#10 - JRL 2007-102 - JRL Home
Russia Profile
www.russiaprofile.org
May 2, 2007
Putting an End to the Cold War
Putin’s Decision on the CFE Treaty is the Right One
Comment by Vladimir Frolov
Vladimir Frolov is the director of the National Laboratory for Foreign Policy, a
Moscow-based think tank.
In his final Address to the Federal Assembly on the state of the nation,
President Vladimir Putin announced his decision to declare a Russian moratorium
on implementing the Conventional Forces in Europe (CFE) Treaty.
That decision created another storm of criticism by Western politicians and
pundits and official expressions of “concern” from NATO’s Secretary General and
the allied governments.
The criticism is misplaced. Putin has finally said what everybody wanted to
say about the CFE Treaty but were too politically correct to do so.
The treaty has outlived its usefulness. It is nothing but a relic of the Cold
War. It is no longer needed to provide for security in Europe. Today a war in
Europe between Russia and NATO is unimaginable. If the treaty simply ceased to
exist, the world would hardly notice it. But as a relic of the Cold War, it
continues to do harm to Russia’s relations with the West.
The treaty artificially perpetuates the Cold War divisions in Europe and pits
Russia against the entire NATO alliance at the time when Russia and NATO are no
longer adversaries. It imposes stringent compliance requirements that limit
Russia’s ability to respond quickly to real security challenges, and more
importantly, it has not been implemented by Western nations since the signing of
its adapted version in 1999, while Russia has unilaterally been fulfilling its
obligations.
The CFE Treaty was signed in 1990 between 16 NATO member-states and six
countries of the Warsaw Pact. The treaty imposed strict limits on the number of
heavy military equipment (or TLE in the legalese) the parties were allowed to
have in four regional zones. Each zone was allowed no more than 20,000 tanks,
30,000 combat vehicles, 20,000 artillery pieces, 6,800 combat aircraft and 2,000
combat helicopters. The treaty did not affect U.S. forces in North America or
Russian forces in the Far East.
Additionally, there were even stricter limits imposed on Russian troop
deployments in the two flank zones ? the Leningrad Military Diistrict and the
South Caucasus Military District. In practice, this meant that Russia could not
move around its military forces on its own territory without notifications and
agreement from NATO. During the war in Chechnya, Russia could not move
reinforcements to the war zone because of the CFE flank limits.
The end of the Cold War and the dissolution of the Warsaw Pact immediately
made the CFE Treaty limits on combat equipment meaningless. Since the treaty
went into force in 1992, NATO has grown to 26 states with many former Warsaw
Pact nations becoming new NATO members. Both Russia and NATO rapidly decreased
their TLE holdings far below the treaty limits. Who would need 20,000 tanks in
Europe now?
To adapt the treaty to this new reality, in 1999 the parties signed a new
version - the Adapted CFE Treaty, which imposed new limits for military hardware
for individual states, not military blocks, and significantly increased Russia’s
allowed TLE holdings in the flank zones.
But of the 30 states that signed the new version of the treaty, only Russia,
Belarus, Ukraine and Kazakhstan ratified it. NATO members refused to ratify it
before Russia implemented the so-called Istanbul agreements, which called on
Russia to withdraw its forces from Georgia and Moldova. Russia has withdrawn all
of its forces from Georgia, while in Moldova it maintains a small peacekeeping
force and a garrison that guards and operates a huge ammunition depot that
remained in Moldova after the withdrawal of Soviet forces from Europe.
In short, NATO used the Istanbul Agreements, which have nothing to do with
the CFE Treaty, as a pretext to avoid implementing the Adapted Treaty. Moreover,
four new NATO members ? Slovenia, Latvia, Esstonia and Lithuania ? have refused
to join the new CFE Treaty despite NAATO’s public commitment that they would do
so.
The treaty has not been working and has served only as a tool to limit
Russia’s freedom to provide for its own security while imposing no similar
restrains on NATO.
This is a situation that no sovereign state would tolerate, and this is
exactly what Putin said. His decision to impose a moratorium on CFE Treaty
implementation had less to do with European security and much more to do with
Russia demanding fair treatment and defending its sovereignty. Russia does not
want to be singled out unfairly and fulfill obligations that other nations do
not want to undertake.
The United States unilaterally withdrew from the Anti-Ballistic Missile (ABM)
Treaty in 2001. The Bush administration called the ABM Treaty a relic of the
Cold War and insisted it was no longer needed because Russia and the United
States were no longer enemies. Now Washington plans to deploy ABM interceptors
in Poland and an ABM radar in the Czech Republic and says Russia has nothing to
fear from this move.
Fine. But if we are no longer enemies, then why the fuss about the CFE
Treaty? Russia has not withdrawn from it, just said it would not implement its
provisions until the rest of the signatory nations ratified it. This is fair ?
in business, private companies are not requuired to fulfill contract obligations
if other contract parties openly flaunt them.
With this decision on the CFE Treaty, Vladimir Putin has sent a simple
message to the West: Russia does not view the West as a military adversary,
Russia is a normal country that demands equal treatment and Russia wants due
respect for the role it played in ending the Cold War.
Russia did not lose the Cold War, as some in the West would like to believe.
It helped end it, and the CFE Treaty was part of that process. But the Cold War
has long been over and it is time to move on. If this means getting rid of
relics like the CFE Treaty, so be it.
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