#2 - JRL 2008-110 - JRL Home
Jamestown Foundation
www.jamestown.org
Eurasia Daily Monitor
Volume 5, Number 106
June 4, 2008
POLL SHOWS RUSSIANS CONFIDENT ABOUT PRESENT, LESS SO
ABOUT FUTURE
By Jonas Bernstein
A survey conducted by Allianz SE, the giant financial service provider with
headquarters in Munich, found Russians fairly confident about their country’s
present and future as well as their current personal situations, but they are
less confident about their personal future. The “confidence study” was conducted
in April and May of this year among more than 11,000 people aged 15 to 60 in 10
European countries: Austria, Germany, Greece, Italy, Spain, Portugal, Turkey,
France, Croatia and Russia (www.allianz.com, June 2).
Only 17 percent of the respondents in Russia described the overall situation
in the country as “rather bad/very bad,” with 59 percent describing it as
“neither good nor bad” and 24 percent describing it as “very good/rather good.”
That contrasted sharply with France, where 53 percent of the respondents
described their country’s overall situation as “rather bad/very bad,” 32 percent
as “neither good nor bad” and only 15 percent as “very good/rather good.”
Gloomier still was Portugal, where 63 percent described the overall situation in
their country as “rather bad/very bad,” 31 percent as “neither good nor bad” and
a mere 6 percent as “very good/rather good.” The poll found that Austrians and
Turks evaluate the current overall situation in their countries most positively
and that Italians and Austrians are most confident about their countries’
future.
Russia had the smallest share of respondents who said that they were “rather
concerned/very concerned” about the situation in their country over the next 12
months (29 percent). The next two countries with the lowest percentages of
respondents “rather concerned/very concerned” about the situation in their
country over the next 12 months were Austria (31 percent) and Germany (39
percent).
The poll also found the Russian respondents the least pessimistic, but not
the most optimistic, about their current personal situation. Only 7 percent of
the Russian respondents described their current personal situation as “rather
bad/very bad,” slightly less than Austria (8 percent) and Spain (9 percent). On
the other hand, only 43 percent of the Russian respondents described their
current personal situation as “very good/rather good,” compared with 64 percent
of the Austrians, 60 percent of the Greeks, 57 percent of the Germans, 55
percent of the Spaniards, 51 percent of the Turks, 45 percent of the Italians
and 45 percent of the French. Half of the Russian respondents described their
personal situation as “neither good nor bad,” the largest percentage of
respondents to answer that way except for those in Portugal, where 53 percent
described their personal situation as “neither good nor bad,” 26 percent as
“very good/rather good” and 21 percent as “rather bad/very bad”).
On the other hand, only 38 percent of the Russians said they were confident
about their personal situation in the next 12 months. The only respondents less
confident about their personal future were those in Turkey and Portugal (34
percent and 28 percent, respectively, said they were “very confident/rather
confident”). Still, only 25 percent of the Russian respondents said that they
were “rather concerned/very concerned” about their personal situation in the
next 12 months, compared with 47 percent of those in Portugal and 56 percent of
those in Turkey. Russia had the highest share of respondents, 36 percent, who
said that they were “neither confident nor concerned” about their personal
situation in the next 12 months.
In terms of specific issues, 18 percent of the Russian respondents indicated
that they were “very confident/rather confident” about the general economic
situation in the next 12 months (compared with 8 percent in Portugal, 26 percent
in Turkey and 35 percent in Austria). On the other hand, 27 percent of the
Russian respondents said they were “very confident/rather confident” about the
security of jobs in the next 12 months, compared with 16 percent in France, 19
percent in Germany, 12 percent in Portugal and 11 percent in Spain.
The Russian respondents were the most pessimistic about their ecological
situation, with only 9 percent saying they were “very confident/rather
confident” about conservation of the environment and climate protection in the
next 12 months, compared with 13 percent in Spain (the second lowest) and 35
percent in Turkey (the highest).
The Russian respondents were also the most pessimistic about their pensions,
with only 13 percent “very confident/rather confident” about being provided for
in old age. The Portuguese respondents were the second most pessimistic in this
area (16 percent), while the Austrians were the most optimistic (55 percent) (www.allianz.com,
June 2). Yaroslav Lissovolik, co-head of equity research at Deutsche Bank, told
RBK Daily that Russian fears about retirement as indicated in the poll
represented an “objective assessment” about their pension system, given that
they saw how Russian pensioners lived today and assume it would be the same for
them. Likewise, Hannes Chopra, who heads ROSNO, a Russian insurance company that
belongs to the Allianz group, said that while the Allianz “confidence study”
showed that a “positive mood” prevailed in Russia, Russians were skeptical about
their post-retirement future, given that their pensions equaled about a quarter
of the salary of their last job, compared to as much as 65 percent in Germany
and 95 percent in Greece (www.rbcdaily.ru, June 4).
|