#14 - JRL 2008-4 - JRL Home
RIA Novosti
January 4, 2008
Climate of opportunity
Former politician David Shaw (UK) turned to business in Russia. 10 years later,
he assesses the current situation
Since 1997, ex-MP David Shaw has been involved in a number of large-scale
investment projects in Russia. During this time, he has ridden a somewhat
dramatic ride of Russian risk and opportunity. Nonetheless, today he is
convinced of Russia's continuing growth, and has detected positive changes in
business and work attitudes. In an exclusive interview with Russia Beyond the
Headlines, Shaw shares his past experiences and future vision.
Russian investment opportunities never looked upon so favorably before, says
influential UK businessman
How do you rate the current investment climate in Russia?
I think this is an increasingly good one. Indeed, it is being recognized as
such all around the world. There is no doubt the BRIC [emerging market quartet
of Brazil, Russia, India and China] countries are exciting a lot of interest in
the financial markets and London in particular. It's the topic of conversation
in London's bars and restaurants - and this, by the way, is where financial
markets grew up some three hundred years ago.
So I think the climate of opportunity is there. The question is whether
everybody is able take advantage of these new opportunities.
There are obviously problems as well, which people are concerned about.
Emerging markets naturally means emerging legal and regulatory systems. In many
cases the BRIC countries do not have established legal principles going back
many years. In this regard, India has an advantage because India has the basis
of British law which investors in London understand. Concurrrently, we have a
problem with the other three countries - Brazil, Russia and China - because
their systems do not have such a history and are sometimes difficult to
understand, at least at the present time. Russia, on the other hand, is being
helped by a great number of British law firms now opening up in Russia. And both
British and American firms are beginning to develop working understanding with
Russian partners. Indeed, I'm aware of at least one Russian law firm that has
just - in the last three months - set up in London.
You are a frequent business traveler to Russia. What do you think about the
changes that have taken place in the country? Do you believe Russia is a country
that is good for business?
It really should be said that Russia is making enormously impressive changes.
In three years that I've been coming to Russia I've seen a great deal of change
- be it a change in the attitude of the people, or a change in the energy and
enthusiasm they demonstrate towards work.
One of my business contacts in London is a Russian businessman who brings
over conferences involving hundreds of Russian businessmen and women each year.
I have met many of these businessmen and women: not just from Moscow and St.
Petersburg, the two main cities, but from all over Russia. For example, at the
last conference we had some businessmen from as far east as Vladivostok. We are
now beginning to see the whole of Russia coming to London to do business, to
learn the opportunities that exist for mutual trade and business activities.
As it happens, I think that there will be an increasing emphasis by British
and American businessmen on the regions. I have been concentrating a lot of my
own activities there, first and foremost because there is so much competition is
Moscow and business opportunities - especially real estate opportunities - are
relatively expensive. It's usually the case that there are better transactions
to be done in the regions. On the other hand, it takes some time to get to know
these regions well, which first and foremost means getting to know the people
there.
I don't deal directly with the bureaucracies. Instead, I leave that to my
Russian partners to deal with. Certainly, they say they have great difficulty.
When it comes to real estate, for example, multiple approvals are required:
zoning approvals and what we call building control approvals. My company was
advising a Russian client on a project, and at one point I asked "How many more
approvals?" The answer I got: "twelve."
So bureaucracy does provide difficulties; for many these become barriers. At
the same time, however, I should also say I have lived in Britain, an
environment not completely devoid of regulation. And when I visited the United
States, some of the regulations they have are horrendous. We have to learn to
live with bureaucracy and regulation. This is not to undermine the issue in
Russia, however. I understand why Russian and Western businesspeople complain a
lot about it.
How different are the risk profiles in Russia today?
Investors like certainty, and the fact that there are elections coming up may
have some impact.
It's a double-edged sword: Investors like a system of elections but they do
not like too much change as the result of the elections. Even in a democratic
environment, change is not always good for investors. Investors are putting
their money at risk normally for much longer periods than the term of the
parliament. Investors like to invest 5, 10 or 15 years, except for certain types
of private equity funds that are much shorter term. But all investors like a
certain stability to be present.
Inevitably, the fact that Russia is going through elections may mean some
people reconsider investment, but I do not expect it to affect the overall level
per se. On the contrary, I think investment is going to continue increasing. I
was speaking to one American investment banker in London recently who told me
that his bank is going to grow and grow and grow its Russian activities in the
next few years.
One of the most serious factors hindering business development in any country
is corruption. How serious is this factor in Russia? Do you have any personal
experience with it?
I cannot say that I have experienced corruption personally. I simply would
not get involved in that sort of area. It's something I would stay away from.
Of course, I'm aware of the concerns many other organizations have, as I'm
aware of a number of reports in newspapers. Just last week I read that a
government official had been arrested [Deputy Finance Minister Sergei Storchak,
arrested on charges of embezzlement - RBTH]. But occasionally we have such
problems in the West too. We all have to deal with these problems. Besides, what
you can surmise from the recent case is that President Putin's government has
been genuinely active in dealing with the problems. Vice-ministers do not get
arrested without having a government that is against corruption. Russia has to
deal with its problems as we have to deal with our problems in the west. We must
all support one another.
David Shaw is a chartered accountant with over 25 years of experience in
corporate finance. Shaw currently has several business interests, is
non-executive director of an influential business NGO and director of a listed
IT company he set up in 1983. Since 1997, Shaw has become involved in a number
of large-scale business projects in Russia, many involving the real estate
sector.
The interview was conducted by Sergey Merinov Source: Rossiiskaya Gazeta.
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