#13 - JRL 2008-91 - JRL Home
Russia Profile
May 8, 2008
Championing the Poor
Russia’s New Prime Minister Promises Higher Minimum Wages and Increased Budget
Spending
By Dmitry Babich
The State Duma, the lower house of the Russian parliament, approved the
candidacy of Vladimir Putin for the position of the country’s prime minister.
The candidacy, put forward by the president Dmitry Medvedev, received 392 votes
for it and 56 votes against it, without any abstentions. The Duma has 450
members.
Putin was widely expected to win the support of the Duma due to being the
chairman of United Russia, the ruling party that holds 315 seats in the Duma.
Putin’s candidacy was also officially supported by the mildly leftist Just
Russia party (38 seats) and by Vladimir Zhirinovsky’s flamboyant Liberal
Democratic Party of Russia (40 seats). Only the Stalinist Communist party of the
Russian Federation (57 members) voted against his candidacy almost in full (56
votes). The vote was an open one.
Despite being assured of the Duma’s support, Putin’s speech was not short on
promises and grandiose plans. With Russia’s GDP catching up with that of Great
Britain, a member of the G7, the club comprising the most developed economies of
the world, Putin promised to increase the spending on roads and on
infrastructure fourfold. Expenditures on health care and education are also
supposed to grow at an impressive rate, expected to reach 400 percent of what
they were in 2004 by 2010. All of this growth is meant to be achieved without
fueling inflation, whose annual rate Putin promised to cut down to “single
digits” in the next few years. In 2007, inflation in Russia reached 11.4
percent. During the first five months of 2008, inflation hit 6.3 percent. Putin
likewise promised numerous improvements in the structure of education, health
care, and social protection to the stormy applause of most of the deputies
present.
The deputies of every faction were allowed to ask two questions, and the
faction chairmen made speeches explaining their faction’s position. The speech
delivered by Gennady Zyuganov, the chairman of the communist faction, was the
most critical one, with the communist leader calling Putin’s eight years in
power “the period of missed opportunities,” blaming the former president for
high inflation, overreliance on imports, backsliding on democracy, and failing
to annex Abkhazia and South Ossetia, drawing them away from the neighboring
Georgia. Putin listened to the criticism with an ironic smile on his face.
“The Communist party of Russian Federation certainly competes with Russia’s
ruling elite, it’s an old and tested one,” explained Vyacheslav Igrunov, one of
the leaders of the Union of Social-Democrats, a political movement presenting
itself as a leftist alternative to communists. “When Zyuganov criticizes Putin,
it is almost a ritual.”
Putin countered Zyuganov’s criticism by promising more social spending. One
of his most challenging promises was to bring the minimum monthly wage
(currently 2300 rubles, or $97) in line with the subsistence level, which is the
price of a minimal amount of food needed for a person’s survival during a month
(currently 4330 rubles, or $181).
“This spring, the Duma should already introduce legislation bringing the
minimum monthly wage to the level of 4330 rubles,” Putin said in his speech to
the Duma.
Since 1991, when the old system of Soviet social guarantees collapsed, the
fact that Russia’s minimum wage was insufficient to purchase even basic food
staples was a painful reminder of Russia’s poverty problem. During Putin’s first
years in office, the minimum wage was just 600 rubles, the equivalent of about
$22 at the time.
“It meant that one could be officially employed, but still be unable to
provide even for food, not to mention renting a room or buying something besides
food,” said Andrei Isayev, the chairman of the State Duma’s committee on labor
and social issues. “It was humiliating, but one Duma after another was unable to
raise minimum wage, because the government said it would fuel inflation.”
In fact, the problem was rooted in the communist system of full employment,
which guaranteed stable incomes even to people unwanted by their employers. In
the early 1990s, instead of massive firings and layoffs used in Poland and the
Czech Republic under similar circumstances, Russia opted for a more conservative
strategy of cutting real wages instead of laying off the unneeded workforce.
“Many people stayed at jobs with small wages in the budget sector, where
firing a person was a big problem,” explained Liliya Ovcharova, a researcher at
the Moscow-based Independent Institute of Social Policy. “Inflation was so high
that the government did not even have to cut their wages. They were just not
indexed to inflation and soon became irrelevant.”
As a result, Russia acquired an entire class of the “new working poor,” which
made up the bulk of Russia’s 30 million poor people. “Most of the people coming
to us asking for help are not unemployed, but poorly paid working women with
kids,” said Irina Kosheleva, the chairwoman of the committee on social
protection of the Central district in Tula, a city of approximately 500 thousand
people south of Moscow. “Some of them are professionals who just do not want to
leave their jobs, preferring meager incomes to leaving their work.”
Lilya Ovcharova of the Independent Institute of Social Policy claims that a
sudden jump in the minimal wage will not lead to increased inflation. “In fact,
two of Russia’s regions, the Leningrad oblast and Tatarstan already increased
minimum wages on their territories, putting administrative pressure on
employers,” Ovcharova said. “There, it did not lead to higher inflation.
Economic growth and demographic fluctuations led to Russia’s experiencing a
certain deficit in the workforce. All of these factors would alleviate the
inflationary effect of Putin’s initiative.”
But won’t employers just fire low paid workers, instead of paying them higher
wages according to the new legislation? “This is possible, and this is one of
the negative effects of Putin’s generally sound initiative,” Ovcharova said.
“However, I don’t think there are many full-time employees left whom employers
can’t pay even 4330 rubles. Most of such unqualified people left their jobs
during the past 17 years. As for part-time jobs, Putin’s initiative does not
cover them.”
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