#32 - JRL 2007-55 - JRL Home
Russian Cos Will Hold IPOs For $30 Bln In 2007 - Alfa
Bank Forecast
MOSCOW. March 6 (Interfax) - Alfa Bank analysts forecast that Russian
companies will hold initial public offerings for $30 billion in 2007, the bank
said in a press release.
"The volume of new issues will likely reach $30 billion in 2007, which is
almost doubt that of 2006," the analysts said. This scenario is very likely if
current problems on the world stock market do not disrupt plans that have
already been announced.
Russian companies have already raised $10.6 billion through IPOs and other
share placements since January 1, 2007.
Alfa Bank's chief strategist Chris Weafer said that of the $30 billion new
issues planned for 2007, about $24 billion will be for state-run companies in
the banking and electricity sectors. He expects that most of the financial
resources raised by these companies will come from strategic investors and from
Russian financial investors. This is even more likely if the frenzy continues on
world markets, which will result in falling demand for new share issues among
emerging economies, he said.
The government remains the biggest investor on the stock market with a stake
of $403 billion, or around 40% of GDP. This stake grew in 2007 since more and
more state-run companies are entering the market, the release says. Alfa Bank
analysts expect that foreign investors will receive an invitation in 2007 to
account for a maximum of $10 billion of the planned $30 billion. Of the $17.6
billion raised by Russian companies in 2006, around $6 billion came from foreign
investors.
Deutsche UFG President Ilya Shcherbovich forecast at the end of last year
that there would be 35 IPOs in Russia in 2007 for a total of $19 billion.
He said that 60 Russian companies were planning IPOs for 2007 for a total of
$25 billion. "But our forecast is more realistic - 35 IPOs for $19 billion,"
Shcherbovich said.
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