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#5
Financial Times (UK)
17 December 2001
Transcript: Interview with Vladimir Putin
Mr Putin was interviewed on December 13 in Moscow by Andrew Gowers,
Robert Cottrell and Andrew Jack
Editorial note: this is a transcript of the consecutive translation given in
the course of the interview by the Russian government's interpreter. Ellipses
indicate points at which the recording is unclear, a tape has been changed, or,
a phrase has been omitted to avoid repetition or digression. Mr Putin's remarks
on the press, in his penultimate answer, came at the very end of the interview.
But he indicated that they were a continuation of that earlier answer, so they
have been appended to it.
FT: You said today the US decision to
withdraw from the Anti-Ballistic Missile treaty was mistaken, but it seems that
you do not want it to affect other aspects of the Russia-US relationship.
Mr Putin: I said what I think. What is
more, even earlier I stated that, in our view, unilateral withdrawal from the
treaty would be a mistake. But I also said, should that happen, we would have no
intention of raising any anti-American hysteria.
Nor do we think this step could result in the emergence of new threats to
Russia's security - for several reasons. First of all, a nationwide missile
defence system is not in existence. Second, it is not known whether it could be
created. And third, if the attempt to establish it is successful, it is not
clear when that could happen.
I will go on to observe the fact that Russia, even today, has all the
necessary means to penetrate any ABM defences. Therefore, the principal
imaginable negative consequence of this unilateral withdrawal could be in
upsetting the balance of forces. This is of no major concern to us.
Although we speak of defensive weapons systems, they also have a certain
offensive aspect to them. They are closely related to strategic offensive arms,
and they enhance the potential of offensive strategic arms. Therefore we speak
of them as being closely inter-related. Actually, there is little difference
between defensive systems and offensive systems from that point of view.
Finally, there is one other consideration which we cannot fail to take into
account. I do believe the world has changed in recent years, and the change has
been fundamental.
If we intend to change the nature of our relationship between Russia and the
West, Russia and the US, and if we take the road suggested by the British prime
minister, Tony Blair, concerning changing the relationship between Russia and
Nato, then this overall question of confrontation will lose its relevance.
It is true we were opposed to a unilateral US withdrawal from the treaty. But
that was not because we were afraid, or we feared for our own security. It was
simply because we are proponents of a different concept, a different philosophy,
of how international security should be built.
We did believe that this treaty was one of the fundamental pillars of the
overall security and stability system in the world as established in recent
decades. More than 30 other international agreements were based on that
foundation - agreements in areas of arms control and arms reduction. That is why
we insisted it should be maintained.
In principle, we were prepared for certain modifications of the treaty. We
asked to be given specific parameters that stood in the way of US desires to
develop defensive systems and implement programmes. We were fully prepared to
discuss those parameters.
But nothing specific was given to us, no specific parameters to be
negotiated. We heard only insistent requests for bilateral withdrawal from the
treaty. To this day I fail to understand this insistence, given our position,
which was fairly flexible.
I am very much concerned in the face of the most negative development or
implication of this step, that is, the extension of the arms race to outer
space. If the leading nuclear powers embark on this road, we will not be in a
position to say "no" to any other country.
But on the whole, as I said earlier, our US partners had the right to
withdraw under the treaty. We recognise this right. They acted in accordance
with the treaty. They did not violate anything and they did not do anything
surreptitiously.
Their position can be contested, one can disagree with that position, as I
do. But one cannot say that in acting the way they did, they violated anything
or did anything on the sly. On the contrary they acted in a consistent way and
quite openly. So there is a certain logic to that approach, we were aware of
that logic, there was nothing surprising.
My response was very calm, very constructive, and it was in line with the
overall approach pursued by the Russian Federation. I believe the US-Russian
bilateral relationship is of major importance for our two nations. But it is
also of great importance, taking into account that these are two leading nuclear
powers in the world, for overall international security. We will try to profit
from the level of relationship we have achieved so far to resolve all the
outstanding issues on which we have not yet reached agreement.
FT: You say that you have no intention of
raising anti-American hysteria, that the US has acted within its rights, that
US-Russian relations are very important. But will it be more difficult now to
pursue the close relations with the US that are clearly your objective?
Mr Putin: No I don't think so and I will
explain why.
In the course of our contacts with President Bush, on no occasion did he
deceive me or mislead me. He always does what he says, and in that respect he is
a reliable partner.
I repeat, of course, we have differences of opinion on some issues. But
nevertheless on some issues, even complicated and difficult issues, we succeed
in convincing each other. The fact that our opinions sometimes diverge on major
issues is only natural.
If we treat each other as partners, solutions can be found - as with the
reduction of strategic offensive arms, where we have reached agreement in
principle. I think this is a major issue, not just for our two nations but for
the entire world - whether we will have 7,000 nuclear weapons, as now, or
1,500-2,000 weapons. It is a difference.
Of course, here too, we do have some questions that need to be discussed
further, to be negotiated. And we do believe that the accords we reach should be
translated into a legal treaty form. They should be transparent, they should be
verifiable.
I believe these agreements should have legal treaty form. I think without
that, it could so happen that partners would have suspicions and misgivings
about what was happening with the other party's weapons - whether they had
actually been reduced, what were the actual numbers, where the weapons were, had
they been destroyed or had they just been dismantled and put in storage
somewhere. If they are stored they constitute so-called "reconstitution
potential". In other words, the possibility would remain that those weapons
could be put back on missiles.
In other words, if we do have such a legal treaty, legal agreement, a
transparent one with proper verification measures, the entire world could be
safer and feel calmer.
FT: How can you obtain that, when the US
wants something much more informal?
Mr Putin: It is subject to negotiation.
So we have to convince and persuade our partners, find a convincing argument. We
have to be convincing enough in adducing arguments and getting them to
understand that compliance with the principles we suggest will meet not only
benefit us, not only meet our interests, but theirs as well. We have to be
persuasive [in arguing] that the principles we suggest will meet the national
security interests of US itself. If we have no such agreements, it could imply
that Russia would have its own reconstitution capability.
Of course, other arguments could be produced. For example, the reason we did
not agree to withdraw bilaterally from the [ABM] treaty was because the
arguments provided by the [US] side to justify their position to us looked
unconvincing.
After all, what were the arguments they used trying to convince us? The first
argument was the possibility of terrorists' using nuclear weapons. The second
was that so-called 'rogue states' could use nuclear weapons.
But the object of the 1972 ABM treaty is strategic ballistic missiles, and
that is something that neither terrorists nor rogue states have at the moment
and are hardly likely ever to have.
A justified position, a well substantiated argument, is the best foundation
for any agreement. I hope that the arguments that we will use in our further
negotiations with our US partners will be convincing.
But the most important thing that underlies any sort of agreement is the
level of mutual trust, mutual confidence. That is why I would very much like to
have our current level of mutual confidence with the US maintained. It is a
basic foundation for agreement of any kind, particularly in this field of
strategic stability.
FT: If you fail to get a legally binding
treaty on arms reduction, will that damage confidence between Russia and US?
Mr Putin: It will depend on the final
result we achieve. It will depend on the way we develop our relations across the
board. If relations between Russia and the West, Russia and Nato, Russia and the
US continue to develop in the spirit of partnership and even of alliance, then
no harm will be done.
But given the present state of international relations, given the
international situation, we do believe that our proposals, our suggestions, are
more justified and more substantiated. And there is yet another important point:
the actual level of our nuclear deterrent. The state of our deterrence is such
that we feel safe and secure, and this is the most important thing to us.
FT: The Russian foreign minister, Igor
Ivanov, said Russia had contingency plans if the US withdrew from the ABM
treaty. Does that mean Russia may put multiple warheads on its missiles, as has
been discussed?
Mr Putin: As a result of the ABM treaty's
being abrogated, and all the relevant constraints being abolished, Russia will
have the right to install multiple independently targeted re-entry vehicles (Mirvs).
But this is not to say we will actually do that. Because in the foreseeable
future there is no point, no sense for Russia to do that.
If we are talking of a missile defence system, then we may have a
"success ratio", a capability of such a system to intercept, one, two,
10, 20, or - a most fantastic option - 100 missiles. But even if Russia goes
down to a level of 2,000 weapons, from a current level which is much higher, it
is unimaginable, totally unrealistic, to think that such a number of missiles
could be intercepted.
[Missile defence] is like hitting a bullet with a bullet. The velocity of a
ballistic missile in flight is about 7 km per second. An interceptor missile
should have at least the same velocity. It is as unrealistic as expecting to hit
a bullet with a bullet.
If we add to that the fact that [incoming] missiles could be equipped with
Mirvs, and they would have special systems enabling them to penetrate missile
defences, then we can easily understand that defensive systems of this kind
could not be regarded as a serious obstacle ...
But now we are talking, following the line of a logic that could be called a
logic of confrontation. If we do not pursue this line, if we do not talk in
terms of confrontation, but rather come back to a point I made in the beginning,
then the main principle which could inspire a sense of calm and security and
safety in the hearts and minds of Russians and Americans and people all over the
world would be a changed quality in relationships between the major nations of
the world.
This means primarily the leading nuclear powers of the world, a changed
relationship between Russia and the West, Russia and Nato, Russia and the US.
This is the main thing from the point of view of strengthening international
security. That is why I want to re-emphasise how much we appreciate and how
positively we view the initiative taken by the prime minister of Great Britain
with respect to changing the nature of relations between Russia and Nato.
FT: How can these hopeful signs with
regard to Nato be turned into political reality? Are you disappointed by the
lack of progress on that front? Do you need something to show for your
readjustment towards the west in the past three months?
Mr Putin: All the disappointments and
frustrations are born out of undue expectations, exaggerated expectations. But I
didn't expect anything extraordinary We have to be patient, proceed cautiously,
and act in a professional way.
As regards things that could be presented as the results of the policies
pursued by the Russian leadership, let me say the following.
The most important thing for us is to create safe and secure conditions for
the people of our country, for the people of Europe, for all mankind, and also
to develop and establish favourable conditions for economic growth in this
country.
The evolving nature of relations between Russia and the West is already
creating favourable conditions for international security, for stability, and
for positive economic growth in this country. This is quite obvious, quite
evident.
Second, in pursuing this policy, we are not asking for some kind of
preferential treatment. We are not asking for any indulgence. We are simply
drawing the attention of our partners to the simple fact that it is in their
interests to treat Russia as an equal partner. The earlier our partners come to
understand this logic, the better it will be both for ourselves and for our
partners. And in pursuing these policies we do not at any time prejudice the
national security interests of Russia.
One of the best cases in point is our position on the ABM treaty. From the
very outset we were in favour of maintaining it and we consistently defended
this position. To this day we believe this is the right position.
Russia still has fresh in its memory the hardships and sacrifices of the
second world war. Our people still remember it quite vividly. Russia is a
peace-loving nation. The people of Russia share a policy that is designed to
achieve friendly relations with Russia's neighbours, with the major countries of
the world, and generally speaking with every country of the world. Therefore we
have a well considered and well balanced position which is designed on the one
hand to safeguard our national interest, and on the other hand to achieve
normal, good neighbourly relations with other countries. This policy is fully
supported by the people of the country.
When everything is going well in the area of security, people focus their
attention to the economy. They expect positive results there. It is from this
point of view they judge the results achieved by the leadership of the country.
We still have many difficult outstanding issues. But still, it is quite
obvious that there is movement, and it is movement in the right direction. This
is something that inspires confidence in us.
We are not asking for debt relief or debt write-offs, we are paying
everything back. This year we are repaying our debt to the International
Monetary Fund ahead of schedule.
We are developing our market-oriented institutions and seeking membership of
the World Trade Organisation. We are very actively pursuing economic reforms.
We have paid back all our debts to the people of the country. In the recent
past, wages to workers went unpaid for periods of months. And of course that
caused very serious social tensions. Today we have succeeded in paying all those
debts, everywhere, including in the armed forces.
Not only that, we are enhancing, modestly but confidently, the living
standards of the population. The real incomes of our pensioners have increased
by 22 per cent. Wages have grown roughly by 19 per cent. Real per capita incomes
have grown by 6-7per cent. GDP growth is expected to reach 5.7per cent.
The most important thing is to have a favourable external situation,
something we would seek to create and ensure for our country. But of particular
importance is positive development of the economy. This is something we will
seek to attain. We believe this is a most important thing.
FT: One indicator of international
confidence in an economy is foreign investment. You are not attracting as much
as you probably want. What are the two or three big things you have to do in the
coming year to keep the economy on course and to attract more foreign
investment?
Mr Putin: This year we are witnessing
major growth in investment - both domestic investment and foreign investment. It
should be noted that foreign investment has been growing much faster than
domestic investment. We are making our economy more attractive. But a lot still
has to be done. And we envisage a whole package of measures in this regard.
We are going to keep pursuing our liberal tax policy. We have significantly
alleviated the tax burden of our economy. Our flat rate of income tax is now the
lowest in Europe, at 13 per cent. The profit tax is going to be 24 per cent...
We have pretty much done away with the sales tax and with the turnover tax.
We have adopted a number of measures to de-bureaucratise and liberalise our
economy. The range of activities subject to licensing has narrowed in number
from 2,000 to a little over 100. Recently we adopted a whole package of laws on
legal reform. This should make our legal system more efficient and help it meet
the needs of the market economy.
We are also adopting the new labour legislation. And we have adopted the tax
code. All this should start working beginning from next year.
That is not all. We are planning further measures to make our economy more
dynamic and efficient. These are primarily measures for restructuring, including
the areas that we call the 'natural monopolies' [editor's note: mainly gas,
electricity and rail freight].If we pursue and implement this whole range of
policies comprehensively, only then will the economy become more attractive.
There are no magic wands to wave here. This all calls for systematic work. We
are full of resolution to pursue this plan. What we expect from our partners is
only that they deal with us on partner-like terms, and treat Russia on standard
terms like everybody else...
It is high time we stripped our economy of the political content of years
gone by. High time both for us and for our partners. I recall my last discussion
with colleagues from the European Union. Also I recall the discussion among
experts regarding Russia's adhesion to the WTO.
The logic of the last discussion was as follows. Russia is not granted market
status. I asked my colleagues, why did you grant market economy status to the
Baltic States? They were recognised as market economies a few years ago. How are
they different from the Russian economy?
I asked them to explain to me the difference between the Russian economy and
the economy of these countries. I was told: when they were making this decision
they were proceeding from the following logic. These countries have very small
economies. And Russia has a huge economy.
Naturally I asked them, are we discussing the quantitative or the qualitative
aspects of the economies? And the reply was: we should change the subject.
I'm quoting our discussion almost verbatim. I will not say exactly who said
this, but present were delegations of Russia and the European Union.
Pretty much the same is true of Russia's accession to the WTO. It is still a
question who will benefit more from Russia's accession - Russia itself or the
industrialised countries. Our experts are naturally still arguing about this.
Some experts believe, quite firmly, that some industries in the Russian economy
are not ready to compete with the cheap and high quality products produced by
our partners.
In such a situation, perhaps our partners from the WTO should try to draw
Russia into the WTO. But strange as it may seem, nothing like that is happening.
And I believe this is also due to political considerations that were
characteristic of the times of the cold war. It would be hard to explain
otherwise why it is demanded that Russia brings all of its legislation into
conformity with WTO standards before we start negotiations on Russia's
accession. Such demands have not been posed for any other country ever.
But I also think it is good that Russia is not yet a party to the WTO,
because in this manner we are not tied up too far with the world economy and we
are not drawn into recession with whole of world economy. This has allowed
Russia to achieve rather good figures for economic growth. Last year it was 8.4
per cent. This year it is more than 5 per cent.
Seriously speaking, we are resolved to continue our negotiations with WTO,
but only on standard terms.
FT: You are implying that Russia is being
treated worse than China?
Mr Putin: I am implying that Russia is
being treated like no other country. Such conditions have not been posed for any
other candidate country. In this I can see a politicised approach that would be
more characteristic of the cold war era and [western] prejudice.
FT: It is clear Russia can now play a
central role in the international politics and diplomacy of oil. How do you plan
to use that power? In your view are oil prices too low at the moment?
Mr Putin: I always fear conversations
about Russia playing a central role in something - because it may be followed by
persistent requests to do something that we may not feel like doing.
Russia has always played a well known role in this sector of the world
economy. Its role is going to increase. First of all because we have a stable
situation in this country. And also because the world economy is interested in
diversifying risks in the energy sector.
I should say in this regard, that in this sector of the world economy we are
interacting especially intensively with the United Kingdom. Of course, we are
working with other partners. But in terms of the energy sector, relations
between Russia and the UK are especially strong. British Petroleum and some
other oil companies are involved in major energy projects in Russia.
We have a lot of oil fields that are explored, that are new, and we are going
to develop this area further. But in carrying out this policy we will do our
best to maintain the price corridor that will be fair both for producers and
consumers. And the fair oil price in our understanding would be between $20 and
$25 per barrel.
As for the fall in prices, we are not especially happy about it, but nor are
we especially concerned about it. Unlike some other oil producing countries, for
us the oil sector is important but it is not the only source of our profit...
There are some experts, some economists, who believe a price drop will result in
a redistribution of the economic structure of Russia. However, a prerequisite
for this will be making our economy more attractive. But judging by what I said
before, you can draw the conclusion that this is exactly what we are pursuing.
FT: Where is the war on terrorism going
to go next? What would happen if it move on to Iraq?
Mr Putin: In what sense? That Iraq would
be involved in this as a fighter against terrorism, or that somebody would fight
against Iraq?
FT: The latter.
Mr Putin: We believe the fight against
terrorism will not be over with the military operation in Afghanistan. It cannot
be finished by this.
Primarily, we should talk about ways to block the financing of terrorist
activities. And so far I have no confirmation, no evidence that Iraq is
financing the terrorists that we are fighting against. Judging by information
that we have at our disposal, financing comes from other countries, and we know
what countries these are.
As for Iraq, the international community is still concerned about the
possibility that weapons of mass destruction may be produced on the territory of
Iraq. In terms of our relationship with Iraq, we should tackle precisely this
problem .
Our proposal is as follows. We should convince the Iraqi leadership to allow
United Nations observers and controllers to sites and facilities inside Iraq
that are of interest in this regard, in exchange for a lifting of sanctions.
As for possible use of force, we should look at the productivity of what has
been done in this regard so far. If you can name facilities inside Iraq, that
are of interest in this regard, that have been destroyed by the bombing, I will
be grateful to you. I don't know if any have been destroyed. The bombing has
been there, but the results have not been there.
We believe we should act within UN framework. I've explained the option that
we think would be most effective. However, our proposal has not met with
understanding on the part of the Iraqi leadership. We have not received any
positive response from them so far. So we are going to continue our joint work,
our consultations with our partners in Europe, in the US and in the UK. And of
course we are going to continue this work within the UN framework.
FT: For the war on terrorism, do you
expect more support from the international coalition in Chechnya?
Mr Putin: We believe that this would be
well grounded, and fair. And we should state honestly what has been happening
there all this time, what is happening there now.
In 1996 Russia withdrew all its military and law enforcement forces from the
territory of Chechnya. Thus de facto, if not de jure, we granted independence to
Chechnya. So nobody can accuse us of suppressing the desire of the Chechen
people for independence. Once already we have given them such an opportunity.
And you know what the result was. What happened was that this legal and
ideological vacuum was filled immediately with international terrorists and
fundamentalists. What we got instead of a new state entity was a quasi-state of
a terrorist nature.
As of today our armed forces are not pursuing any large scale military
operations there. What is happening there is the rehabilitation of peaceful
life, of the social sphere. This is a complex process that will call for much
more time. Of course this will call for the continuation of our dialogue with
the Chechen people.
Within the framework of the constitution of the Russian Federation, Chechnya
can be granted rather broad autonomy. But we cannot afford to make the same
error a second time, we cannot repeat what happened in 1996 when an enclave was
created which destabilised the whole Russian Federation. We cannot afford this
any more. The vast majority of the Chechen people want to live peacefully, in
harmony with each other, they want to have normal conditions to rear their
children.
The best example of the fact that we are pursuing dialogue with all groups of
the Chechen population is that fact that the head of the current Chechen
administration is someone who before 1996 fought against Russian federal forces
with arms in his hands.
As for disruptive forces, there are two major groups there. They are not
numerous but they are there. There are international terrorists, mostly from
Arabic countries. And there is the residue of separatist bandit formations.
As for the international terrorists, it is clear that these are people raised
and trained in Afghanistan in military camps run by Al Qaeda, financed by [Osama]
bin Laden, and neither the Russian nor the European nor the US intelligence
services have any doubt about it.
As for the second group, the separatists, they are certainly linked up to a
great extent with the first group. Russia does not support separatism in other
countries and we hope that no other countries will support separatism in the
Russian Federation. If we allow people to try to redelineate borders, especially
in Europe, then Europe will tumble into an abyss of continuous confrontation and
ethnic wars.
There is a humanitarian aspect to [Chechen policy], the support for human
rights. In this regard we are ready to co-operate with international
organisations and do our best to prevent problems. A lot is being done in this
regard. The judiciary is operating in Chechnya. The prosecutor's office is in
operation there. Our law enforcement agencies are fighting not only terrorists
and separatists but also the military who commit some crimes. Criminal actions
have been instigated against 20 Russian servicemen. They have been sentenced to
various punishments.
We will do our best to provide everything necessary to prepare the public for
parliamentary elections and the elections of an executive.
FT: Would you expect the US to consult
you before embarking on any further military actions beyond Afghanistan in the
war against terrorism?
Mr Putin: Yes, we expect this. And if
this is the case then the decisions will be more mature, they will be better
grounded, and the implementation of such operations will be more effective.
FT: If you have two terms in office,
eight years, what sort of Russia would you like to have created at the end of
that time? What sort of evolution do you foresee in the role of the regions, of
political parties?
Mr Putin: Let us not look too far ahead
in terms of the number of my presidential terms. I still have to cope with my
first term. But of course this does not prevent me from entertaining some ideas
about the future development of this country.
Of course the most important thing is to ensure a developed market and
socially-oriented economy. And to ensure within the next few years a reasonable
pace of economic growth in this country. Based on this, we would seek to resolve
Russia's social problems.
I have told you what we can be proud of in terms of Russia's economic
development in the past two years. But I have to say honestly we cannot be
satisfied with the level we have achieved. We should at least maintain the
current pace of economic growth, and that will be hard to do.
The second thing that has to be said is that the level of national well being
looks not bad in terms of percentage [growth]. However, in absolute terms it is
rather low and we cannot be satisfied with it.
Of course I want people in Russia to be better off, to enjoy a better quality
of goods and services at lower prices. I want the development of democratic
institutions, without which the future of Russia is unthinkable. I want Russia
to be more predictable, more transparent, more manageable.
It is based on this rationale that we have introduced such new tools as
authorised representatives of the president in the regions. Their
responsibilities include co-ordination of the activities of federal authorities
in the regions. By no means are they allowed to intercept responsibilities and
privileges of the regional authorities that have been elected by the regional
population.
I want Russia's civil society to develop further. I want our new laws on
political parties to be translated into real practice. I want the people to have
the choice in the elections not among personalities who they may like better or
worse, but among representatives of political parties that adhere to a certain
vision of the development of the country, a certain theory of the development of
the nation, a certain political movement.
All of this should make Russia more organised, more stable and more
prosperous in economic, political and social terms.
I would also like to add a further point. We should create economic
conditions for the development of a free press... If you look at the economics
of any major media organisation here you will see it cannot exist on its own
without any external influence or investment. This is impossible for a mass
media organisation here. If you look at the expenses that any media organisation
bears in renting premises, utilities, communications, taxes, then you will see
it is unable to pay a decent salary to its journalists. It can only pay a few
cents to them. Without major outside investment, national and even regional
media organisations simply cannot exist. They are normally run by major energy
companies or by trading firms. The objective of the state is to create the right
conditions.
FT: How would you describe you leadership
style? It is said that you always hire people from St Petersburg, and that you
are reluctant to fire people.
Mr Putin: If we look at the percentages
of representatives of various regions in the government and the presidential
administration you will not find many natives of St Petersburg there. Of course
there are some. But not all of them were invited to their current office by me.
When I came to work in Moscow a few years ago there was a pretty large group of
people from St Petersburg here already. Of course I know all of them. But they
had got their jobs in the government, or in the capital in general, through
channels that had nothing to do with me at all.
I try to hire people for jobs in the central authorities based on their moral
and professional qualities. I am trained to adhere to this principle.
Frankly speaking, I have been here in this capacity for less than two years.
Of course I would hire people with pleasure not only from St Petersburg but from
other regions. But to this end I have to know these people well. I need to see
how they work, the results of their activities. And of course it is much easier
for me to take decisions about hiring people based on what I know about these
people from our joint work in St Petersburg.
This is the only reason why you find here natives of St Petersburg. Of course
they attract some attention. But this has nothing to do with their origin. The
point is that I know they are fit for making decisions in this sphere. I know
there professional qualities. That is why they are here.
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