#42 - JRL 2008-104 - JRL Home
RFE/RL
May 27, 2008
Commentary: Georgian President Wins Big, But Loses
Bigger, In Parliamentary Vote
By David Kakabadze and Brian Whitmore
Copyright (c) 2008. RFE/RL, Inc. Reprinted with the permission of Radio Free
Europe/Radio Liberty, 1201 Connecticut Ave., N.W. Washington DC 20036.
www.rferl.org
Mikheil Saakashvili really needed this vote to sparkle.
The Georgian president, whose own reelection in January was dogged by claims
of irregularities, was well aware of the cost if his country's May 21
parliamentary vote was deemed anything less than free and fair. His country's
NATO bid. Western support on Abkhazia. A line of defense against Russia. And his
reputation as a democrat, both at home and abroad.
At the same time, Saakashvili desperately needed his party, the United
National Movement, to score a definitive win. The recent rise of an energetic,
if fractious, opposition had for the first time cast Saakashvili's hold on power
in doubt. Chastened by the global scolding that followed his crackdown on
antigovernment protests in November, Saakashvili had sought to make space for
the opposition -- but not at the cost of his own party and political program.
So the challenge was not just to win. It was to win clean. Saakashvili
forcefully called on public officials not to falsify results, not to intimidate
voters, and not to interfere with the democratic process. And yet allegations of
voters being bullied, pressured, and cajoled began coming in even before the
ballots were cast.
A woman in Tbilisi whose son was being held in police custody was told by
local officials that she could secure his freedom by rustling up 1,500 votes
from neighbors on behalf of the National Movement.
A school director in the Sachkhere region in western Georgia published an
open letter alleging that he and other education officials were pressured into
mobilizing teachers and parents to get out the vote for the ruling party.
In the eastern Georgian region of Kvemo Kartli, a video surreptitiously taken
with a mobile phone showed election commission officials accompanying citizens
into voting booths as they cast their ballots. The video was later broadcast on
Georgian television.
These are not isolated incidents. Numerous similar cases, all verified by
election monitors and by RFE/RL correspondents on the ground, have been reported
throughout the country.
So what happened? Why do Georgian officials continue to tamper with elections
even when the stakes are so clearly spelled out, and so terribly high?
Unfortunately, in a young democracy like Georgia's, old antidemocratic habits
die hard.
Despite the very public presidential commands to let the democratic process
take its natural course, far too many local officials appeared to follow their
tried-and-true blueprint of using any and all methods to get out the vote for
the ruling party. Maybe they saw Saakashvili's protestations as just a wink and
a nod. Or maybe such behavior is part of their political DNA.
How much did the pre-election shenanigans affect the final result? Herein
lies the tragedy. Most credible public-opinion polls showed the United National
Movement was headed for a comfortable, fair-and-square win. Perhaps not the
two-thirds constitutional majority it ultimately achieved, but a solid win
nonetheless. No backstage string pulling required.
The opposition all but ensured this result by going into the election
divided. The largest antigovernment bloc, the United Opposition, was long on
bluster but had no central program to speak of, other than calling for
Saakashvili's ouster. Rather than circling the wagons and building up a true
political alternative, the United Opposition, the center-left Labor Party, and
the center-right Republicans instead wasted much of the campaign trading insults
and allegations among themselves.
United Opposition leaders Davit Gamkrelidze and Levan Gachechiladze did their
best to discredit the vote in advance by saying that they would interpret any
result other than a win for their party as evidence of falsification. They have
made good on that promise, and -- together with other opposition leaders -- have
vowed to boycott the new parliament. On May 26, tens of thousands of opposition
supporters took to the streets in central Tbilisi.
They probably would have done so anyway. But the well-documented accounts of
voter intimidation by local and international monitors gives this unruly
opposition a degree of legitimacy that it clearly does not deserve.
So Georgia is back in a familiar spot. A vicious cycle of recrimination,
gridlock, and predictable post-Soviet chaos.
International observers have noted -- despite harshly worded concerns over
the rigging claims -- that the elections were a dramatic improvement over past
votes, including Saakashvili's reelection in January. Some even suggested they
were the cleanest in Georgian history.
But for a country that aspires to join the elite clubs of Western democracies
-- in deed, and not merely in name -- that's not quite good enough. It's not
just Saakashvili who needed these elections to sparkle. All of Georgia did.
David Kakabadze is the director of RFE/RL's Georgian Service. Brian Whitmore
is a senior correspondent for RFE/RL.
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