#39 - JRL 2008-78 - JRL Home
Voice of America
16 April 2008
Ukraine Reacts to Perceived Russian Threats
By Peter Fedynsky
The Ukrainian Foreign Ministry has protested a series of recent statements by
senior Russian officials that appear to threaten the integrity and security of
Ukraine. VOA Moscow Correspondent Peter Fedynsky reports the statements may be
unintentionally consolidating Ukrainian resolve against Russia.
The prospect of Ukraine's membership in the NATO defense alliance prompted a
number of senior Russian political, diplomatic and military figures to make
statements that have raised eyebrows not only in Kyiv, but also in the United
States.
Among the more recent remarks, a vague threat against Ukraine by the Chief of
Russia's General Staff, General Yuri Baluyevsky.
Obviously, says Baluyevsky, Russia will take steps aimed at securing its
interests near state borders. He notes these will not only be military measures,
but also measures of a different kind.
Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov, in an interview with the Moscow Echo radio
station, said Russia would do anything to prevent Ukrainian and Georgian
membership in NATO.
The general and the diplomat have been vague. Politicians less so.
Moscow Mayor Yuri Luzhkov urged abrogation of Russia's Friendship and
Cooperation Treaty with Ukraine and to revisit Russia's claim to Ukraine's
Crimean Peninsula over the NATO issue.
In February, President Vladimir Putin, with his visiting Ukrainian
counterpart Viktor Yushchenko at his side in the Kremlin, threatened to aim
nuclear missiles at Ukraine if NATO were to deploy missiles there. Secretary of
State Condoleezza Rice called Mr. Putin's remarks unhelpful and reprehensible.
A Russian political analyst with close Kremlin ties, Vyacheslav Nikonov, told
VOA the threats are being taken out of context as part of a campaign in support
of Ukrainian NATO membership.
Nikonov urges people to remember what President Putin actually said; that if
Americans deploy front-line missile forces on Ukrainian territory, then Russia
will retarget its missiles. Nikonov notes the Russian president did not say
retargeting will occur if Ukraine merely joins NATO.
Nonetheless, the Ukrainian Foreign Ministry recently issued a protest against
high level Russian statements characterized as openly anti-Ukrainian, which
question Ukraine's territorial integrity and constitute direct interference in
its domestic affairs.
An analyst at the National Institute of Strategic Studies in Kyiv, Vasyl
Yablonsky, told VOA that high-level Russian threats do not represent the
language of democratic European values, but rather a Russian imperial mindset
that remains hesitant about the independence of Ukraine.
Yablonsky says even an innocent-sounding term like the near abroad, which
Russians use to designate post-Soviet states, speaks volumes, as if those
nations were not really abroad and not really nations. He adds that Moscow
issues reminders that it controls post-Soviet space, where nothing is to be
decided without Russia.
The Ukrainian analyst says perceived Russian threats represent a form of
psychological pressure aimed at preventing Ukrainian NATO membership, but he
says such statements tend to consolidate the Ukrainian nation.
A recent editorial about Ukraine in Russia's independent newspaper,
Nezavisimaya Gazeta, notes that nobody likes the language of threats. It said it
is not difficult to imagine what the citizens of a fraternal country feel if
their neighbor openly considers ways to chop off a piece of their state.
A random passerby in Kyiv shared his feelings about the issue with VOA.
This Ukrainian asks how Russia will take Crimea from Ukraine. It is ours, he
says, adding that Russia is doing Ukrainians a favor by saying such things,
because they tend to rally us around our lands, and allows us to raise our
spirit to protect those lands, which NATO will help us with.
Russian analyst Vyacheslav Nikonov says his country will do everything it can
to avoid any precipitous actions, because they could threaten Russia's very
existence. By way of example, he says he does not exclude local ethnic
hostilities in Crimea, which Washington or Brussels could incorrectly interpret
as Russian interference and prompt nuclear retaliation against Russia if Ukraine
were to be a member of NATO.
He adds that Ukraine produced and continues to service much of Russia's
strategic deterrent, which Moscow cannot do without.
For these reasons, says Nikonov, Russia will use all political means to see
Ukraine become a sovereign, independent nation that does not belong to any
blocs.
The Ukrainian Foreign Ministry protest note strikes a similar tone, saying
Ukraine will use all necessary measures permitted by international law to
protect its sovereignty and independence.
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