#21 - JRL 2007-94 - JRL Home
RIA Novosti
April 20, 2007
Russian investors unwelcome in Europe
MOSCOW. (RIA Novosti economic commentator Mikhail Khmelev) - Russia is
becoming increasingly open to foreign businesses.
This is proved by the growing number of international transactions: foreign
companies are buying Russian assets and Russian firms are making acquisitions
abroad.
The total sum of such transactions last year doubled compared to 2005.
Russian businesses' integration in the global economy could be even higher but
for the resistance it faces when trying to buy into foreign companies.
According to a report on the Russian mergers and acquisitions market in 2006
prepared by KPMG, interest in M&A in the country is growing fast. The total
number of transactions disclosed by companies soared by 62%, from 505 to 817.
Public transactions on this market accounted for 56%, compared to 30% the year
before. The report cites Thomson Financial, which estimated the entire Russian
M&A market at $63.6 billion (compared with $40.5 billion in 2005). At the same
time, the number of non-public transactions remains high. According to some
estimates, their total value may reach $20 billion. The average price tag of a
deal in the open segment of the market was $77.8 million as opposed to $80
million in 2005. The reason is that investors are increasing their activity in
the medium and lower price ranges, and that the number of huge transactions is
declining.
The growth of the Russian M&A market primarily testifies to the positive
qualitative and quantitative changes in the Russian economy. Foreign direct
investment in Russia last year more than doubled, to $35 billion, while the
inflow of foreign capital reached $41 billion, according to the Russian Federal
Service for State Statistics. This allows experts to predict that foreign
investment this year will be at least $25-$30 billion. Ongoing consolidation in
different sectors means that the biggest ones are reaching a new level of
integration and growth. The market's transparency is improving: Russian
companies are increasingly using foreign experience when making transactions
abroad and for initial public offerings. The total value of mergers and
acquisitions with foreign participation reached $24.4 billion last year, an
increase of 90%. Cross-border deals accounted for 38.3% of the M&A market in
2006 compared with 32% in 2005. The number of foreign acquisitions of Russian
assets reached 201, totaling $14.5 billion (versus $4.3 billion the year
before).
In previous years, foreign strategic investors were interested in extraction
industries; now foreigners are investing in all sectors of the Russian economy.
They spent $7 billion on the acquisition of oil and gas companies, $3.7 billion
on financial firms, $1.1 billion on steel and mining enterprises, and $800
million on retailers and companies operating in the consumer sector. European
businesses accounted for 58% of acquisitions in monetary terms. Europeans
invested a total of $8.6 billion in Russian companies, a two-fold increase from
2005 ($4.2 billion). These acquisitions are encouraged by foreign companies'
interest in direct access to the huge Russian market. The Russian authorities
took several measures last year to attract foreign investment, including paying
more attention to legislative regulation of the process.
But the situation with capital flow in the opposite direction is less
spectacular. Russian businessmen are extremely interested in acquisitions
abroad. There are several obvious reasons for this: they want to expand their
geographic presence, get access to foreign research and technologies, and
achieve horizontal and vertical integration. Non-public companies want to
quickly get listed on Western exchanges (a reverse takeover). Russia's share of
the global market of mergers and acquisitions grew from 1.8% to 2%; its share in
Europe was up from 4.4% to 6%. But these figures could have been higher.
Resistance to Russian businesses entering Europe grows in proportion to their
activity abroad. Russian companies encounter the strongest opposition at the
state and local levels. The value of the European assets Russians were able to
buy in 2006 fell by a factor of 1.6, from $5.4 billion to $3.4 billion. The
aggregate sum of transactions that fell through for economic, political and
cultural reasons was $50 billion. Offers from Russia's leading companies were
rejected; Gazprom was not allowed to buy Britain's Centrica for $20 billion, a
stake in Italy's Eni for $8 billion or in Poland's PGNiG for $1.5 billion. The
steel giant Severstal failed to buy Arcelor, for which it offered $13 billion.
Sistema offered $10 billion for Deutsche Telecom, and LUKoil $1.5 billion for
Lithuania's Mazeikiu Nafta refinery. MMK tried to acquire Pakistan Steel.
Russian companies are hindered by the negative image Russia has in the West. The
coverage of their activities in the Western mass media did not help either.
However, all these problems can be resolved. Russian companies hope that
their European partners will change their opinion. Russian businesses are
working on their image and changing their corporate management and culture. The
European Union is Russia's biggest trading partner, which leaves no alternative
to mutual rapprochement. Russia's forthcoming accession to the World Trade
Organization will offer even more opportunities for the integration of its
industrial, financial and consumer sectors into the European economy.
|