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ANALYSIS-Russian base pullout ends Cold War chapter in
Cuba
By Isabel Garcia-Zarza
HAVANA, Oct 20 (Reuters) - Russia's imminent withdrawal from a contentious
spy base it has operated in communist-run Cuba for nearly four decades will end
one of the Cold War's most emblematic alliances.
Russian President Vladimir Putin said this week the Russian military would
pull its personnel from the Lourdes intelligence center outside Havana -- a mass
of antennae and radars in a compound largely hidden by tropical vegetation.
"We knew there were still Russian soldiers here, but not that such an
important base existed," said a young Cuban engineer called Boris, a common
name on the island where past Russian links have left plenty of Vladimirs and
Lenins too.
Like Boris, the first many Cubans had heard about the secretive Lourdes base
was their government's angry public response to Putin's announcement in
state-run media.
The 1,500 Russian military personnel and their relatives at Lourdes are all
that is left of the once massive, 20,000-strong presence during the alliance of
the old Soviet Union and President Fidel Castro's fellow socialist Cuba.
Putin's visit to Cuba last December, which some had cast as an attempt to
revitalize relations, failed to achieve anything concrete and with hindsight
looks more like a farewell trip.
Hot on the heels of Putin came Chinese President Jiang Zemin, who signed
numerous economic accords with the Castro government to push along an apparently
blossoming relationship. Throughout this year, there have been numerous
military, cultural and economic exchanges, and Chinese products are starting to
proliferate in Cuban stores.
"Before, we had the Russians. Now the Chinese are arriving," said a
young Cuban, contemplating piles of Chinese Panda TV sets in a Havana electrical
store.
In the wake of the Russian announcement over Lourdes, some analysts even
speculated that the Chinese could help Cuba maintain the base, which lies just
90 miles (144 km) off U.S. soil, if Havana wants to keep it operating.
The growing Chinese presence, however, will not immediately erase the marks
of Soviet influence, including thousands of Moskvichs and Ladas still beetling
round the Caribbean island in varying states of repair. Much machinery,
including for lorries and planes, is Soviet-made and dependent on Moscow for
repairs.
Perhaps the most visible monument to the former Soviet-Cuban alliance,
however, is the imposing Russian Embassy whose 20-story, rocket-shaped central
block towers over Havana's grandest boulevard, Fifth Avenue, like a set from a
sci-fi movie.
NEAR-EMPTY RUSSIAN EMBASSY
Once home to hundreds of diplomats, now just a few remaining permanent
Russian stuff shuffle around the enormous marble salons, and many parts are kept
closed.
Other testimonies to a relationship abruptly broken by the Soviet collapse of
a decade ago are three large unfinished joint venture projects: the Juragua
nuclear plant, the Cienfuegos oil refinery and the Las Camariocas nickel plant.
When the Russians leave Lourdes, the most important tenet of Moscow-Havana
relations will be economic, including the exchange of Cuban sugar for Russian
oil and the thorny issue of a pending Soviet-era debt Moscow puts as high as $20
billion.
Cuba, which still regards the Soviet collapse bitterly as a
"betrayal," argues that the damages this caused the island's Socialist
bloc-oriented economy were equal to the debt.
And Cuba is still officially in what the government euphemistically calls the
"Special Period," the economic crisis sparked here by the Soviet
collapse.
Russia's decision to leave Lourdes seals a change of strategy by Moscow,
which no longer regards spying on the United S2tates as a priority, would rather
save the $200 million annual rent to Havana, and clearly does not mind risking
offending Castro.
But even as Putin warms up to the United States, so Cuba's Cold War enmity
with "the northern enemy" continues.
The government of Castro, who took Cuba into a close relationship with the
Soviet Union after his 1959 revolution, reacted with indignation to Putin's
Lourdes decision, saying it was not in agreement, and closure of the base would
represent a "grave risk" to its security.
"Cuba was benefiting with part of the information acquired relative to
the security of our homeland," said a Cuban government communique, which
also said that "the U.S. aggressive and warlike policy is stronger than
ever" at the moment.
In the reshaping of international alliances and strategies after the Sept. 11
attacks on the United States, the role of Cuba, still proclaiming it will defend
socialism "to the death," appears somewhat relegated, as illustrated
by the Lourdes pullout, some political analysts and Castro critics say.
"The Cuban government must draw its own conclusions since, as well as
losing this important source of revenue (the Lourdes rent), from now on, its
international isolation could be greater," dissident journalist Oscar
Espinosa Chepe wrote.
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