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Washington Times
November 15, 2001
Russia's inner chaos a threat to the West
By David Satter
David Satter is a senior fellow at the Hudson Institute and a visiting
scholar at the Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies
(SAIS). His new book on Russia after the fall of communism is upcoming from the
Yale University Press.
As President Bush and Russian President Vladimir Putin work out the framework
of a new U.S.-Russian relationship, it is important to bear in mind that the
U.S. needs not only cooperation in foreign policy from Russia but also measures
to stem the inner lawlessness that has left entire sections of the country under
the control of organized crime.
Russia today presents a serious danger to the U.S. because it has huge stores
of poorly guarded weapons of mass destruction and powerful criminal syndicates
prepared to sell anything to anyone, for a price.
The danger that Russian criminals may sell weapons of mass destruction to
terrorists for use against the United States is the reason why some of the
enthusiasm for Mr. Putin's turn to the West is misplaced. Russia's willingness
to accept a U.S. military presence in Central Asia is very important but unless
Russia also cracks down on its rampant lawlessness, it could join NATO and —
by remaining a base area for Islamic terrorism — still represent a threat
to the West.
Russia has enough plutonium and uranium to make 33,000 nuclear weapons. These
materials are stored at 50 scientific centers guarded by soldiers who, in the
past, have gone months without being paid. It also has vast quantities of
nuclear waste that can be used to make crude bombs capable of contaminating
large areas. It has the world's largest inventory of chemical weapons —
40,000 tons — and a wide variety of biological weapons, including
drug-resistant anthrax, smallpox and plague.
At the same time, Russia's organized crime groups have a history of
cooperation with terrorist organizations. Russian and Chechen criminal
organizations cooperated in the transport and marketing of heroin from
Afghanistan and, according to the Russian newspaper Izvestiya, after the Taliban
came to power Osama bin Laden used these criminal organizations to launder money
for the Taliban, receiving from $133 million to $1 billion a year.
In the sarin nerve gas attack by the Japanese doomsday sect Aum Shinri Kyo on
the Tokyo subway in 1993, the only case where terrorists have ever used nerve
gas successfully, the production design for the manufacture of sarin was given
to the sect by Oleg Lobov, Russia's former first deputy prime minister, for
$100,000, according to testimony by cult members at the trial of the group's
leaders in Tokyo. There are some reports that Mr. Lobov, a close associate of
former Russian President Boris Yeltsin, was given $100 million for his many
services to Aum Shinri Kyo. The Japanese "businessmen" were allowed to
train on Russian military bases and attended lectures at the Institute of
Thermodynamics of the Academy of Sciences in Moscow where they studied the
circulation of gases.
In recent weeks, it has been reported that bin Laden has bought several
suitcase nuclear bombs from Russia which have not been used only because they
are protected by Soviet codes that require a signal from Moscow before the bomb
can be detonated. Izvestiya has reported that bin Laden has already spent
considerable sums on the recruitment of Russian scientists and former KGB agents
capable of helping him with the breaking of these codes.
The Russian authorities deny the existence of suitcase nuclear bombs, but
organized crime has been involved in nuclear smuggling from Russia since 1992.
Recently, smugglers were arrested in Turkey after trying to sell 41/2 kilograms
of unprocessed uranium and 6 grams of plutonium. Russian gangsters have sold
combat helicopters to Colombian drug dealers and have attempted to sell not only
surface-to-air missiles and a Tango-class submarine.
Under these circumstances, it is just as important for the Russian government
to crack down on organized crime as it is for the Muslim world and the West to
eliminate any network capable of facilitating terror. In the case of Russia,
this would be relatively easy. The activities of Russia's criminal syndicates
have been exhaustively documented not only by the organs of law enforcement but
also by the security services of their commercial competitors. For years, under
Mr. Yeltsin, a massive crackdown on Russian organized crime awaited only a
signal from the political authorities. Unfortunately, that signal never came.
Under Mr. Putin, the indifference to the role of organized crime continues.
In 1997, then FBI Director Louis J. Freeh, in testimony before the House
International Relations Committee, said U.S. law enforcement agencies took very
seriously the possibility nuclear weapons could fall into the hands of Russian
criminal gangs and that Russian organized crime, by fostering instability in a
nuclear power, constituted a direct threat to the national security interests of
the United States.
Now, with the entire world under direct threat from Islamic extremists, the
United States needs to ask our new ally, Vladimir Putin, to begin to eradicate
this danger even at the expense of the system of robber capitalism that has
grown up in Russia during the last decade.
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