#39 - JRL 2007-158 - JRL Home
MINISTRY OF FOREIGN AFFAIRS OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION INFORMATION AND PRESS
DEPARTMENT
July 19, 2007
The Article by Russian Minister of Foreign Affairs
Sergey Lavrov "Containing Russia: Back to the Future?"
Influential political forces on both sides of the Atlantic appear intent on
starting a debate about whether or not to "contain" Russia. The mere posing of
the question suggests that for some almost nothing has changed since the Cold
War.
What is a return to containment meant to achieve at a time when Russia has
abandoned ideology and imperial aspirations in favor of pragmatism and common
sense? What is the purpose of containing a country that is successfully
developing and thereby naturally strengthening its international position? What
is the point of containing a country that aspires to things as basic as
international trade?
It should be no surprise that Russia today is making use of its natural
competitive advantages. It is also investing in its human resources, encouraging
innovation, integrating into the global economy, and modernizing its
legislation. Russia wants international stability to underpin its own
development. Accordingly, it is working toward the establishment of a freer and
more democratic international order.
The new advocacy of containment may stem from a substantial gap between
Russian and U.S. aspirations. U.S. diplomacy seeks to transform what Washington
considers "nondemocratic" govern-ments around the world, reordering entire
regions in the process. Russia, with its experience with revolution and
extremism, cannot subscribe to any such ideologically driven project, especially
one that comes from abroad. The Cold War represented a step away from the
Westphalian standard of state sovereignty, which placed values beyond the scope
of intergovernmental relations. A return to Cold War theories such as
containment will only lead to confrontation.
In contrast to the Soviet Union, Russia is an open country that does not
erect walls, either physical or political. On the contrary, Russia calls for the
removal of visa barriers and other artificial hurdles in international
relations. It espouses democracy and market economics as the right bases for
social and political order and economic life.
Although Russia has a long way to go, it has chosen a path of development
that entails unprecedented, and at times painful, changes. Russian society has
reached a broad consensus that these changes should be evolutionary and free of
upheavals. Ultimately, a mature democracy, with a vibrant civil society and a
well-structured party system, will emerge from a higher level of social and
economic development. This requires a substantial middle class, which cannot
come into being overnight. It was only Russian tycoons who emerged overnight in
the early 1990s - and those times are definitely over.
Frictional Energy
Countries dependent on external sources of energy criticize Russia for
assuming its naturally large role in the global energy sector. However, those
countries should recognize that energy dependence is reciprocal, since hoarding
is not a wise choice for an energy exporting country. That is why Russia has
never failed to fulfill any of its hydrocarbon-supply contracts with importing
countries. Russia does, however, consider energy to be a strategic sector that
helps safeguard independence in its foreign relations. This is understandable
given the negative external reactions to Russia's strengthened economy and
enlarged role in international affairs, in which Russia lawfully employs its
newly gained freedom of action and speech. It should not be criticized by those
who frown on a stronger Russia.
The Russian government's energy policy reflects a global trend toward state
control over natural resources. Ninety percent of the world's proven hydrocarbon
reserves are under some form of state control. Such state control of energy
resources is offset, however, by the concentration of cutting-edge technology in
the hands of private transnational corporations. Thus, there are incentives for
cooperation between the parties, with each sharing the same objective of meeting
the energy requirements of the world economy.
Russia is pursuing a foreign policy in striking contrast to the ideologically
motivated internationalism of the Soviet Union. Today, Russia believes that
multilateral diplomacy based on international law should manage regional and
global relations. As globalization has extended beyond the West, competition has
become truly global - nothing less than a paradigm shift. Competing states must
now take into account differing values and development patterns. The challenge
is to establish fairness in this complex competitive environment.
The logical approach is for countries to focus on their competitive
advantages without imposing their values on others. U.S. attempts to do the
latter have weakened the West's competitive position. As Eberhard Sandschneider,
director of the Research Institute of the German Society for Foreign Policy, has
put it, U.S. policies in recent years have "damaged tremendously the image of
the West" in Asia and Africa. He concludes that nothing, or almost nothing, has
been done to make Western values attractive to Asian and African populations.
Russia can hardly be held responsible for that.
In his speech in Munich earlier this year, Russian President Vladimir Putin
stated the obvious when he said that a "unipolar world" had failed to
materialize. Recent experience shows as clearly as ever that no state or group
of states possesses sufficient resources to impose its will on the world.
Hierarchy might seem attractive to some in global affairs, but it is utterly
unrealistic. It is one thing to respect American culture and civilization; it is
another to embrace Americo-centrism.
The new international system has not one but several leading actors, and
their collective leadership is needed to manage global relations. This
multipolarity encourages network diplomacy as the best way for states to achieve
shared objectives. In this system, the United Nations becomes pivotal, providing
through its charter the means for collective discussion and action.
The Limits Of Force
In the twenty-first century, delay in solving accumulated problems carries
devastating consequences for all nations. One sure lesson is that unilateral
responses, consisting primarily of using force, result in stalemates and broken
china everywhere. The current catalog of unresolved crises - Iraq, Iran,
Lebanon, Darfur, North Korea - is a testament to that. Genuine security will
only be achieved through establishing normal relations and engaging in dialogue.
German Foreign Minister Frank-Walter Steinmeier hit the right note when he
counseled that today's world should be based on cooperation rather than military
deterrence.
Complex problems require comprehensive approaches. In the case of Iran,
resolving differences should lie in the normalization by all countries of their
relations with Tehran. Normalization would also help preserve the nuclear
nonproliferation regime. Regarding Kosovo, independence from Serbia would create
a precedent that goes beyond the existing norms of international law. Our
partners' inclination to give way to the blackmail of violence and anarchy
within Kosovo contrasts with the indifference shown to similar violence and
anarchy in the Palestinian territories, where it has been tolerated for decades
while a Palestinian state has yet to be established.
Eliminating the Cold War legacy in Europe, where the containment policy was
dominant for too long, is especially pressing. Creating division in Europe
encourages nationalist sentiments that threaten the unity of the continent. The
current problems faced by the European Union, in particular, and European
politics, in general, cannot be solved without Europe's maintaining constructive
and future-oriented relations with Russia - relations based on mutual trust and
confidence. This ought to be seen as serving U.S. interests as well.
Instead, various attempts are being made to contain Russia, including through
the eastward expansion of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization in violation of
previous assurances given to Moscow. Today, supporters of NATO enlargement harp
on the organization's supposed role in the promotion of democracy. How is
democracy furthered by a military-political alliance that is producing scenarios
for the use of force?
Meanwhile, some are promoting the extension of NATO membership to the
countries that comprise the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) as some
sort of pass providing admittance to the club of democratic states whether these
countries meet the democratic test or not. One cannot help wondering whether
this initiative is being pursued for the sake of moral satisfaction or again to
contain Russia.
As far as the CIS is concerned, Russia has the capacity to maintain social,
economic, and other forms of stability in the region. Moscow's rejection of
politicized trade and economic relations and its adoption of market-based
principles testifies to its determination to have normalcy in interstate
relations. Russia and the West can cooperate in this region but only by
forsaking zero-sum power games.
The drive to place missile defenses in eastern Europe is evidence of the U.S.
effort to contain Russia. It is hardly coincidental that this installation would
fit into the U.S. global missile defense system that is deployed along Russia's
perimeter. Many Europeans are rightfully concerned that stationing elements of
the U.S. missile defense system in Europe would undermine disarmament processes.
For its part, Russia considers the initiative a strategic challenge that
requires a strategic response.
President Putin's offer to allow joint usage of the Gabala radar base in
Azerbaijan, instead of those eastern European installations - as well as his
proposal, made when meeting with President George W.Bush in Kennebunkport,
Maine, in July, to create a regional monitoring and early warning system -
provides a brilliant opportunity to find a way out of the present situation with
the dignity of all parties intact. As a starting point for a truly collective
effort in this area, Russia is willing to take part, together with the United
States and others, in a joint analysis of potential missile threats up to the
year 2020.
The desire to contain Russia clearly manifests itself as well in the
situation surrounding the 1990 Treaty on Conventional Armed Forces in Europe (or
CFE Treaty). Russia complies with the treaty in good faith and insists only on
the one thing that the treaty promises: equal security. However, the equal
security principle was compromised with the dissolution of the Warsaw Pact;
meanwhile, NATO was left intact and then enlarged. In the meantime, attempts to
correct the situation have come up against the refusal of NATO member countries
to ratify the modernization of the treaty under various unrelated pretexts that
have no legal justification and are entirely political. The lesson to be drawn
from the CFE Treaty stalemate is that any element of global or European security
architecture that is not based on the principles of equality and mutual benefit
will not prove to be sustainable. After all, if we cannot adapt this old
instrument to the new realities, is it not time to review the situation and
start developing a new system of arms control and confidence-building measures,
if we find that Europe needs one? Here again, frank discussion at Kennebunkport
gave hope that there is way to move toward putting into force the adapted
treaty.
Beyond The Cold War
It is time to bury the Cold War legacy and establish structures that meet the
imperatives of this era - particularly since Russia and the West are no longer
adversaries and do not wish to create the impression that war is still a
possibility in Europe. The path to trust lies through candid dialogue and
reasoned debate, as well as interactions based on the joint analysis of threats.
At the moment, however, without reasonable grounds, Russia is excluded from such
joint analysis. Instead, it is urged to believe in the analytic abilities and
good intentions of its partners.
Russians do not suffer from a sense of exceptionalism, but neither do they
consider their analytic abilities and ideas inferior to those of others. Russia
will respond to safeguard its national security, and in doing so will be guided
by the principle of "reasonable sufficiency." Meanwhile, it will always keep the
door open for positive joint action to safeguard common interests on the basis
of equality. This is the only serious approach to national security concerns.
In his speech in Munich, President Putin invited all of Russia's partners to
start a serious and substantive discussion of the current status of
international affairs, which is far from satisfactory. Russia is convinced that
a friend/enemy attitude toward it should be a thing of the past. If efforts are
being undertaken to "counter Russia's negative behavior," how can Russia be
expected to cooperate in areas of interest to its partners? One has to choose
between containment and cooperation. This is relevant to Russia's accession to
the World Trade Organization and the Asian Development Bank and to the
unwarranted continuance of the 1970s Jackson-Vanik amendment, which denies
Russia permanent normal trading relations with the United States.
U.S.-Russian relations still enjoy the stabilizing benefits of a close and
honest working relationship between President Putin and President Bush. Both
countries and both peoples share the memory of their joint victory over fascism
and their joint exit from the Cold War, which unites them in its own right.
Should equal partnership prevail in U.S.-Russian relations, very little will be
impossible for the two nations to achieve. The challenges are many - the
struggle against international terrorism; organized crime and drug trafficking;
the search for realistic climate protection; the development of nuclear energy
while strengthening nonproliferation efforts; the pursuit of global energy
security; and the exploration of outer space. Practical cooperation on these and
other challenges should not be sacrificed on the altar of renewed containment.
At present, anti-Americanism is not as widespread in Russia as it is
elsewhere. But a return to containment, and the bloc-based thinking that
accompanies it, could trigger mutual alienation between Americans and Russians.
The strains evident in the U.S.-Russian relationship call for a high-level
working group charged with finding ways to further cooperation. The presidents
of Russia and the United States support the idea of such a group, headed by the
former statesmen Henry Kissinger and Yevgeny Primakov.
Both sides should demonstrate a broad-minded and unbiased vision, one that
represents Russia and the United States as two branches of European
civilization. Russia, the United States, and the European Union should work
together to preserve the integrity of the Euro-Atlantic space in global
politics. For as Jacques Delors has said, whenever this troika "is divided by
differences, whenever each party plays its own game, the risk of global
instability greatly increases."
So why not stand together and act in the spirit of cooperation and fair
competition on the basis of shared standards and a respect for international
law? At the Kennebunkport meeting in July, President Putin and President Bush
demonstrated what teamwork can achieve. They agreed to look for common
approaches to missile defense and strategic arms reductions, and they launched
new initiatives on nuclear energy and nonproliferation. Russia and the United
States have nothing to divide them; along with other partners, they share
responsibility for the future of the world. It is not Russia that needs to be
contained; it is those who would deprive the world of the benefits that will
come from a strong U.S.-Russian partnership.7
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