#11 - JRL 2007-145 - JRL Home
Russia: Media Guarded On Bush-Putin Summit Prospects
Copyright (c) 2007. RFE/RL, Inc. Reprinted with the permission of Radio Free
Europe/Radio Liberty, 1201 Connecticut Ave., N.W. Washington DC 20036.
www.rferl.orgJune 29, 2007 (RFE/RL)
-- For weeks, Russian media have looked forward to President Vladimir Putin's
visit to the Bush family estate in Kennebunkport, Maine, on July 1-2 as an
opportunity for the Russian and U.S. leaders to hammer out their differences.
But whether Putin and George W. Bush will actually be able to accomplish
anything at the Bush family estate in Kennebunkport, Maine, is debatable in the
eyes of Russian media.
In an article published in the daily "Nezavisimaya gazeta" on June 29, Andrei
Terekhov commented that while "the president will be treated to traditional
dishes of lobster and swordfish...the political menu looks set to be less
enjoyable."
The two leaders will have many bones of contention on their plate. Key among
them are Kosovo, missile defense, NATO expansion, and Iran -- issues that have
been the source of much verbal sparring between the two countries.
Low Expectations
Kennebunkport has also widely been touted as the setting for the two to bring
up Bush's criticism of Putin's interpretation of democracy and human rights, and
Putin's talk of a new Cold War complete with its own arms race.
But Terekhov argued that Washington has "hastened to lower journalists'
expectations as regards the summit in advance."
As has the pro-Kremlin daily "Izvestia," which noted on June 29 that
"regrettably, personal friendly relations between Bush and Putin will not in any
way be transformed into American-Russian friendly relations."
While "the world is alarmed at the worsening of American-Russian relations,"
Izvestia continued, it "understands that they cannot be 'repaired' in two days."
However, the newspaper concluded, the world does want "proof that it can be
done" and in that sense Kennebunkport can serve as a vehicle to "furnish the
world with this proof."
The daily "Kommersant," specifically discussing the differences between the
United States and Russia on independence for Kosovo, observed on June 25 that
"the fact that the leaders are ready to take the responsibility for the decision
does not necessarily mean it will be they who work it out."
Ultimately, "Kommersant" wrote, "the compromise will rather be found in the
UN in New York," because "as long as neither Russian nor American diplomats have
mutually acceptable suggestions, the presidents, in fact, have nothing to take
responsibility for."
Searching For Compromise
In general, compromise -- on the issue of Kosovo and others -- is what the
Russian media are looking for from Bush if the summit is to be considered
successful.
A key compromise would pertain to U.S. plans to deploy parts of an
antimissile shield in Central Europe, a proposal that has infuriated Russia and
led Putin to offer the United States the opportunity to jointly use a radar base
in Azerbaijan -- an offer that Bush said he would consider.
In an exclusive interview with ITAR-TASS on June 15, Russian presidential
aide Igor Shuvalov said that on this issue Russia proceeds from the assumption
that there will be a "constructive and positive dialogue" at the summit in which
"both parties will be able to hear each other's arguments and find a compromise,
a mutually acceptable solution."
Another Putin aide, Sergei Prikhodko, told Interfax on June 29 that "if they
have the political will to cooperate in this [missile defense], then everything
else is a matter of details."
Interfax also quoted Prikhodko as expressing Russia's concern over "unfounded
criticism of Russia for allegedly moving away from democratic principles and
norms." He said Moscow considers "such assessments to be biased and unfair, and
we are ready for a serious dialogue on this issue" at the summit.
'The Real Putin'
Russian media and pundits have picked up that torch, attributing much of the
disagreement between the United States and Russia to misunderstanding,
stereotypes, or even ignorance on the part of U.S. politicians.
National Strategy Institute Director Stanislav Belkovsky, writing in the
business daily "Vedemosti" on June 14, argued that the recent Group of eight
(G8) summit in Germany was notable in that Western leaders "began to work with
the real Russian leader" and not the myth of the man.
The G8 leaders found, according to Belkovsky, that they were working not with
an "imperialist from the Soviet and KGB mold" but with a "pragmatic
businessman."
Belkovsky described Putin as "the most pro-Western ruler in Russian history,
who is just sometimes forced to resort to anti-Western rhetoric to be liked more
by his people and ensure medium-term stability for the current Kremlin regime."
Democratic Legacy
But ultimately, as the "first ruler in Russian history who is leaving the
highest state position at the height of his power," Putin will basically be
seeking to hone his legacy in Kennebunkport.
"He simply needs guarantees that he will go in a nice and proud manner as a
respected democratic leader," Belkovsky wrote, "not as an authoritarian
kleptocrat pushed by hostile pressure."
The analyst wrote that the two leaders might "discuss security guarantees for
Putin after he resigns from power, and the younger Bush will certainly do a wise
thing if he promises these guarantees, acknowledging quite a great contribution
made by his guest to the cause of ensuring global stability and fighting
totalitarianism."
Terekhov also touched on the legacy issue in his June 29 "Nezavisimaya gazeta"
article.
"The stakes -- the outgoing presidents' legacies -- are high," he wrote.
"Whereas Putin goes to Kennebunkport in the knowledge that his second term is
likely to be remembered for transformations inside Russia, right now it is
foreign policy that is much more important for Bush, with the conflict in Iraq
and instability in Afghanistan."
"Here," Terekhov concludes, "Russia can either help or harm him."
|