#32 - JRL 2007-157 - JRL Home
Russia: Analyst Sees Potential In Europe's New
Relationship
Copyright (c) 2007. RFE/RL, Inc. Reprinted with the permission of Radio Free
Europe/Radio Liberty, 1201 Connecticut Ave., N.W. Washington DC 20036.
www.rferl.orgJuly 17, 2007 (RFE/RL)
-- Many commentators say the chill between Britain and Russia reflects a deeper
rift that has been growing between Moscow and Europe.
Katinka Barysch, the head of the Russia research program at the London-based
Centre for European Reform, has written extensively about politics and economics
in Eastern Europe and advised Britain's House of Lords and European Commission
on foreign policy. Barysch tells RFE/RL correspondent Jeremy Bransten that she
believes Europe has woken up from its illusions about Russia. And that may not
be a bad thing -- if it leads to a more pragmatic relationship.
RFE/RL: Does all this talk in Europe about a growing rift with Russia and a
gap in values mean we're in for a new Cold War?
Katinka Barysch: This is not the return of anything like the Cold War. The
Cold War was a global, systemic, long-term conflict between two power blocs that
was backed up by conflicting ideologies. It was global, there were proxy wars
all over the world. Nobody is talking about anything like that at the moment.
Russia's doesn't claim it has an alternative ideology to what we have in the
West, it just says: "We are a free country as well and we want to do things our
way. What we want is not global dominance. What we want is respect." [This is]
after what they see as a decade of humiliation.
So what we will see is a different kind of relationship, where Russia is not
part of the West and it's not necessarily always a friend of the West, but it
will cooperate with us in some areas and it will disagree in others.
RFE/RL: Britain's Foreign Secretary David Miliband told Parliament that he
considers Russia a "key international partner" in areas like trade and the fight
against terrorism. But at the same time, London has made it clear it doesn't
share Moscow's values or trust its institutions. Can London -- or Europe -- have
it both ways? Can it ask Russia to be a partner while at the same time telling
Russia it is not a member of the club?
Barysch: That is the only way to go forward because we do need Russia and not
only for its energy, but we also need it as an international player. Russia has
a seat in the UN Security Council, it has a veto. We need Russia's help to
prevent Iran from building nuclear weapons, to find a final status for Kosovo,
and for all sorts of other issues.
So we need to have a functioning relationship with Russia but this can be an
arms-length relationship. It doesn't mean that we have to continue pretending
that Russians and Europeans all live in a common European house and share the
same values. Because that is obviously not the case.
RFE/RL: So you're saying Russia will never be a part of Europe and Europe has
now awoken to that reality?
Barysch: What made the relationship between Europe and Russian dysfunctional
over recent years is that we couldn't acknowledge the reality that Russia was
different. We kept on pretending that Russia was basically on a linear path
toward capitalist economics and pluralist democracy. Now we have acknowledged
that this is not the case so we will find a new way of dealing with each other.
That might even be healthy.
RFE/RL: When did the relationship between Europe and Russia begin to change?
What was the catalyst that made the West reevaluate Russian President Vladimir
Putin?
Barysch: There wasn't a particular point. There was a rethinking that started
in about 2002 already, as we saw that we were making very little progress with
Russia on the very ambitious plans that we had to build a strategic partnership,
to build what we call common spaces where we integrate very deeply in economics
and on security issues and so forth.
And around 2002 we saw that there wasn't much progress on the ground and that
working with Russia was actually exceedingly difficult. Why? [We asked
ourselves] is our strategy working? Now that rethinking on the European side was
painful for us, because we see Russia very much as part of the European
continent and the European project. For us to let go of the idea that Russia
wanted to be like us and wanted to work with us was quite painful. But it is
happening now.
RFE/RL: If Europe has rethought its approach to Russia, what's the incentive
for Moscow to cooperate?
Barysch: I think one of the main reasons why you see Russia being somewhat
angry and antagonistic at the moment is because it wants to be taken seriously
as a big international player. Now the way it goes about this at the moment is
that it works as a blocking force in international processes, such as Kosovo --
not necessarily on Iran, where it has been more cooperative -- but on other
issues it has mainly just used its veto.
Now, if Russia wants to be seen as a big international player in the medium
to long run it also has to show responsibility. It has to work with us to do
things that are necessary to preserve international peace and stability. Russia
has absolutely no interest in an arms race in the Middle East or in political
instability in the Balkans, or for that matter in the Caucasus or elsewhere in
the neighborhood. It has no interest in blocking global progress in climate
change and all sorts of other issues. So I do believe that once Russia is more
self-confident in its international role, that it will be a responsible
international player.
You know, we work on many international issues with China. Now nobody
believes that China has to be our best friend or has to be like us or has to
believe in our values but we do work with China on many issues. It is just that
we saw Russia completely differently, until recently.
RFE/RL: So, in your view, Europe should give up on the humans-rights,
democracy agenda in Russia and adopt a "realpolitik" stance?
Barysch: What hasn't worked over the last decade or so is that we think we
can tell Russia what to do, because they just resent that. So at the moment, the
only way forward that I see is that they find their own way of doing things.
We're ready to help if we can but we cannot make our international relationship
conditional on Russia following our advice at home.
RFE/RL: Won't this approach leave Russian human-rights advocates and
nongovernmental organizations (NGOs) in the lurch? After all, they are counting
on Western support to push their reformist agenda.
Barysch: That might well be the case but it's not that we haven't tried. We
have tried to lecture Russia on human rights. And I think we should continue,
obviously, to make the case for civil liberties, human rights, and democracy in
Russia.
But we should be very specific in our criticism because our past experience
has shown that if the West is united and if it is united on criticism, then we
can have an impact. So that with the NGO law that was modified at the last
minute to make it a little less stringent. But we shouldn't give Russia broad
public lectures on the way it is going. If we criticize very specific cases,
then we can probably make a difference.
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