#37 - JRL 2007-251 - JRL Home
Ukraine Set To Pay Much More For Gas In 2008
Copyright (c) 2007. RFE/RL, Inc. Reprinted with the permission of Radio Free
Europe/Radio Liberty, 1201 Connecticut Ave., N.W. Washington DC 20036.
www.rferl.orgDecember 5, 2007 (RFE/RL)
-- Ukraine's outgoing government has agreed to a significant price hike in a
deal for supplies of natural gas from Russia, sparking an immediate denunciation
from the incoming prime minister, Yulia Tymoshenko.
But she and other opponents of the agreement appear less concerned about the
nearly 40 percent price hike than the specifics of the deal, which include the
services of a murky intermediary, RosUkrEnergo.
Prime Minister-designate Tymoshenko called the government's continued use of
the middleman company's services part of a "corrupt" and "brainless policy."
If she is confirmed at the head of a new government, however, Tymoshenko will
have little alternative but to comply with the deal, which appears to have the
consent of Ukrainian President Viktor Yushchenko.
Russian monopoly gas provider Gazprom announced after the conclusion on
December 4 of negotiations with Ukrainian Fuel and Energy Minister Yuriy Boyko
that it will charge Kyiv $180 per 1,000 cubic meters for gas supplies next year,
up from the current $130.
The EU was watching the talks closely for signs of a repeat of a price
dispute in 2006 that led Gazprom to briefly shut off supplies to Ukraine --
through which 80 percent of Europe's Russian gas supplies travel.
In October, a similar crisis was averted when Ukraine and Russia came to an
agreement on unpaid gas debts that had led Moscow to threaten to cut supplies
again. Ukraine eventually paid RosUkrEnergo nearly $920 million to end that
dispute.
History Of Murky Middlemen
The potential involvement of the Swiss-based intermediary in supplying
Russian gas in 2008 had also placed the recent negotiations under intense
scrutiny in Ukraine.
Tymoshenko had urged Boyko during negotiations to cut RosUkrEnergo out of any
new deal, and in the run-up to September 30 parliamentary elections, Yushchenko
was highly critical of the company's role as intermediary.
RFE/RL analyst Roman Kupchinsky says this is because RosUkrEnergo's services
"will cost Ukraine about $1 billion a year."
When negotiations began in the fall, Gazprom Chairman Dmitry Medvedev said
that "we will probably revise the scheme of our relations [with Ukraine] and
give up any intermediary structures that are not clearly understandable -- at
least those structures whose existence is not quite clear to us and who were
proposed by our partners in a certain historical context."
During negotiations for the 2006 supplies, President Yushchenko supported the
entry of RosUkrEnergo into the arrangement, over the objections of Tymoshenko.
Kupchinsky explains that the company receives a commission -- in the form of
gas -- on transit fees for the 50 billion to 55 billion cubic meters of Turkmen
natural gas that Ukraine buys from Gazprom.
"They then resell [that gas] in Europe and make even more money," Kupchinsky
says. The market rate for gas imported to Europe is about $230 per 1,000 cubic
meters.
Moscow's Least-Favorite Prime Minister Returns
It took nearly two months of maneuvering after Ukraine's recent parliamentary
elections for a coalition to emerge of the Yulia Tymoshenko Bloc and President
Yushchenko's Our Ukraine party.
The same day Gazprom announced the gas deal, Tymoshenko's bid for
confirmation as prime minister got a boost with the election of former Foreign
Minister Arseniy Yatsenyuk to the post of parliament speaker. Our Ukraine member
Yatsenyuk received 227 votes in the 450-member parliament.
"What is very strange is that they tried, and they succeeded, in signing the
deal before the new government comes in -- which will lock either Tymoshenko or
whoever becomes prime minister into this deal," Kupchinsky says. He says it's a
"bad deal" to which RosUkrEnergo "does not add any value."
During Tymoshenko's seven-month stint as prime minister following the 2004
Orange Revolution, Ukraine's relations with Russia fell to an all-time low.
Moscow previously sought her extradition relating to corruption charges stemming
from her role as president in 1995-97 of Unified Energy Systems of Ukraine --
which served at the time as middleman for Russian gas imports.
The new agreement follows a jump in the price that Gazprom pays Turkmenistan
for imported gas, and was not unexpected. Last month, it was announced that the
Russian company would pay $130 per 1,000 cubic meters of Turkmen gas for the
first six months of 2008, and $150 for the second half of the year.
Ukraine is the end user of much of the Turkmen gas imported by Gazprom.
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