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CDI Russia Weekly #190 Contents   Plain Text

#4
Versty
January 24, 2002
THE ART OF WIPING THINGS OUT
Russia feels deceived by the United States
Author: Evgeny Mikhilov
[from WPS Monitoring Agency, www.wps.ru/e_index.html]

THE ANTI-TERRORIST OPERATION IN AFGHANISTAN IS APPARENTLY DRAWING TO A CLOSE. NOW IT LOOKS LIKE THE FRIENDSHIP PRESIDENT BUSH PROMISED RUSSIA JUST A SHORT TIME AGO IS CHANGING TO ANOTHER CHILL IN RELATIONS; THE US NO LONGER NEEDS RUSSIA'S HELP, AND IS REVERTING TO ITS PREVIOUS ATTITUDES.

According to many analysts, the operation the United States started in Afghanistan is drawing to a close; although the declared goals remained unfulfilled. The fighters against terrorism have only captured a tenth of Al-Qaeda guerillas, while the rest have departed for destinations unknown or gone into hiding, closely monitoring further developments in the country. Osama bin Laden and Mullah Omar Muhammad, with their inner circles of fighters, are also hiding somewhere - most probably beyond the borders of Afghanistan.

So now, when the US has gained all it could from Russia, American "hawks" have decided that any closer relations between our countries would only impede the realization of long-term plans for expansion of US influence around the world. For example, Russia is absolutely opposed to any missile strikes on Iraq or Iran; a position which cannot get much support in the US. This problem is quite likely to become the touchstone in our relations in the near future.

The fact that its usually obedient NATO partners have supported Moscow has been a very unpleasant surprise for the US. The active development of Central Asia by the Americans is quite likely to create a stumbling block too, for this is the Russia's traditional zone of influence. In spite of previous agreements about a troop presence here being temporary, Washington is settling into the military bases in Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan seriously and for the long term.

The present situation somewhat resembles the post-World War II events, when the Americans turned from our allies into enemies very quickly. "Blocking" the Russian initiative for a transition to a qualitatively new level in relations between Russia and NATO appears quite symptomatic. It was the US delegation that spoke out against creating a new Russia-NATO body at the meeing of NATO foreign ministers. The Russian party's proposal was to give Russia a vote in questions of counteracting international terrorism and peacekeeping operations beyond the NATO responsibility zone. As a result, Russia only received a consulting vote, which carries no obligations.

Not that long ago, President George Bush officially announced that the United States will withdraw from the ABM Treaty signed by the US and the Soviet Union in 1972. After the September terrorist acts, the U.S. initiative for a unilateral withdrawal from the ABM Treaty was pushed into the background - there was more important business on the agenda. Washington even seemed to be revising its position on this issue. Now, when the peak of the anti-terrorist operation has passed and dependence on Russia's assistance is declining, Bush has decided to carry out his plans as previously intended. Even though this move by the United States is being condemned in Europe, as well as in Russia.

Recent revelations about the Pentagon's plans for dismantled nuclear warheads could lead to additional strain in Russian-American relations. The US is not going to destroy all of the warheads it cuts. In the words of James Crouch, the U.S. Defense Secretary's aide on international security, some of them will be stored "in case of a drastic change in the international situation".

The lack of scruples in the US administration is seen in the very approach to the calculation of nuclear weapons subject to cuts. In the view of Ivo Daalder and James Lindsey of the Brooklyn Institute, President Bush only speaks about the warheads that are deployed; he is keeping quiet about those in the process of being inspected or repaired. Thus, about 300 nuclear warheads remain entirely unregistered, which completely contradicts the commonly accepted standards of registration of existing arsenals.

Well, fine words about strategic alliances are one thing, while the actual struggle for spheres of influence - that's another matter.

(Translated by P. Pikhnovsky)

 

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