percent of smokers supported the ban on smoking in flight. Russia remains one of the most comfortable nations in the world for smokers, with few limits on smoking in public places. ******* #4 New York Times February 23, 2002 Arise, Ye Prisoners of Starvation By BILL KELLER (billkeller@nytimes.com) MOSCOW One way to measure Russia's slow recovery from the 70-year coma of Communism is to count lobster tanks and sushi bars. Old Russia hands like me, who remember when a banana was more wondrous than a Fabergé egg, swoon at the profusion of delicacies available these days in the bright showcase cities of Moscow and St. Petersburg. My own crude index of the economic condition, however, is the brazen yellow M that now seems to illuminate every other corner of this winter- gray city. California rolls and foie gras are evidence of the great wealth enjoyed by an industrious few, some of whom are even industrious at legitimate businesses. McDonald's is a barometer of how the wealth has seeped out beyond the elite. It tells you a bit about how Russia is doing at the critical business of building a middle class. Drop into a McDonald's here, and you find Russians who scarcely existed a dozen years ago — Russians with decent clothes and healthy teeth, Russians with jobs that give them spare time and cash for a family splurge, Russians with, polls show, a flicker of optimism. You find Russians who have more or less achieved their plaintive ambition to be "normal people." Whether this represents an improvement in culinary or nutritional standards in Russia is another conversation, although those who want to argue the evils of cholesterol should know you're talking about a country where a slab of pork fat on buttered bread is considered the ideal accompaniment to a jolt of vodka. There is also a fine term paper to be written comparing the regimental good cheer of McDonald's cadres to Lenin's Young Pioneers, but we'll leave that for another class. As a business venture, McDonald's has been not just an indicator of economic advance but a contributor to it. At this point, globophobes may want to leave the room. I know that elsewhere in the world McDonald's is a swell symbol of American cultural imperialism — blockaded by French farmers, bombed by Turkish protesters and most recently vandalized by Pakistanis angry at American bombing raids in Afghanistan. In Russia, McDonald's is a lesson in the salutary potential of globalization when a company comes to stay rather than strip-mine. The story begins in the Gorbachev era, when the abject failure of the Soviet economy became clear to all but the most deluded. In farming towns you found spoiled land, demoralized workers, broken-down equipment, wheat rotting in the open. Agriculture occupied an astounding 19 percent of the work force (in the U.S. the figure was 3 percent), yet even in a good year the country imported millions of tons of grain. Mr. Gorbachev, himself a farm boy, led a frantic hunt for ways to fix it, and for a time the countryside was beset by reformers and rainmakers of all kinds, devoted to saving Russia from starvation. There were idealistic young administrators who tried to invigorate collective farms by turning spiritually depleted farm workers into shareholders. There were family farms and sharecropping schemes. I met a few solo farmers back then teaching themselves agronomy out of library books. Dutch experts arrived bearing "turnkey potato projects," little swatches of Holland planted in Moscow's exurbs. Mr. Gorbachev and then Boris Yeltsin tried incentives, they tried hectoring, they tried firing agriculture ministers by the bushel. All these well-intentioned efforts ran up against a killing reality: There was no marketplace in which to sell. The Soviet Union had one insatiable customer, the state, which prescribed what farms could grow, established quotas, set prices and monopolized distribution. No one wanted to dismantle this creaky arrangement for fear of chaos, hunger and revolt. This meant that a farmer who mustered the energy to grow more than his obligations to the state had nowhere to sell the surplus except in neighborhood produce bazaars, where the prices were more or less fixed. Enter McDonald's. The company arrived late in the first wave of Western companies that had come to cash in if Russia succeeded. Most were opportunists looking to import Western products and skim the dollars of foreign expatriates, tourists and the lucky Russian rich. But McDonald's threw itself into the deep end. From the outset, it sold food to Russians — for rubles. And since rubles were then next to worthless outside Russia, it began looking for Russian suppliers. McDonald's scouts trolled the countryside for ambitious young farm directors, offering a premium price if they would provide beef and milk and pickles to the company's rigid specifications. The reactions ranged from suspicion to ridicule to slack-jawed amazement, as if these guys had come not from McDonald's but Mars. Viktor Semyonov, who runs a farm south of Moscow, told me the other day that when McDonald's first showed up, offering to pay rubles if he would grow some strange lettuce called "iceberg," a deputy rudely dismissed the visitors. A silly idea, he insisted, and anyway an American company (actually it was the Canadian branch of the company that opened the Russian frontier) should pay dollars. Mr. Semyonov, who had a nose for an opportunity, sent his man to grovel before the foreigners. His farm is now a prosperous supplier of vegetables and herbs from acres of efficient, computer-sprinkled greenhouses. Mr. Semyonov went on to serve a term as minister of agriculture. By the opening of the first store McDonald's had managed to obtain a fourth of its ingredients from Russian sources. Now the company has 100 Russian suppliers who provide 75 percent of what goes into the restaurants here. The company's processing center outside Moscow (it goes by the cringe-inducing name of McComplex) even exports fruit pies to Germany — payback, perhaps, for all the trainloads of charity food the Germans sent here during the various famine scares of the Gorbachev era. Thus did the McDonald's model provide a missing link between would- be Russian farmers and would-be Russian consumers. McDonald's did not save Russia. Russia, in fact, is still some distance from being saved, as insider syndicates and provincial feudalism dominate much of the economy, including the big farms. But the country no longer totally defies the laws of supply and demand. Although there has always been in Russia a streak of messianic estrangement from the West, the globalization backlash has not taken hold here, at least not yet. In the early days, McDonald's was as much a spectacle as a place to eat — a heartbreaking reminder of how pathetically far behind this superpower was. Visitors from distant cities flew home with hamburgers, as if bearing relics of civilization. Once in those early days, after an Aeroflot flight to Baku, in Azerbaijan, I hitched a ride in from the airport with a family coming home from business in Moscow. As the driver raced along the highway, one of my fellow passengers reached across the seat and proudly offered me an eight-hour-old Big Mac from a bag of them brought home as souvenirs. The novelty has diminished as a competitive abundance of decent, home-grown cafes and fast-food outlets materialized in McDonald's wake, but today Russians still greet the opening of a McDonald's as a vote of confidence in the neighborhood, not to mention a clean, well-lit place to congregate and a source of scarce jobs for local youngsters. The jobs, more than 9,000 of them now, pay poorly, but a little less poorly than most other employers, and they pay on time in a country where wages often lag many months behind. The training includes heavy indoctrination in a work ethic that had been smothered by Soviet complacency. Unlike companies that came for the easy profits — Pizza Hut comes to mind — McDonald's weathered the economic storms and devaluations of the late 1990's without layoffs. A company that started under expatriate management is now run entirely by Russians. "Yes, we think globally, but we act locally," says the president of the Russian venture, Khamzat Khasbulatov, reciting a bit of company propaganda that, here at least, is true. And if all this makes you feel less guilty about the times you succumbed to your brainwashed child's demand for a Happy Meal — O.K. by me. So how is Vladimir Putin's economy doing, on my highly scientific McDonald's Index? It's on a slow climb out of a very deep hole. From the first hamburger emporium that opened on Pushkin Square in January 1990, still the busiest outlet in the world, McDonald's has grown to 74 restaurants. They have now begun to spread beyond the outskirts of Moscow to a few provincial cities like Nizhny Novgorod, Rostov-on-Don, Yaroslavl and Kazan. The plan is to keep expanding by 20 or 25 stores a year. According to my calculations, judged by the number of McDonald's outlets per capita, Russia will be Canada in — hmm, about 70 years. ******* #5 ORT Review www.ortv.ru Compiled by Luba Schwartzman (luba7@bu.edu) Research fellow at the Institute for the Study of Conflict, Ideology and Policy at Boston University HEADLINES, Friday, February 22, 2002 - Russian President Vladimir Putin met with representatives from the North Caucasian region to discuss socio-economic development. Presidential Plenipotentiary to the North Caucasian Federal District Viktor Kazantsev and his deputy, Murat Zyazikov, attended the meeting. - President Putin met with Oleg Morozov, the leader of the State Duma's Russian Regions faction. They discussed legislative work and relations between the regions and the federal center. - A celebration in honor of tomorrow's Day of the Defenders of the Fatherland was held at the Kremlin. President Putin declared: "We must renew and strengthen the Armed Forces and the Navy, we must improve the technical and strategic capacity. Today, we need a secure national shield." - President Putin said that the Olympic judges are biased -- not only against Russia, but against participants from other countries like South Korea. - The Russian State Duma voted in favor of "non-participation" in the closing ceremony of the Salt Lake City Winter Olympic Games as a response to the unfair treatment of the Russian athletes. - Presidential Spokesman Sergei Yastrzhembsky declared that suggestions of withdrawing the Russian team from the Winter Olympic Games are mistaken, but supported the State Duma decision to skip the closing ceremony. - Seventeen people died and three were injured when an An-26 military airplane crashed 1.5 kilometers away from the Katunino airfield in the Arkhangelsk oblast. One of the three survivors, Captain Yuri Koledov suggested that the bad weather and strong wind caused the accident. An investigation is underway. The aircraft's black boxes have been removed; according to investigators the last words of the pilot were "I see the ground, I'm preparing to land." - The remains of the Su-24 front-line fighter have been discovered near the Serbino settlement of the Pskov oblast. The airplane crashed three days ago. - President Putin spoke at the ceremony celebrating the 10-year anniversary of the Russian Arbitration Court. He emphasized the importance of cooperation among the Supreme, Constitutional, and Arbitration courts and the need to strengthen the judicial cadres and to intensify the fight against corruption. - Russia's first public museum, the Hermitage, turns 150 years old today. ******* #6 Chechnya security tight on deportation anniversary By Ron Popeski MOSCOW, Feb 23 (Reuters) - Russian forces stepped up security checks in separatist Chechnya on Saturday in an apparent bid to pre-empt violence linked to the anniversary of mass deportations by Soviet dictator Josef Stalin. A rebel Internet site reported separately that the brother of Chechnya's separatist president, Aslan Maskhadov, had been killed in fighting in a mountainous area of the mainly Muslim region on Russia's southern fringe. NTV television showed security forces stopping residents in Chechen towns and searching buildings. It said "special operations" -- often a euphemism for blanket searches in Russia's 2-1/2 year-old drive against separatists -- were being conducted in the regional capital Grozny and three other towns. On February 23, 1944, on Stalin's orders, the entire Chechen people, accused of collaborating with the Nazis, were rounded up and dispatched in cattle trains to Kazakhstan and Siberia. Almost half of those deported, numbering tens of thousands, died on their way into exile or on arrival. Survivors were allowed to return home -- along with other exiled ethnic groups -- in 1956 under Soviet leader Nikita Khrushchev's reforms. Sultan Satuyev, a senior local police officer, told NTV he expected little rebel activity to mark the anniversary of the deportations, compared to actions undertaken in previous years. But Russian forces remained on guard. "These people issue eloquent threats without doing anything. It's all bluff," Satuyev said. "But we will not stand back and merely watch. We will take up offensive positions." February 23 also marks the Muslim festival of Eid al-Adha. An official of Russia's FSB domestic intelligence agency told Interfax news agency there were concerns rebels might the festival as a cover. Interfax said three Russian soldiers were injured in Grozny when their armoured vehicle hit a mine. At least three Russian positions came under fire in the past 24 hours. The rebel website Chechenpress said Aslanbek Maskhadov, the president's 40-year-old brother, died after his unit came under fire in recent days in Nozhai-Yurt district, southeast of Grozny. Despite claiming to control the rebel republic, Russian forces remain subject to almost daily sniper attacks and ambushes which have killed more than 3,500 servicemen since Moscow ordered its forces back into Chechnya in October 1999. ******* #7 Gorbachev gives Putin full backing over Chechnya ITAR-TASS Lyon, 23 February: The world community "should acclaim President Vladimir Putin's earnest intention and steps to switch the Chechnya problems to political rails," Social Democratic Party of Russia leader Mikhail Gorbachev told ITAR-TASS on Friday [22 February]. As chairman of the International Green Cross, he is taking part here in the work of the Dialogue for the Sake of the Earth Forum. Everything that is happening in that Caucasian republic, he stressed, "shows that Russia has to deal there both with bandit organizations of Chechen origin and international terrorism. I back President Putin, who, in spite of the present conditions, is not neglecting the main task of restoring normal life in Chechnya," Gorbachev noted. "Thanks to the support of the Russian president," he said, "republican and local administrations are being formed, lessons were resumed at local schools, the refugees are beginning to return home, and work to restore Groznyy is under way." ******* #8 The Russia Journal February 22-28, 2002 A humanitarian intervention By ALEXANDER GOLTS The war in Chechnya has often been compared to the United States¹ war in Vietnam. This comparison could perhaps become even more precise soon. During Vietnam, the American generals tried to convince the White House that they weren¹t able to defeat the Viet-Cong because they were hiding out in Laos and Cambodia. In the end, the generals got the go-ahead to take the war to Vietnam¹s neighbors. Similarly, Russian generals have been trying to prove to President Vladimir Putin throughout the second Chechen war that rebel detachments have moved into neighboring Georgia, to the Pankisi Gorge, where Chechens live. The authorities in Tbilisi have always vigorously denied these allegations, accusing Moscow of trying to push an imperial policy. Washington has also reacted sharply to Moscow¹s accusations. But this has changed in recent weeks. Georgian State Security Minister Valery Khaburdzania suddenly admitted that there are Chechen rebels in the Pankisi Gorge and that they even have training camps there. Meanwhile, Philip Remler, the acting U.S. ambassador in Georgia, said terrorists fleeing Afghanistan had entered the gorge, and that they are in contact with Jordanian rebel leader Khattab, who is active in Chechnya and has contacts with Osama bin Laden. When Defense Minister Sergei Ivanov, speaking at an international security conference in Munich, called Georgia a weak country unable to control its own territory, this looked like just another attempt to place the Chechen war in the broader context of the global war against terrorism. But now it looks more like Ivanov was asking Russia for the go-ahead to launch a military operation in Georgia. And he got it. A secret General Staff directive that became public provides another clue that events in Georgia could take an unexpected turn. The directive calls for the Russian trans-Caucasus military group to evacuate its Tbilisi headquarters as soon as possible. The only logic in this move is to avoid acts of provocation against the Russian officers by the local population. But these kinds of acts would be likely only if Moscow did something to provoke a sharp rise in anti-Russian feeling a military intervention, for example. In this case, it isn¹t the Defense Ministry, but one of the other Russian security ministries, that Putin is ordering to carry out an operation in the Pankisi Gorge. The president has ordered Emergency Situations Minister Sergei Shoigu to organize a homecoming for several thousand Chechen refugees currently in the Pankisi Gorge. Evidently, a humanitarian operation is the only thing Georgian President Eduard Shevardnadze could officially agree to, knowing that the opposition could take the chance to brandish anti-Russian slogans. But what looks like a clever cover for a potential military operation is completely unrealistic in practice. The refugees don¹t want to return to Chechnya so long as the war continues, and only a madman could imagine that the rebels would let the Russian emergency situations workers deprive them of their human shield. At best, this means that while preparing the ground for the military operation, Moscow has already taken care to find a justification for potential victims among the refugees and civilians, the idea being that everything was done to evacuate civilians, but the circumstances got in the way. At worst, the Russian emergency situations workers will play the part of Chechen terrorists¹ victims. This will then serve to convince the Russian public that a military operation in Georgia is the only solution. But the main issue is just how successful a military operation in the Pankisi Gorge would be anyway. We already know how good the Russian military is at localizing military action and blocking adversaries in small settlements. The most likely result of such an operation would be to spread the conflict to a large part of Georgia. History already knows similar cases. After blaming their failures in Vietnam on the fact that Viet-Cong was escaping into Laos and Cambodia, the U.S. generals finally got permission to fight in the territory of these countries. But rather than securing a U.S. victory, this sparked internal conflict in Vietnam¹s neighbors, plunging them into decades of bloody civil war. ****** #9 The Russia Journal February 22-28, 2002 New hawk would steer Russia off-course By ANDREI PIONTKOVSKY After seeming to have died down last year following the appointment of a new defense minister, it looks as though the conflict within Russia’s military leadership is still far from over. The General Staff’s proposals on cutting back strategic forces were approved last year, putting an end to an unprecedented public polemic by top Defense Ministry officials. But a series of articles and TV interviews by Alexei Arbatov, deputy chairman of the Duma’s defense committee, has sparked a new round in this polemic. Arbatov predicts that the Americans won’t sign any legally binding strategic arms limitation agreements with Russia. But, "If we revise our strategic forces development program, which is the material base of diplomacy, then we can hope that the U.S. administration will change its approach and will hold serious negotiations with us," Arbatov suggests. He also said Russia "needs to expand its ground-based missile forces in order to form a foundation for its nuclear might." That the commanders of the ground-based missile forces should be interested in expanding rather than reducing them is only natural and justified from both a professional and a human point of view. After all, the issue isn’t just about missiles, but about the fate of thousands of high-class specialists. But as a professional well-versed on the subject, Arbatov knows full well that increasing Russia’s strategic forces won’t make the slightest impression on the United States. The strategic equation wouldn’t change a bit – Russian and U.S. strategic forces were already within the limits of stability as defined by the MAD concept, and so they would remain. Rather than threatening the United States, Arbatov’s plan threatens only Russia’s own military budget and economy. Arbatov won’t frighten the Americans into running to the negotiating table. Indeed, on the very day that Arbatov published yet another article predicting the failure of negotiations, U.S. Secretary of State Colin Powell made a statement during hearings in the Senate suggesting that the Americans are ready for serious negotiations on strategic-arms limitation. But what forced Washington to change its approach was the "intellectual," rather than the "material," base of Russian diplomacy. Arbatov added to the list of invectives against head of the General Staff Anatoly Kvashnin an accusation I have to take a closer look at, as it concerns issues I was actively involved in for many years. According to Arbatov, Kvashnin is "to blame for what is now happening with Russian-U.S. negotiations. After all, only two years ago, the U.S. administration held very serious negotiations with us on amending the ABM Treaty and on START III. But when we took such radical decisions, they lost all interest." The only thing close to the truth in this quote is that two, three and four years ago the Clinton administration persistently tried to hold serious negotiations with Russia on amendments to the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty. In essence, what the Americans proposed was that the Russian side take pencil and paper and set out the limits (number of interceptors, technical parameters for radars, etc.) they would like to place on the U.S. missile-defense project. Then-U.S. President Bill Clinton was never particularly enthusiastic about missile defense and made decisions on it only under pressure from Republicans. Clinton would have happily accepted any reasonable limits set out by the Russian side and formulated as amendments to the ABM Treaty. If no serious negotiations on this point took place, it is the Russian side that is to blame. Russia’s worthy diplomats drove the Americans to desperation with their refusal to understand the heart of the matter. Instead, the Russians proudly recited their one enduring mantra about the 1972 ABM Treaty being the cornerstone of strategic stability. Only a few experts, myself included, spent all these last years writing about the rigidity, shortsightedness and unforgivable stupidity of Moscow’s official position, which was closing the door to what would have been an advantageous compromise for Russia. But these were lone voices crying in the wilderness. We had no support from any of the more official political specialists, including Arbatov. Though it turns out he realized all along that we were right. Whatever the case, the chance for a compromise in 1998-2000 was lost in the stupidest fashion. And Arbatov knows perfectly well that the shift in the U.S. position had nothing to do with Moscow’s decisions, but was due to a new administration coming to power in the United States. It has long since been known that, for the Republicans, withdrawing from the ABM Treaty is an ideological or even quasi-religious issue – a sort of symbol of the Republican faith. Now Arbatov is making a maximal increase of Russia’s strategic symbols his own driving idea. And if Moscow’s chosen foreign-policy course of partnership with the United States and the West gets in the way of this idea, then so much the worse for this approach. In one article after another, Arbatov spins the legend of a trusting and shortsighted president who has fallen under the influence of the cunning head of the General Staff, whose interests "have nothing in common with the country’s national security." But playing with this legend, which was invented only in an attempt to get Kvashnin removed, could have unpredictable consequences in a country where the president has found himself well ahead of his bureaucracy in how he sees the real geopolitical challenges of the 21st century. (The writer is director of the Center for Strategic Research. ) ******* #10 Russians awake to another Olympic humiliation - a hockey defeat February 23, 2002 By MARA D. BELLABY MOSCOW (AP) - Russians, who have complained that their athletes are the victim of North American favoritism at the Winter Olympics, awoke Saturday to learn that their powerful hockey team had lost to the United States. The Americans advanced to the gold medal game against Canada after holding off a furious rally by the Russians to win 3-2 Friday night. The victory came 22 years to the day after the Americans' ``Miracle on Ice'' Olympic win against the former Soviet Union at Lake Placid, N.Y. After the game ended, about 20 young Russians marched to the U.S. Embassy to protest, but were dispersed by police. In Salt Lake City, Russian hockey coach Slava Fetisov suggested that the championship game between the two North American teams was no fluke. ``An agreement's been signed that is designed to have a final between Canada and the USA,'' Fetisov said. ``You have this final, you have NHL referees. Under an agreement between the National Hockey League and hockey's international governing body, NHL referees must work any Olympic game in which a majority of the players are from the league. Usually a winter sports powerhouse and big medal winner, Russia has just 14 medals so far in Salt Lake City - far less than expected and far behind the United States' 30. Russian officials, including President Vladimir Putin, have complained about unfair decisions, prejudiced refereeing and anti-Russian sentiment throughout the games. What started as minor annoyance over the unusual decision to award a second gold medal in pairs figure skating exploded into outright rage when one of the country's top cross-country skiers was disqualified Thursday after a drug test. In another disappointment, 16-year-old American figure skater Sarah Hughes swept past Irina Slutskaya, leaving the Russian with the silver. A Russian protest seeking a second gold medal for Slutskaya was rejected. Russia's fate at the Olympics has been especially frustrating for Putin, who urged the nation to revive its Soviet-era dedication to sports shortly before the games began. On Saturday, about 20 young Russians protested outside the Canadian Embassy, criticizing what they consider the first slight of the games: the decision to make a Russian figure skating pair share the gold with a Canadian team. ``We are a great sports power,'' Maxim Korotkov-Gulyayev, who organized the rally, told Interfax news agency. ``If the North Americans want to prove they are stronger, they should not prove it on the shoulders of our athletes.'' ******** #11 Los Angeles Times February 23, 2002 Russians Bear Ill Will Over Perceived Injustices By ROBYN DIXON, Times Staff Writer MOSCOW -- The Russian president called the Winter Olympics "a flop." The head of Russia's church called it unfair. And a leading politician complained that Russia's athletes have been robbed "in broad daylight, arrogantly, boorishly, insolently and cynically." As the ice wars played out, Russians stayed up late and fumed in front of their television sets. The Russian ice hockey team was taking on the United States in what was widely seen as a grudge match recalling the famous 1980 face-off between Cold War foes. The Americans won then, and they won again Friday, 3-2. The stinging loss added insult to hurt pride, as accusations of anti-Russian bias at the Games sweep the country. For a while, it looked as if Russia might even pull its athletes from the rest of the competition and boycott the closing ceremony. It wasn't until late Friday that Guennadi Shvets, a spokesman for the Russian Olympic delegation, put those fears to rest, announcing, "We will stay at the Games." Earlier Friday, Russian President Vladimir V. Putin said, "Several things [at the Games] evoke astonishment, speaking mildly." His spokesman and the Russian parliament called for the boycott. Putin, normally restrained and cool, lashed out at the International Olympic Committee leaders elected in July, pressuring them to act more forcefully in defending Russian athletes against perceived bias. "Their passive stance astonishes me," said Putin, who is an enthusiastic downhill skier. And commenting on the abundance of National Hockey League referees in the Games, he said, "Northern American athletes receive a clear advantage." Russian Olympic officials first threatened to pull out of the Games on Thursday after a star cross-country skier, Larissa Lazutina, was disqualified; a drug test had indicated a high level of blood hemoglobin, which Russian officials attributed to Lazutina's menstrual cycle, not doping. That controversy came on the heels of last week's decision to award a second set of gold medals to two Canadian figure skaters amid reports of judging misconduct. This was seen as a deep humiliation for the original gold medalists, Russians Elena Berezhnaya and Anton Sikharulidze, and many here believe it fanned ill will over later judging decisions that went against the Russians. Thursday night, Russia filed a protest with the International Skating Union after figure skater Irina Slutskaya narrowly lost a gold medal to American Sarah Hughes, an outcome seen as robbery by Russian spectators. Demands from Russian Olympic officials that Slutskaya, too, be awarded gold were rejected in less than 24 hours. On Friday, Putin said Russia should see out the competition. "Let's see how the Olympics end. Let us hope that the IOC leadership will manage to resolve these difficulties," he told reporters. Attempts to placate Putin backfired when the Russian leader took umbrage at a letter from IOC President Jacques Rogge, which said all the judges' decisions were correct. The letter, delivered via the State Department, contained a blunder, which the presidential spokesman, Sergei Yastrzhembsky, exposed during a live program on the national NTV network. "The letter is addressed to Mr. A. Putin!" he said, holding the letter up to jeers from a studio audience. "So I would like to say to Mr. Rogge that if he had the misfortune of ending up at the head of IOC and thus got into big politics, then before sending a letter to a head of state, it wouldn't hurt to learn that he is not Antoine nor Andre but Vladimir." He said the letter symbolized the scornful attitude many foreign bureaucrats and sports organizations have developed toward Russia. "We are being treated now differently from the way we were treated in the past," Yastrzhembsky complained. "At least they were afraid of us then. And they were afraid to mess with us." Complaints about the judging came from the patriarch of the Russian Orthodox Church, Alexy II, from captains of industry and from ordinary Russians who vowed to march on the Canadian Embassy today. Dmitri Rogozin, head of the Duma foreign affairs committee, captured the national mood in a phone interview with The Times. "The public is fuming and boiling now. The public anger against the U.S.A. is now the worst it has been in years. Every Russian citizen is holding a deep grudge against America now. How would you feel after they robbed you of your victory in broad daylight arrogantly, boorishly, insolently and cynically?" he complained. Yastrzhembsky, the presidential spokesman, acknowledged that part of the problem was Russia's economic difficulties and declining state investment in sports. Victor Tikhonov, a renowned former Soviet hockey coach of gold medal-winning teams, said in a telephone interview that government indifference to athletics is to blame for the Russians' low medal count in sports they once dominated. "We have now come to the point where we are eating up the last crumbs of success planted back in the Soviet times. And it hurts very much when even these crumbs are stolen from us, as happened more than once in Salt Lake City." He said that after the Soviet Union fell, the infrastructure of sports schools and training centers began to crumble, but no one cared because athletes were still bringing in medals. Political analyst Andrei Piontkovsky of the Independent Institute for Strategic Studies, a Moscow-based think tank, said the scandal was unlikely to harm relations between Russia and the U.S. He expressed surprise at Putin's remarks. "It is not the smartest statement our president ever made. It is a pity that the president allowed himself to be involved in this controversy where the Russian sports officials are trying to cover obvious shortcomings in their own work by accusing the Games judges and organizers," he said. "This painful hysteria reflects the very sick state of the Russian political environment now." With the flare-up over Russian perceptions of bias, the pressure was on the Russian team going into the ice hockey game against the Americans on Friday. As the match approached, former Russian hockey champs involved in the 1980 showdown said Russian pride was as much at stake in Friday's game as it was then. Vladimir Krutov, 41, who played in the 1980 game, said memories of the loss still bring pain. Before Friday's showdown, he spoke of the pressure the athletes face. "Each of them must realize that they are playing not an ordinary game, but are defending the pride of their own country. If the Russians win this game, it will mean that the entire Russian Olympic team has won. That Russia has won. If we lose, it will mean that the entire country is defeated." Sergei Loiko and Alexei Kuznetsov of The Times' Moscow Bureau contributed to this report. ******** #12 Boston Globe February 23, 2002 Russian whine leaves sour taste By Michael Holley, Globe Columnist WEST VALLEY CITY, Utah - Playing against the Russians just isn't fun anymore. The games themselves are OK, but it's the postgame persecution act that's hard to take. Listening to them talk about the Winter Olympics is like listening to Al Davis talk about the NFL in court. Everybody is out to get them. They are being robbed. They are being disrespected. They are in the cross hairs of the International Olympic Committee. They are in the American West, victims of a new gold rush: The gold is truly theirs, but the cheating North Americans are doing all of the gold digging. I'll agree with the Russians on the subject of the skating scandal. They got a bad deal on all counts. There are still people who believe, incorrectly, that the scandal occurred when a French judge saw ghosts and voted for Russian skaters who were undeserving of a medal. That's not what happened. Sharing your space atop the medal stand is bad enough. It's even worse when the majority of the public thinks that you have no right to be there. That's one legitimate complaint, and we'll still be talking about it 30 years from now. But what about this other pouting? Russia lost a men's hockey semifinal to the United States last night, 3-2. Team Russia lost because it slept through the first two periods, trailing, 3-0. It lost because it was outshot in the first period, 20-4, and appeared to be indifferent around the net. There was a close call on a puck that nearly slipped into the American net, but it didn't get an official review. Maybe it should have. To say that it was definitely a goal is an overstatement. I knew the Russians wouldn't see it that way, though. I camped out in their E Center interview room, waiting for their coach to explain why his players have to run uphill on the world stage. ''They didn't help us, that's for sure,'' Slava Fetisov said of the officials. He went on to say that American and Canadian referees are inherently biased and, in crucial situations, ''they are not going to call it a penalty.'' Worst of all, Fetisov said this of tomorrow's USA-Canada gold medal game: ''It was designed for the game [to feature] the USA and Canada.'' Fetisov said a lot of other things during that news conference. He gave a tremendous, Hamlet-like monologue in Russian. When English-speaking reporters were asked what he said, an interpreter replied that the coach simply repeated his previous statements. So, at minimum, Fetisov twice accused the IOC of fixing its hockey games. Once in English and once in Russian. Twenty-two years to the day that a group of American underdogs defeated the mighty Russians, we had the Profanity on Ice. As soon as the game ended, Russia's Danny Markov cursed the officials and repeatedly grabbed his crotch. It was embarrassing. He had to be pulled off the ice by a teammate. Then there was Fetisov implying that the result was determined before the game was played. The only good thing about this is that, maybe, it will wake up some of the Miracle on Ice romantics. They make a reference to that game each time the US plays Russia. It's incredibly annoying. As much as Americans love a good sequel, there can never be a repeat of the game in Lake Placid. If there were, it would probably be as hollow as Woodstock II. Anyway, we are a different United States and they are a radically different Russia. Russia will always be a natural villain, I guess, but Canada is the contemporary rival. Americans are tired of hearing how the Canadians invented the game and the Canadians are tired of hearing that Toronto is really an American suburb. ''They may have every bus and plane coming down from Canada to watch this game,'' US forward Jeremy Roenick said. ''This game is going to be great for hockey.'' Last night's game could have been great for hockey. But following a Russian threat to leave the Games (and to not participate in the 2004 Summer Games), there was yet another official calling foul. You would hate to see Fetisov show up at your local Y. You couldn't play cards with him because he would accuse you of tampering with the deck. You couldn't finish a basketball game with him because he would keep complaining of a slap on the wrist. Let the US-Maple Leaf rivalry begin. Our old athletic rivals have now become interested in appeals. ****** #13 Baltimore Sun February 23, 2002 Russia's history written in vodka Museum: In St. Petersburg, there's a spot to explore the drink's role in centuries of culture. By Douglas Birch Sun Foreign Staff ST. PETERSBURG, Russia - It was the lifeblood of empire, and fuel for revolutionary mobs. It has been banned, curbed and cursed. And it has killed millions of Russians over the centuries, but there is nothing Russians love more. Vodka, the drink that has put serfs and czars under the table, is still the liquor of choice here - a source of national pride, of intemperate joy and of considerable suffering. At the Museum of Russian Vodka, curators argue that vodka is more than just the national drink, that it has played an important role in Russian politics and culture. "The history of Russia has always been closely connected with vodka," says Segei Chentsov, the physician and amateur historian who serves as museum director. For much of the past 500 years, vodka production has been a state monopoly. Taxes and profits from the beverage helped pay for the building of St. Petersburg in the early 18th century and helped finance the defense of the city (renamed Leningrad) during World War II. A ban on the consumption of alcohol in 1914 helped undermine the authority of the czar's officials. In the 1920s, taxes on vodka helped shore up the finances of the young Soviet state. Ice fishermen drink vodka as they wait on the ice. Soldiers traditionally drank vodka before battle. They dip their newly won medals in vodka, to "wash" or bless them. Vodka is drunk to celebrate the purchase of a new car, moving into a new apartment, even the acquisition of a new washing machine. Most national celebrations revolve around its consumption: a holiday is not over, the saying goes, until the last drop is drunk. At parties, there are strict rules for the consumption of vodka - from restrictions on what foods can accompany it (bread is good, fruit is bad) to the way it is drunk. The only proper method to empty a glass of vodka is in a single gulp; Russians are appalled by foreigners who sip it like wine. And they are baffled by guests who refuse a second and third and fourth glass. By tradition, once your host opens a bottle of vodka, he throws away the cap. Vodka is regarded as more than just a major source of recreation. It is Russia's national tranquilizer. When a tornado hit a Volga River town in the 1980s, local Soviet officials suspended the rules prohibiting vodka sales before 11 a.m; sales instead began at 8 a.m. The museum traces vodka's history to the early 15th century when Russians tried to imitate a distilled alcoholic beverage that traders brought to Moscow from Genoa. The recipe they developed was simple. They made alcohol from fermented wheat, then added spring water - tossing in a few berries or herbs for taste. Russia's upper classes delicately referred to it as "wheat wine." But Russia's serfs and tradesmen gave vodka the name that took hold, derived from voda, the word for water. At first, the Russian Orthodox Church controlled alcohol production and sales. But by the 18th century, during Peter the Great's reign, the sale of vodka became a state monopoly. It remained so for most of the next 300 years. Vodka was the drink of the lower classes but spread to the nobility. Taverns called kabakhs opened to serve vodka to gentlemen. The minimum order in the mid-17th century was a "basket" - more than six gallons. Baskets were shared among a crowd, of course, and the alcohol content was slightly lower than today's. But no one left a kabakh sober. Russian leaders more than once tried to ban or restrict the sale of alcohol. Czar Nicholas II outlawed its consumption in 1914 - but was overthrown and killed by the Bolsheviks. Communist Party leader Mikhail S. Gorbachev tried to curb the consumption of all alcohol- and presided over the end of the Soviet Union. The vodka museum is sponsored by two of Russia's largest vodka distillers. The exhibits include praise from 19th-century scientists for vodka's alleged health benefits, a diorama of a joyful monk distilling alcohol and samples of modern vodka bottles shaped like bears and tank shells. There is little mention of the toll vodka takes in shattered lives and families. But tour guides say they tell both sides of the story. "We don't propagandize vodka," says Natasha Gordeyeva. "There were some very bad pages in our history." By some estimates, alcohol consumption in Russia - which means mostly vodka - rose 500 percent between 1995 and 2000. That year, according to government statistics, it reached a new high - the equivalent of more than 10 gallons a year for every adult. Chentsov suspects that Russians over the centuries became genetically adapted to drinking large amounts of alcohol - and that people who couldn't, didn't survive. And Russians in general are proud of their capacity for drinking. But Russians are far from immune to the effects of alcohol. Alcoholism doesn't just cause health problems, absenteeism and brawling. Every winter, hundreds of people die in Moscow after passing out drunk and falling asleep in the snow - and there are presumably thousands of other victims throughout the country. Heavy drinking also partially explains the rate of drowning being 500 times higher than in the West. In The Alcoholic Empire: Vodka and Politics in Late Imperial Russia, historian Patricia Herlihy suggests that Russia's problems with alcohol are symptomatic of its problems in forming a modern democratic society. The Russian temperance movement at the turn of the century was one of the few genuine grass-roots reform movements in Russian history. And it failed miserably. American humorist Will Rogers noted in 1924 that Russians kept their precise recipe for vodka a secret. "Nobody in the world knows what it is made of," he said. "And the reason I tell you that is that the story of vodka is the story of Russia. Nobody knows what Russia is made of, or what it is liable to cause its inhabitants to do." ******* #14 Financial Times (UK) 23 February 2002 ARTS: EXILE MAKES HIS PEACE WITH RUSSIA THE ARTS INTERVIEW: MSTISLAV ROSTROPOVICH By ANDREW CLARK Andrew Clark finds the great Russian cellist at his Parisian apartment - a haven filled with pre-revolutionary portraits and furniture. Exiled in 1974, the artist has decided it is time to go home The voice at the other end of the electronic security system is unintelligible. From inside his Parisian apartment building, Mstislav Rostropovich is trying to explain the entry code to me, standing outside in the rain. Faintly amusing at first, before provoking frustration on both sides, our confused exchanges continue until I break the code to his unique form of speech: a bortsch of several languages, stirred by a tongue that plays havoc with articulation. Upstairs, the door is already open, revealing a short, bandy-legged figure with trousers up to his chest, a thrusting jaw and a bald pate fringed with prickly white hair. Neither effusive nor forbidding, the great cellist ushers me through a circular salon d'accueil, past a desk swamped with letters, scores and suitcases, into a drawing-room furnished like a Tsarist museum. It is seriously impressive, and I say so. Rostropovich explains its genesis. When he was expelled from the Soviet Union in 1974, and later stripped of Russian nationality, he spent most of his earnings buying up pre-revolutionary portraits and furniture. The aim was to create a refuge in which he could lock himself away and curl up with a vodka, surrounded by reminders of home. He is still doing so: he recently bought the Rasputin estate, and proudly tells me he is about to publish the journals of Maria Fedorovna (1847-1928), Danish-born mother of the last Tsar. But this slice of Russia in the middle of Paris carries just as many reminders of Rostropovich's life as a working musician. A cello lies next to the score of Messagesquisse, a fearsome Boulez solo which he practises to keep his fingers supple. A glance at his hands reveals a feminine softness - the key to his sensitive touch and still-formidable technique. And his diary, a hefty long-range planner inscribed in thick pencil, is a global aide-memoire of longstanding loyalties, fresh commissions and what he calls "my three genius" - Shostakovich, Prokofiev and Britten. Slava, as he is known to friends and admirers, is a phenomenon whose gifts are hard to quantify. He seems to live on his nerves, packing into 24 hours what most people struggle to achieve in a week. It's not just his incredibly robust constitution, or his energy, which would be colossal for someone half his age. It is his extraordinary musical brain: there's nothing he can't remember, nothing he can't play at the drop of a hat. It's not all intuition. Everything has been totally studied, with a thoroughness that leaves fellow-professionals gaping in wonder. And halfway through another non-stop day, he still finds time to sit down and talk, recalling dates, conversations and events of the past 60 years as if they happened yesterday. In truth, Rostropovich looks a little tired - less a reflection of his lifestyle, more an after-effect of the lunch he has just had with President Jacques Chirac at the Elysee palace. Where most septuagenarians would sensibly withdraw for an afternoon nap, Rostropovich gladly gives of himself - without giving too much away. He is too great-hearted to be self-centred. There's not much introspection, and not a shred of narcissism, in spite of decades of adulation from colleagues, potentates and royalty. He has, however, become increasingly conscious of mortality. That explains his plan to move his worldly goods, currently divided between homes in six countries, back to St Petersburg, where he is establishing a Rostropovich archive. "All my life, I never look behind," he says. "Now I look behind." Although he refuses to take back a Russian passport, out of loyalty to western friends who supported him in 1974, he says he wants to be buried in Russia, in the same soil as his teacher Shostakovich, his composer-colleague Prokofiev, and his contemporaries Richter, Oistrakh and Gilels - "all my friends. Maybe we have a drink together after this life." A sense of mortality also underpins his recent decision to stop commissioning new works for cello: the last of his 120-plus world premieres will be a Penderecki concerto, to be given next year with the Vienna Philharmonic. "I must stop because now is so many talented younger generation. They must look for another style of composer, not my style. I have TV from Russia - this pop music, so ugly, without voice, without music. Now must be coming new generation composer who have exactly unison with this time. Already impossible for me make something more than I make with Britten, Shostakovich, Prokofiev, Messiaen, Dutilleux, Lutoslawski, many, many. Maybe now something in between, waiting for new time, new style, new Beethoven, because now make rest." By which he means that, in his opinion, the music world is going through a lull in creativity. But he's surely not thinking of giving up the cello completely? "I very careful now. Maybe I stop after two weeks, maybe after one year, but I careful until I see my muscles very good. You know, I don't like make celebration my last concert - 'bravo, bravo', I cry, my family cry, another pupil so happy I stop . . . (laughter). I don't like this theatre. But I still have good control of myself. Now I more conduct, it become equal as a cellist." Even though Rostropovich's English is garbled, his train of thought is clear - at least in conversation. Orchestras tell a different story. In rehearsal, he has a habit of getting words mixed up, especially when he gets excited. When he calls out "not so fast, not fast, slow, slow, not slow, not faster", as a way of indicating the tempo he wants in a Shostakovich symphony, it's hardly surprising if everyone feels befuddled. But such is his passion and generosity of spirit that his performances create their own aura. The cello may be Rostropovich's trademark, and the engine of his musical authority, but his moral authority is best expressed as a conductor - in spite of those technical shortcomings. He covered great swathes of repertoire in his 17 years with the National Symphony Orchestra of Washington, but no one today really wants to hear his Beethoven, Mahler or even Tchaikovsky, where his tempi have become debilitatingly slow. It's the musical truths of his "three genius" that he is uniquely qualified to interpret. Orchestra managements on both sides of the Atlantic have shrewdly picked up on this: the surest way to attract Rostropovich, and a capacity audience, is to give him carte blanche with these three composers. Chicago will hear a slab of Britten later this year, followed by Prokofiev next year. Munich is about to hear the Shostakovich cycle that London, New York and Chicago have already enjoyed. Vienna will have the War Requiem in 2005 - "I give my word, or I hear together (beyond the grave) with Ben". The furthest ahead that he has planned is January 2006: Shostakovich's Lady Macbeth of Mtsensk with the London Symphony Orchestra. And it's to the same three composers that Rostropovich turns for his LSO concerts over the next couple of months. The series begins at the Barbican on March 14 with a semi-staged performance of Prokofiev's Romeo and Juliet, and ends with three Shostakovich concerts at New York's Avery Fisher Hall in late April. In the middle falls his 75th birthday on March 27 - which he has also chosen to spend with the LSO, as guest of honour at a gala to raise funds for the orchestra's music education centre at St Luke's. The precise nature of Rostropovich's empathy with his three composer-heroes cannot be explained in words. It has to be experienced in the concert hall. Shostakovich succoured him as a pupil. Prokofiev inspired him as a young professional musician. Britten sheltered and supported him as a refugee. All three dived at the chance to write music for him. Rostropovich's loyalty to them - and to other Soviet-era friends, including Alexander Solzhenitsyn and Boris Yeltsin - was forged through the life-and-death conditions of communist Russia. He traces his disaffection with communism to February 10, 1948, the day he read that Shostakovich had been removed as a teacher at the Moscow Conservatoire, because of so-called "formalist" tendencies. Thereafter Rostropovich refused to sign Party-inspired denunciations of fellow artists - a stand that led, three decades later, to exile. He says that unlike Prokofiev, Shostakovich knew he had to compromise with the authorities, and was wracked by guilt about it. "Prokofiev very naive, not understand what happen around him. Shostakovich know very precisely, very deep suffering. Of course he cover this, because he make some composition for the communists. But he make this for have permission for the next composition (to write) exactly what he like. He was neighbour in our dacha, always he come and cry, cry. 'Slava, Galina, that's not corrupt for me to sell my composition, I must feed 20 people around me, only for that composition can I get money'. For two years after 1948, Prokofiev and Shostakovich have real hunger, not enough money for food, no royalty in Russia, no commission for new composition." Did Rostropovich never think of the consequences of his own refusal to seek an accommodation with communism? "I was proud I near to Shostakovich and Prokofiev. For me I rather die than come out against these people. I was so happy - if you see KGB archive, never I make one word of doubt about these two composers. Even great people, even Oistrakh and Gilels, was very careful, because both were communist. The Party ask you to sign and normally they sign. Not open criticise, but, 'Yes, I think that is good idea, make more music for simple people'." As Rostropovich sees me to the door, I ask if he has any regrets about the way his life has worked out. "I tell you now, if God ask me after I died, you would like I give you another time on the earth? You would like something changed in your life? I reply no, I would like to repeat my life from beginning to end." Including the events of 1974? "Yes, yes, because, you know, if you not coming to big tragedy, you not understand what is big joy. It must be like that for performer - if you not play pppp, you not understand what is ffff." ******** Web page for CDI Russia Weekly: http://www.cdi.org/russia Archive for Johnson's Russia List: http://www.cdi.org/russia/johnson With support from the Carnegie Corporation of New York and the MacArthur Foundation A project of the Center for Defense Information (CDI) 1779 Massachusetts Ave. NW Washington DC 20036