#26 - JRL 2007-251 - JRL Home
From: Ira Straus (IRASTRAUS@aol.com)
Date: Wed, 5 Dec 2007
Subject: re JRL 249 Milanovic - Distinction between
democracy and break-up
Branko Milanovic makes an important distinction, one too often overlooked in
the Russian field: that the introduction of democracy is not the same thing as
the break-up of vast states, be they countries as he calls them or empires (as I
would sometimes call them without any pejorative implication). Whatever their
causal connections, they are different things. And of course should not be
treated as the same thing.
The conflation of democratization with sympathy for separatism is frequently
made by democracy-promoters. Even more often, democratization and federalism are
equated with supporting ever greater decentralization, with no apparent stopping
point short of separation.
Despite this, the official West has generally not conflated democracy with
separatism. While it has often spoken in favor of decentralization, it has not
intended this as separatism. In the case of Chechnya, the official West has
always supported Russia's territorial integrity; that is why the Western media
and NGOs are always attacking the Western governments as supporting Yeltsin and
Putin in Chechnya. And the inter-governmental West, OECD, commented, in a major
study on or piece of advice to Russia the 1990s, on the need to strengthen the
Russian central government's capabilities and overcome the excessive economic
autonomy of regions.
The problem is that Western media and private Western democracy-promoters
(including some paid at arm's length by Western governments and easily mistaken
for official spokespersons) have regularly conflated democratization with
extreme decentralization of Russia and sometimes with support for separatism
wherever it is to be found. Russians hear this conflation so many times from
Western sources that they assume this is the official Western view. Actual
Western policy is much more complex and sometimes exactly opposite to these
publicists.
It seems from his comment that Branko Milanovic joins in confusing private
Westerners with the official West on the question of confusing democracy with
break-up. This doesn't however affect his argument; it only adds to the
importance of his point that the distinction between democracy and break-up
needs to be made - and by Westerners, not just by himself.
If he is mistaken in his East-West analysis -- that the West equates
democracy with separatism, the East does not -- then it is a significant
mistake. It matters that it gets perceived that way by some people in the East.
As I see it, some people both in East and West conflate democracy with
separatism, but often with opposite motives -- the Westerners in question do it
to support separatism, the Easterners to support authoritarianism in the name of
holding the country together. And the Easterners who make such a conflation,
such as the late Mr. Milosevic and the present Mr. Putin, tend to be much more
important than the Westerns.
Why then the perception that it is the other way around -- that it mainly
Westerners who conflate the two? The only explanation I can see is that the
conflation is propounded with enormous frequency by Western media, NGOs and
democracy-promoters.
Easterners cannot be expected to grasp the difference between Western
rhetoric and Western institutions. Western society and its institutions are a
combination of evolved traditional and modern elements; its rhetoric tends to be
post-modern. American rhetoric on government has generally been Jeffersonian,
despite the greater role of Hamilton in building the American state. One might
think from the Jeffersonian style of American rhetoric on federalism that it was
Jefferson not Hamilton who organized The Federalist Papers and wrote most of
them. Western discourse has become hyper-Jeffersonian since the 1960s; its
"bigger and better" traditions and institutions became displaced on the
intellectual and rhetorical level by "small is beautiful". This is the premise
that leads to the habitual conflation of democracy with separatism.
The institutional prejudices that are urged upon the East in Western rhetoric
are very different from the institutions that exist in the West, which have
solid evolved normative foundations even if those foundations are neglected in
contemporary rhetoric. Fortunately, there was a period of relative Hamiltonian
predominance in American thinking about international affairs from about 1940 to
1960, during which West-West international institutions were built with some
substance, the EU itself with a goal of federalism inspired by the Hamiltonian
tradition; those Eastern countries that are able to make it into the Western
international institutions proceed to get the benefit of this Hamiltonian
reality, balancing the effects of the Jeffersonian rhetoric. Those countries
that haven't got in -- and that includes the biggest one by far, Russia -- are
left with the rhetoric as their main experience of the West. It is
understandable in these circumstances that people will be prone to confuse the
private West with the official West and believe that the official West, when it
talks of promoting democracy, is promoting break-up.
That means the confusion is widespread on both ends, both East and West.
The prevalence of the confusion makes it a welcome thing for Mr. Milanovic to
mention the distinction.
Most of the time, to be sure, democracy and break-up are only conflated, not
explicitly equated. Probably it is usually subconscious, something that is taken
for granted by the conflator.
The distinction between democracy and break-up is perhaps obvious, once
stated. Nevertheless, this obvious distinction is one of those obvious things
that is overlooked with great frequency.
Such confusions are inherently pernicious. And in this case it has done
serious damage in the real world.
Perhaps some people assume there is an intimate positive causal connection
between democracy and break-up, making their conflation something of an innocent
abbreviation. They should consider how often the causal relation is actually
negative rather than positive -- how often democracy and break-up are opposites.
For example, the separation of Central Asia from the Russian state brought
regression to a mix of pre-Gorbachev style authoritarianism with Oriental-style
despotism.
Further: The cause of democracy in Russia (and Serbia) has been hurt
tremendously by the conflation of democracy with separatism. The West and the
Democrats in Russia (and Serbia) have been deeply discredited by the belief that
they are the cause of the break-up of the Russian empire (and of Yugoslavia).
Today there is an ongoing symbiotic relation between those on the Western
side who conflate democracy with break-up in order to support separatism, and
those on the Russian (and Serb) side who do so to justify authoritarianism.
Putin justifies his authoritarianism as necessary to hold Russia together, or
as necessary for recentralization. Westerners in the media and elsewhere, by
equating recentralization with authoritarianism, and by conflating democracy
with break-up, give his view tremendous support. They legitimize Putin's
authoritarianism.
Please note how serious this is. Large sectors of Western democracy-promoters
and media actually preach things that legitimize Putin's authoritarianism -- not
in the way Putin says, by supporting Orange Revolutions and engendering Russian
reactions to that, but in a much more intimate and direct way, by reinforcing
his prejudice that recentralization and authoritarianism are the same thing.
They form a symbiotic alliance with Putin on this point. They help to convince
Russians that Putinian authoritarianism is the only alternative to further
decentralization and disintegration. After all, if further decentralization is
what even the Westerners seem to be saying that democracy means for Russia, how
can ordinary Russians be expected to dispute this conclusion?
Discourse becomes a hall of mirrors. Radical simplifiers and mystifiers on
both sides -- Russian authoritarians, Western proponents of break-up -- feed off
of a debate with each other in which they both talk past one another but both
actually agree on the main point (or main unexamined prejudice). Sensible
moderate people -- democrats who support Russia's unity -- get marginalized.
A shining example of the Hall of Mirrors, with mutual reflection between
Western and Russian break-up advocates, was seen on JRL 246 just a few days ago,
in the column of Paul Goble, "Window on Eurasia: Russian Nationalists, Russian
Patriots Square Off".
Goble is one of the only two prominent Americans who sometimes advocate a
break-up of Russia; the other is Brzezinski. His column highlights a supposedly
good Russian nationalist, Aleksei Shiropayev, who "argues that Russian
nationalism properly understood will promote democracy, capitalism, and
integration with Europe" by the marvelous means of despising the central state,
on whose altar the narod has always been sacrificed, and creating a bunch of
"regional governments that are closer to the people", and that might or might
not become fully independent, but which could in any case somehow "join Europe".
Probably 99% of Russian nationalists would recognize Shiropayev's nationalism as
fake, a rhetorical use of the word to undermine the actual Russian nation. When
Goble highlights it as the true Russian nationalism, it is fair to say that he
writes as a false mirror of Russian nationalism; just as Shiropayev has written
falsely as a mirror of the West when he propagates the illusion that Europe
would welcome a broken-up Russia more easily than a whole Russia. So it goes in
the Hall of Mirrors.
Few are the Russian Democrats who add more mirrors to the Hall, by themselves
supporting break-up and saying that it is what the West wants from their
country. But the effect of the hall of mirrors is to amplify their role
tremendously, making them seem like very important Western Agents.
When Russians hear from both ends -- authoritarians and democrats, in their
own country and in the West as well -- that their choice is authoritarianism or
break-up, it is hardly surprising that a large majority of them choose
authoritarianism. Polls have shown Russians endorsing Putin's authoritarianism
on the specific ground that it is holding the country together.
The space for normal Russian Democrats, who do not want or accept break-up,
is reduced to a fraction of what it otherwise could be. Which probably has
something to do with why they get so few votes.
The current misperception gets read back into the history of 1990-91, when
many Russian Democrats really did accept and participate in the break-up of the
Soviet Union. The current myth is that this was done for the sake of the West,
or in some versions (including quasi-official Russian military and security
apparatus versions), under the guidance of Western intelligence services.
All kinds of elementary realities are forgotten in this myth -- that the
break-up was internally generated with virtually no Western role; that the
position of Russian Democrats, while debatable, had real justification in that
it avoided the sort of devastating core civil wars that afflicted Yugoslavia,
which might well have been the alternative in face of the cumulative failings of
the Moscow center's policies from 1987 to 1991 in dealing with the national
question; that official Western support was limited to the independence of the
Baltic states and was based there on a long tradition of rejecting the
Nazi-Soviet pact, not on enmity to the unity of the rest of the Russian empire;
that President Bush I spoke at the time in Kiev against "suicidal nationalism";
that Yeltsin began the "recentralization" of Russia or recovery of a functioning
central government from the start in 1992, did an impressive job of patching
Russia back together, a result that was far from inevitable, and laid the basis
for Putin's continued recentralization. In the new mega-myth, Western
democracy-promotion throughout the Cold War was aimed at the break-up of the
Soviet Union, and since then at the break-up of Russia; the Russian "Democrats"
were agents of the Western embassies in this dirty work; the Yeltsin regime was
decentralizing and disintegrating Russia all the time until Putin came in to
save it; and Russians should forever love Putin and hate the Democrats for this.
How much more damage will come out of this myth? It remains to be seen.
Putin's wielding of it to demagogic effect against the Democrats in recent days,
calling them agents of a West that is working for Russia's break-up, is an
indicator of how far it could go. It was easily enough predicted in the early
1990s that the stab-in-the-back myth would become a core element of a Russian
nationalist revenge movement; the Communists and ultra-nationalists were already
using it that way. What was not predicted -- except perhaps by Alexander Yanov,
in the capacity of stating what was his worst nightmare -- was that the head of
state would be using it in the first decade of the 21st century, and making it
pretty central to his ideological position.
So I would like to thank Branco Milanovic again for doing his part to shatter
the Hall of Mirrors, by the simple act of interposing his body in the middle of
it and pointing out that its central proposition is a plainly false.
We Westerners ought to be able to respond by doing likewise. That would at
least show that good people on both ends, East and West, can reflect truth and
common sense back to one another on this question.
If done by enough people, it might finally create a set of mirrors or mutual
support in talking good sense and elementary good will. And that might someday -
who knows? - prove more powerful than the symbiotic hall of mirrors. After all,
the latter suffers an irreparable fragility: its partisans on the two ends have
opposite motives, and part-malicious ones at that, and a simple confusion at the
core of their argument. Sensible discourse on both sides can provide mutual
support in a direct way, synthetic not symbiotic, without any absurdity at the
core.
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