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Moscow Times
May 14, 2008
Economic Team Has Hard Job Abroad
By Miriam Elder / Staff Writer
Prime Minister Vladimir Putin may have unveiled an overwhelmingly
liberal-leaning economic team in his Cabinet on Monday, yet the government faces
an uphill battle as it seeks to promote Russian business abroad in the face of
widespread fear of overdependence on the country's politicized economy.
The economic team, headed by new First Deputy Prime Minister Igor Shuvalov,
is tasked not only with ensuring the continuity of Russia's explosive growth and
managing runaway inflation, but also with promoting Putin's longtime goal of
turning Russian firms into global players.
"We encourage and will continue to encourage ... the investment activities of
our companies abroad, because we consider this an additional step toward the
integration of Russia in the world economy," Putin said in a major speech to the
State Duma before being confirmed as prime minister Thursday.
While Russian firms have made headway into the U.S. market, they have faced a
tougher time penetrating the nearby European Union, amid growing concerns over
the bloc's dependence on Russian energy supplies.
And some Russian firms, such as state oil champion Rosneft, face potential
legal action if they go seeking acquisitions abroad, resulting often from
complaints by minority shareholders of hardball tactics, which Putin's new
government hopes to leave behind.
One of Shuvalov's main tasks will be overseeing Russia's entry into the World
Trade Organization, a task the country hopes to accomplish this year after more
than a decade of negotiations. Russia, whose GDP stood at $1.4 trillion last
year on the back of sky-high oil prices, remains the only major economy outside
the world trade body.
Moscow must still sign bilateral-trade pacts with Saudi Arabia and Georgia.
Georgian President Mikheil Saakashvili's government has called off talks on the
WTO amid worsening relations between the two neighbors over Russia's support for
Georgia's separatist regions, Abkhazia and South Ossetia.
Analysts said that was one of the justifications for Putin's announcement
Monday that the Industry and Energy Ministry would be split in two, with the
Industry Ministry, headed by Viktor Khristenko, also tasked with foreign trade.
Under the previous administration, that portfolio fell to the Economic
Development and Trade Ministry, now simply known as the Economic Development
Ministry and still headed by Elvira Nabiullina.
"That they removed the trade bloc and control over WTO negotiations from the
economy ministry is logical," said Yevgeny Gavrilenkov, chief economist at
Troika Dialog. "There is no need for further technical negotiations on WTO --
it's largely political," he said.
Khristenko, an affable chain-smoker who had headed the Industry and Energy
Ministry since 2004, will now be tasked with boosting Russian industry, from
developing at home to selling it abroad.
"It's no longer negotiations with the rest of the world, it's simply
arranging industrial and foreign trade policy," Gavrilenkov said.
A spokeswoman for Russia's chief WTO negotiator, Maxim Medvedkov, said he
continued to "hope" that the country would officially join the WTO this year.
Yet in a sign that Russia's entry to the WTO was far from sealed, Swedish
Trade Minister Ewa Bj rling warned in an interview with The Financial Times last
week that Russia's recent decision to double tariffs on timber exports showed
that it was not yet capable of "joining the market-economy family."
The issue could delay Russia's WTO membership, Bj rling warned.
Analysts welcomed Shuvalov's role in the trade talks.
"Shuvalov is one of the most knowledgeable government officials about foreign
relations, both economic and political issues," said Andrew Somers, president of
the American Chamber of Commerce in Russia. "He is highly respected in Russia
and abroad. It's a very good move."
Shuvalov oversaw Russia's preparations for the Group of Eight summit in St.
Petersburg in 2006.
The government has yet to decide, however, who will lead Russia's
negotiations with the European Union over a new partnership and cooperation
agreement -- a process that promises to be tough after months of wrangling
within the EU that has already significantly delayed the start of talks.
The current agreement, which governs relations between Russia and the EU,
expired last year.
Slovenia, which holds the rotating presidency of the European Union,
confirmed this week that Lithuania had lifted its objection to starting talks.
The EU's 27 member states must unanimously agree to begin negotiations.
Lithuania had been calling for a tougher stance toward Russia, particularly
on energy, following a line similar to that of Poland, which dropped its
objections to starting talks earlier this year following Moscow's decision to
lift a ban on Polish meat that Warsaw had called politically motivated.
A formal decision on whether to start talks with Russia will be made after
May 26, EU external affairs spokeswoman Christiane Hohmann said.
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