#10 - JRL 2008-157 - JRL Home
RFE/RL
August 23, 2008
Scene At Russia-Georgia Border Hinted At Scripted
Affair
By Brian Whitmore
Copyright (c) 2008. RFE/RL, Inc. Reprinted with the permission of Radio Free
Europe/Radio Liberty, 1201 Connecticut Ave., N.W. Washington DC 20036.
www.rferl.org
Said Tsarnayev stumbled into a war.
A Chechen freelance photographer with the Reuters news agency, Tsarnayev
arrived in the South Ossetian capital, Tskhinvali, during the day on August 7.
Traveling together with a colleague, Tsarnayev said he planned to take
photographs of the environment and natural surroundings in the area for a
project he was working on.
Once in Tskhinvali, he discovered a virtual army of Russian journalists at
his hotel.
Speaking to RFE/RL's North Caucasus Service, Tsarnayev, a resident of the
Chechen capital, Grozny, said the Moscow-based reporters had been sent from
various Russian media outlets days earlier, and were preparing to cover
something big.
"At the hotel we discovered that there were already 48 Russian journalists
there. Together with us, there were 50 people," Tsarnayev said. "I was the only
one representing a foreign news agency. The rest were from Russian media and
they arrived three days before we did, as if they knew that something was going
to happen. Earlier at the border crossing, we met one man who was taking his
wife and children from Tskhinvali."
Late that night, armed conflict broke out between Russia and Georgia.
'No Relationship To Reality'
Tsarnayev's account could not be independently confirmed. But it is
consistent with mounting indications that Russia had been planning an attack on
Georgia in advance, and was just waiting for a pretext to carry it out.
Russia's state-controlled media seemed extremely well-prepared to cover the
outbreak of armed conflict in Georgia. Television networks immediately presented
elaborate graphics with news anchors and commentators appearing to stick to
disciplined talking points accusing Georgian President Mikheil Saakashvili of
aggression, and the Georgian armed forces of genocide and ethnic cleansing.
The country's best English-speaking officials were made readily available to
Western media, where they relentlessly pushed Moscow's line on the conflict:
Russia was simply protecting its citizens and peacekeepers in South Ossetia from
atrocities at the hands of Georgia's military.
In an interview with RFE/RL in the early days of the conflict, Steven Pifer,
a former U.S. Ambassador to Ukraine who is now a visiting fellow at the
Brookings Institution in Washington, said Moscow's rhetoric and media narrative
suggests they were preparing a large-scale operation.
"The rhetoric that is coming out of Moscow, ethnic cleansing and genocide, is
just way over the top," Pifer said. "It's almost approaching the point where
there is just no relationship to reality. But again, certainly the rhetoric is
appropriate to a larger operation against Georgia to just stop and reverse
whatever military gains the Georgians made in South Ossetia on [August 7]."
The apparently well-prepared media narrative is only part of the picture.
On August 3, authorities in Georgia's Moscow-backed separatist province of
South Ossetia began evacuating hundreds of children to Russia. At the time,
Georgian officials said the move could be a signal that separatist authorities,
and their patrons in Russia, were preparing an offensive.
South Ossetian authorities said at the time that the evacuations were a
precaution in case Georgia attempted to retake the province by force --
something Moscow and Tskhinvali had been accusing Tbilisi of plotting to do.
Speaking at a news conference in Moscow on August 21, the deputy head of
Russia's General Staff, Colonel General Anatoly Nogovitsyn, reiterated Moscow's
claims that the Georgian side was preparing to use force.
"We have complaints against the OSCE regarding the initial stage of the
conflict -- they were informed by the Georgian side that there would be an
invasion, but they didn't warn the Russian peacekeepers," Nogovitsyn said.
In remarks reported by "The Washington Post," Georgian Defense Minister Davit
Kezerashvili said he gave the order for Georgian forces to "go out from their
bases" at 6 p.m. local time local time on August 7, just one hour before
Saakashvili announced a unilateral cease-fire.
Months In The Works
Kezerashvili said the Georgian troop movement was designed to deter South
Ossetian separatists, who were firing across the de facto border into
Georgian-controlled villages.
But observers say the march toward war on Moscow's side began months earlier.
In fact, hostilities began escalating soon after NATO delayed granting
Membership Action Plans -- a key phase before full membership -- to Georgia and
Ukraine at its summit in early April.
Less than two weeks later, Vladimir Putin, who was in the last month of his
presidency, signed a decree authorizing direct relations with and assistance for
Georgia's two pro-Moscow separatist provinces, Abkhazia and South Ossetia.
Later in April, Russia deployed 1,500 additional troops, some of them heavily
armed, to its "peacekeeping" contingent in Abkhazia without Georgia's consent --
an express violation of the 1994 cease-fire agreement.
Russia also began shooting down Georgia's unmanned drone aircraft that were
conducting reconnaissance over Abkhazia. Russian military aircraft also began
regularly violating Georgian airspace near the separatist territory.
In June, Russia deployed unarmed troops to Abkhazia to rebuild a rail link
between Sukhumi and Ochamchira. At the time, Moscow presented the move as a
humanitarian gesture to improve Abkhazia's transportation infrastructure. But
U.S. and Georgian officials later pointed out that the railway was used to
transport military equipment and munitions into Georgia during the conflict.
Then, with everybody watching Abkhazia, the focus abruptly shifted to South
Ossetia.
In July, Russia's armed forces began massive military training exercises in
the north Caucasus involving 8,000 servicemen and 700 pieces of military
hardware. Russia's 58th Army, which would later spearhead the incursion into
Georgia on August 8, was the key unit in those maneuvers.
The 58th Army remained in the North Caucasus after the exercises. Shortly
thereafter, Georgian and South Ossetian separatist forces began exchanging
artillery, mortar, and sniper fire across the de facto border. Georgian
officials accuse the separatists of instigating the exchanges, but South
Ossetian authorities deny the allegation.
Pifer said is appears that Russia laid a well-prepared trap for the
Georgians, and Tbilisi took the bait.
"The Georgian leadership made a mistake on [August 7]. They should have
understood from what they have seen from the Russians that the Russians were
looking for a pretext. They [the Georgians] gave them that pretext when they
decided to go in a fairly large way into South Ossetia," Pifer said. "The speed
of the Russian response suggests that the Russians were ready, they were just
waiting for the reason and they took that as the reason."
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