#32 - JRL 2007-165 - JRL Home
From: Ian Hague ihague@fbird.com
Subject: Re: 2007-#164-Johnson's Russia List/Petro
Date: Mon, 30 Jul 2007
I feel the need to offer a correction for a statement that appeared in
Nicolai N. Petro's Op-Ed piece entitled "Russia and Britain: Condemned to
Cooperation?"in www.opednews.com, July 27, 2007 (JRL #164).
Dr. Petro views the recent arrival of Russian companies on Western financial
markets (in particular London) as conferring leverage to the Kremlin in its
diplomatic struggle with the UK to prevent the . In Dr Petro's words:
"London has become the preferred watering hole for a new breed of Russian
global investors. Almost overnight they have catapulted it into third place
among the world's stock market, and they appear willing to invest much more, so
long as they still believe that the British can be taught to appreciate the
benefits of an interdependent global economy, increasingly driven by Russian
wealth. If London perseveres as a financial power center into the next decade,
it will be largely thanks to Russian investment."
While listings of Russian corporates in London do represent some very nice
fee income for all of the service providers (investment banks, accountants,
lawyers) that are involved in the process of listing a company in London, this
is not "investment" per se. Companies like Vneshtorgbank, Rosneft, Gazprom, have
all been large SELLERS of shares to international investors like myself. Over
the last two years something close to $40 billion has been raised from private
investors in this manner. The reason Russian corporates like London is that they
get the broadest possible cross-section of institutional investors who are
capable of writing "big-tickets" in the 10s of millions of dollars, together
with the relatively more relaxed listing requirements of the LSE.
The upshot of all of this is that in fact it is the UK government that has
significant leverage over the Kremlin in the diplomatic battle for justice in
the Litvinenko assassination case, and not the other way around. Russian
companies need access to liquid reputable capital markets much more than the UK
or the LSE "need" to have Russian listings. This is why many in the Kremlin are
probably very concerned about the latest escalatory move by Britain to tighten
visa rules for Russian government officials: every single major state-owned
company in Russia has a Kremlin insider on its board or in the Chairman's seat
now. If these people were to lose the privilege of visiting London, they would
not be able to preside over the "road shows" that are an essential aspect of the
listing process.
Ian Hague
Firebird Management LLC
152 West 57th Street
New York, NY 10019.
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