#11 - JRL 2008-151 - JRL Home
Date: Sun, 17 Aug 2008
From: "Joera Mulders" <joeramulders@gmail.com>
Subject: The blame game should stop
After years of reciprocated provocations the Georgian president issued the
order for an all out attack on a city with thousands if not tens of thousands
civilian inhabitants present. Russian troops, apart from the already present
peacekeepers and the hurriedly scrambled jets, arrived about 12 hours later. The
next phase saw Russian troops securing military targets in Georgia proper, using
indiscriminate force killing civilians and frightening many to flee their homes.
The one politician who has visited both the refugee camps in North-Ossetia and
Gori, Bernard Kouchner has condemned Georgia for making serious mistakes and
Russia for its unacceptable reaction.
This is where the blame game should stop. The blame game only blinds us when
we search to find the best solution for the victims of the conflict.
The solution, I see, is a refreeze of the conflict along the June 1992 accord
with one consequence from the recent fighting and the elimination of two flaws
in the former structure: (a) For the coming years there can be no Georgian or
Ossetian peacekeepers. Russia should remain as currently it is the only party
trusted by South-Ossetian population. (1) Georgia needs international support
that is part of the Joint Control Commission and will be present in the form of
peacekeepers. This mission will have to be commanded by a nation with strong
economic ties with Russia, ties that are much more important than a conflict
within the Caucasus. (2) South-Ossetia must be given a status in which it can
represent itself in the international arena, without having to rely on Russia.
Hopefully, in the coming weeks we will see the international community decide
on a double ring of peacekeepers: Russians will protect the South Ossetian
population and controlling the Ossetian militia and the volunteer brigades from
the Northern Caucasus. An international mission commanded by a large European
nation will protect the Georgian population on their side of the conflict line
and control Georgian provocateurs.
Besides the revived peace mission in a new quality, South-Ossetian leadership
should be given some form of international status that would permit it to voice
their opinion in international institutions. Russia should not wish to
incorporate lands across the Caucasus. The social-economic prospects for an
independent South-Ossetia are bleak. Kosovo should be brought to mind, not as a
reference to east-west differences, but to remind us that each case is unique.
Sadly, while the danger of military escalation is declining, it is by now the
blame game that poses the largest threat to a swift and viable solution. The
current situation is not helped by attempts made to attribute part of Georgia's
responsibility in the conflict to nations that supplied and trained the Georgian
military. Equally destructive are efforts to prove a Russian intent behind the
escalation of violence.
Both sides of the conflict have been preparing for the worst. This is what
militaries do. One cannot expect Moscow not to have had a contingency plan for a
situation in which its peacekeepers in South-Ossetia and Abkhazia are attacked,
nor to not have trained for such an occasion. Georgia is fully entitled to build
up its national defenses with international assistance, although I think that
economic programs could have done more to win the hearts and minds of the
populations in the break-away republics. A similar criticism concerns Russia.
Why didn't its soft power suffice to avoid a military confrontation?
Let us leave the question of guilt to an international court of justice,
agreed upon and trusted by all parties. It is after all civilized justice we
long for, not tar and feathers.
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