#20 - JRL 2007 - 210 - JRL Home
Moscow Times
October 5, 2007
This Economist Keeps on Swinging [re: Grigory Yavlinsky]
By David Nowak
Staff Writer
Editor's note: This is the fourth in a series of profiles of possible
presidential candidates.
It was a stump speech in what was very much a local election. But when
Grigory Yavlinsky took the stage in the small Moscow region town of Pushchino,
he wanted to talk big ideas.
"Our program is built on idealism," Yavlinsky told the crowd of 200 voters
before launching into an hour-long analysis of how misguided economic reforms in
the 1990s had produced the systemic corruption Russia has today.
Hours after the speech, aimed at capturing votes for his Yabloko party in
regional legislature elections, Yavlinsky briefly let down his mask. Riding in
the backseat of his BMW, he tried with childlike exuberance to get a read on how
voters had viewed his performance.
"Was it OK?" he asked his spokeswoman, Yevgenia Dillendorf, over his cell
phone.
Dillendorf duly delivered the good news: People were excited that he showed
up and hung around afterward to sign autographs and discuss local issues.
"Excellent," he said, and tucked the phone into his coat pocket.
The obvious pleasure Yavlinsky takes in jazzing up a small town crowd is due
in no small part to the fact that his visibility -- and relevance -- in politics
has steadily declined since he finished fourth in the 1996 presidential
election, garnering 7.3 percent, or 5.5 million votes. Yavlinsky, a former
junior boxing champion who has been known to physically intimidate political
opponents, is fighting to the bitter end.
"If they want to destroy me, they know they can," Yavlinsky said in the back
of the BMW. "But as long as I am around and I have voters, then it will be
illegal. I am not going to lie down and die. If they want me gone, they have to
destroy me in front of everybody."
Yavlinsky, a shunned economic reformer who wrote a manual for operating coal
mines that is still used today, plans to run for president in March. But nobody
-- Yavlinsky included -- has any illusions that he will win in a race more akin
to a scripted professional wrestling bout than a clean fight.
But what frustrates many liberals, including his own supporters, is that
Yavlinsky is still trying to land jabs -- criticizing human rights abuses in
Chechnya, corruption and selective prosecution -- while the Kremlin and its
allies are essentially smashing steel chairs over the heads of their opponents.
Yabloko, for example, was stricken from the ballot in March elections in St.
Petersburg on a technicality, though the party said it was banned because of its
vocal opposition to the construction of a Gazprom skyscraper in the city.
"I'm moving my way," Yavlinsky said in a recent interview at Yabloko's
headquarters, across the river from the Kremlin. "I'm consistent. I'm not going
to self-destruct."
Fractured Opposition
Since the 1996 election, Yavlinsky has been under pressure to team up with
like-minded parties, primarily from the pro-business Union of Right Forces
party, or SPS, which has chastised Yavlinsky for his obstinacy.
"Yavlinsky recognizes only one way of merging: Everybody joins Yabloko," SPS
leader Nikita Belykh said. "We have always been in favor of merging democratic
forces."
The two parties have been negotiating for 10 years but with little results.
Yavlinsky considers SPS a Kremlin project because of its big-business links,
including Unified Energy System head Anatoly Chubais, architect of the 1990s
privatizations that Yavlinsky was denouncing to Pushchino voters in March.
Chubais is an SPS founder but is not a member of the party.
"Time has run out for people like Yavlinsky," said SPS co-founder Boris
Nemtsov, who implemented Yavlinsky-authored economic reforms as the governor of
the Nizhny Novgorod region in the 1990s.
As for other opposition figures -- such as 2003 presidential candidate Irina
Khakamada, former world chess champion Garry Kasparov and former Prime Minister
Mikhail Kasyanov -- "they are welcome to join Yabloko," Yavlinsky said, speaking
in the fluent English -- albeit with an American twang -- that he learned while
studying labor economics at the Plekhanov Institute of National Economy.
Yavlinsky has refused to associate with The Other Russia, an opposition
coalition led by Kasparov and writer Eduard Limonov, a founder of the banned
National Bolshevik Party. The coalition has staged several Dissenters' Marches
across the country that have been violently quashed by riot police.
Yavlinsky calls Limonov a "typical Russian nationalist."
"Yabloko can't join nationalists. It's not acceptable for us in principle.
Nationalism in Russia is a very dangerous thing and contagious thing. Is that
clear?" a visibly annoyed Yavlinsky said, slipping into Russian.
Limonov, in turn, accused Yabloko of collaborating with the Kremlin and
called Yavlinsky an "authoritarian leader."
"He just doesn't want to share his power," Limonov said in a telephone
interview. "Yabloko is pretending to be a democratic organization, but it is
not. Yavlinsky, of all people, should know that only a broad alliance can save
democracy. But he is not prepared to sacrifice his own power for that."
Yavlinsky's rejection of The Other Russia is to curry favor with the Kremlin
ahead of State Duma elections, Limonov said. "What Yavlinsky says and what he
does are two different things," he said.
Economics vs. Boxing
Yavlinsky was born into a relatively well-off Jewish family in Lviv, western
Ukraine, in 1952 and enjoyed a happy childhood. "The war brought people
together. You never betrayed your friends," he said.
Alexei Yavlinsky, his father, was an orphan whose younger brother died of
hunger in his arms. He lived with an adopted family in Kharkov and later moved
to Lviv. He was stationed in Central Asia during World War II.
Yavlinsky's mother, Vera, was evacuated from Tashkent to Lviv after World War
I. She taught chemistry in the city and married Alexei there in 1947.
A childhood dream to buy a football led Yavlinsky to his first love:
economics.
The football cost 6 rubles, and it took months for Grisha -- the diminutive
used by family, friends and political enemies -- to save up the necessary cash.
He even pocketed his lunch money.
When the great day came, Yavlinsky, then 8, was cheered off to the store by a
crowd of friends who had already split up sides to play with the football he was
about to buy. "I was so proud," Yavlinsky said.
He returned an hour later, empty-handed: The price of the ball had been
bumped up to 7 rubles.
The episode still seems to irk him. "I was so angry," he said. "I thought,
'Who decided to raise the price? Why did they make such a decision?'" banging
his fist on the table on the "who" and the "why," one his favorite ways of
showing emphasis.
No one could explain to him the arbitrary price mechanisms of a closed
economy, but Yavlinsky had unknowingly touched upon a fundamental principle of a
market economy. What drives prices?
Yavlinsky's second love, a girl, led him to take up boxing to protect her. By
the time he was 18, he was an upstart from the Dynamo boxing club, in central
Lviv, who had twice been crowned national junior boxing champion.
One of his former coaches, Pyotr Vasilyuk, called Yavlinsky "a clever
fighter." "He worked so hard and had a focus one rarely sees," Vasilyuk, who
still trains young boxers at Dynamo, said by telephone from Lviv.
As a young adult, Yavlinsky realized that he had to make a decision: continue
boxing and aim for the top of the sport or indulge his love for economics. "My
coach said he thought my future was in learning and studying," Yavlinsky said.
In 1969, Yavlinsky moved to Moscow and studied labor economics at the
Plekhanov institute. One of his professors there, Alexei Tarkhanov, remembers
Yavlinsky fondly.
"He was very talented," said Tarkhanov, head of the labor economics
department at the institute. "He loved to speak in front of an audience. He
loved to give presentations and spent considerable amounts of time and energy
trying to persuade people that his point of view should be considered."
The studious Yavlinsky liked to sit close to the window, never in the front
row, and never too far from the girls, Tarkhanov said.
"He always did his homework, although we tried not to give him too much
because he worked enough on his own in the library," he said. "He was really
independent. You wouldn't call him one of the regular students. It's obvious
that his position in society today is no accident."
Yavlinsky met his wife, Yelena, at the institute, and the couple has two
children. Their son Mikhail was born in 1971 and currently works for the BBC
Russian Service in London. Their other son, Alexei, was born in 1981 and works
as a computer programmer in Moscow.
Yavlinsky submitted his doctoral thesis, titled "The Development of the
Division of Labor in the Chemicals Industry," in 1976, the same year he began
traveling the country as a senior engineer at the All-Union Coal Industry
Scientific-Research Institute. "I came to the conclusion that the main problem
is that people simply didn't want to work," said Yavlinsky, whose research
centered on the coal mining cities of Kemerovo and Ulyanovsk.
"Where are the incentives? Good workers and bad workers are paid the same.
That wouldn't work. Then, it hit me. This is not just an inefficient payment
system, it is a symptom of a much wider, deeper, more philosophical problem," he
said.
Yavlinsky developed a work distribution manual aimed at maximizing labor
resources within safety guidelines. He said the manual is still in use today in
coal mines across the country.
In 1980, Yavlinsky became head of the heavy industry department of the State
Committee for Labor and Social Problems, but four years later he was put on
forced leave -- officially for tuberculosis -- after writing a paper called
"Problems With Improving the Economic Mechanism in the U.S.S.R."
Yavlinsky traveled to Lviv as he was finalizing the report and heard a story
from his father that convinced him that the entire Soviet economic system "was
wrong." Yavlinsky repeated the story: Once upon a time there was a man with
yellow skin. All his life, the doctors were trying to cure him. Everybody
thought it was jaundice caused by too much alcohol. But when he died, they
realized he was Chinese.
Yavlinsky's report had one guiding thesis: The Soviet economy was based on
fear. It was an assertion, Yavlinsky said, that caused him "huge problems." He
declined to elaborate.
Despite the setback, his skills were in demand as Mikhail Gorbachev's
glasnost era approached.
The Reformer
In 1989, Yavlinsky was made department head of the Soviet government's State
Commission on Economic Reform, and the following year he and two fellow
economists proposed market reforms called "The 400 Days Plan."
It was around this time, Yavlinsky said, that he had a physical altercation
with Soviet Finance Minister Valentin Pavlov, who stopped by Yavlinsky's office
to convince him to scrap the plan.
"Pavlov was drunk, and he was trying to blackmail me," Yavlinsky said. "I
don't want to talk about this, out of respect. But yes, I punched him."
Pavlov, who later became the last Soviet prime minister and was one of the
leaders of the August 1991 coup attempt, died in 2003.
Yavlinsky has a reputation of not being afraid to use physical intimidation
when needed.
"This is Yavlinsky. He knows how to handle himself," Limonov said. Limonov,
whose writings about his childhood in Kharkov are filled with street fights and
general mayhem, conceded, however, that he had never seen Yavlinsky resort to
violence or physical intimidation.
Yavlinsky said his 400-day program was refashioned by Mikhail Bocharov, then
a deputy in the Supreme Soviet, into the "500 Days" program, which gained
subsequent support from Gorbachev and Russian President Boris Yeltsin but later
was rejected.
Yavlinsky resigned after his plans for economic reforms went nowhere. "I
believe in economics, and I believed in the reforms," he said.
He continued to work as an adviser to government economists, and after the
Soviet Union was dissolved in December 1991 he went on to introduce successful
reforms in Nizhny Novgorod under Nemtsov.
Yavlinsky's presidential ambitions surfaced in October 1993, when he formed
an electoral bloc in Moscow called Yabloko, or Apple, whose name is based on the
last names of its founding members. The first two letters came from Yavlinsky;
the "B" from former Yeltsin aide Yury Boldyrev; and the "L" from Vladimir Lukin,
now the country's ombudsman.
The bloc became a political party in 1995, finishing fourth in Duma
elections, and Yavlinsky, as its head, ran the following year for president
against Yeltsin and Communist Party leader Gennady Zyuganov.
Always a Bridesmaid
The 1996 election is still a sensitive topic for Yavlinsky. After building up
a solid voter base on promises of battling corruption and ending the first
Chechen war, he feels he was cheated out of third, or possibly even second,
place.
He complains he was hurt by his reputation as a "super dove" out to cleanse
the corridors of power during a time when the country's billionaires were being
born in controversial privatizations.
Seven bankers -- Boris Berezovsky, Vladimir Potanin, Mikhail Khodorkovsky,
Vladimir Gusinsky, Alexander Smolensky, Mikhail Fridman and Pyotr Aven -- threw
their media and financial support behind Yeltsin, paying for a campaign that won
him a second term. Their winning bet on Yeltsin contributed greatly to their
subsequent influence.
"Yeltsin offered me a position to support him in the 1996 election, as long
as I withdrew from election race," Yavlinsky said. "I said to him, 'I have a
list of things you should do: If you stop the corruption, stop the bureaucrats
from stealing from the people, then we can talk.' He said: 'What can I do? These
people are my friends. I'm not going to do that.' I said: 'Then there is nothing
to talk about.'"
The current sources of Yabloko's financing are unclear. Yavlinsky said he had
agreements with certain people whose identities would be announced after Yabloko
is registered for the upcoming Duma elections.
He denied reports that George Soros, a U.S. billionaire known to be partial
to West-leaning democratic movements in Eastern Europe, had ever contributed
money to the party. Soros declined to comment, his spokesman Michael Vachon said
by e-mail.
Khodorkovsky, the former Yukos head currently serving out a prison sentence
on fraud and tax evasion charges linked by some to his financing of opposition
parties, contributed "several million dollars" in 2003 and 2004, Yavlinsky said.
Yavlinsky said his chances of becoming president this time around were even
less realistic than a decade ago. But he has a list of priorities for what he
would do as president, including the introduction of an independent judicial
system and the creation of a parliament that reflects all elected political
parties.
"Thirdly, I would implement real private property rights, which, together
with real competition, would be the basis for the real market economy," he said.
What can be done to get an opposition figure into the Kremlin? Telling the
public the truth about what is going on day by day and formulating an
alternative, Yavlinsky said. "Criticisms without alternatives have no substance.
Simply saying that this is a bad government means nothing," he said. 'We must
say, 'I'm ready to make a good government, and I can do that.'
"The problem is that no one would ever believe that they could create
something."
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Resume
Grigory Alexeyevich Yavlinsky
Born: April 10, 1952
Place of Birth: Lviv, Ukraine
Education: Plekhanov Institute of National Economy, 1969-76; undergraduate
degree in labor economics; doctoral thesis titled "Development of the Division
of Labor in the Chemicals Industry," 1978.
Advantages: Reputation as incorruptible; expert on market economics; speaks
good English; good relations with the West.
Disadvantages: Low public profile; associated with economic turbulence in
early 1990s; shrinking Yabloko voter base; seen by some as a puppet of the West.
Notable Quotes: "If the politics of Soviet times were characterized by
Gosplan, then today's politics are more like Gosclan." Interview with The Moscow
Times, 2007.
"The political elite in this country acts like a 13-year-old child, with all
the associated complexes: Give me money and leave me alone." Interview with
Kommersant, 2002.
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