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CDI Russia Weekly #175 Contents   Plain Text

#3
Nezavisimaya Gazeta
No. 190
October 11, 2001
[translation from RIA Novosti for personal use only]
AMERICANS HAVEN'T COME TO STAY, BUT
MOSCOW SHOULDN'T LET THEM JUST BOMB SITES AND LEAVE

Alexei ARBATOV, deputy chairman of the State Duma Defence Committee, believes that after the rout of the Taliban movement, which may happen next year, there won't be any need for Washington's presence on the CIS countries' borders.

Question: One of the questions which arise in connection with the start of the US and British military operation in Afghanistan, is how it will influence Russia and its interests.

Answer: Russia itself is a participant in the operation and protects its own interests. If Moscow had stayed on the sidelines, this would have had negative consequences. Firstly, because the operation against the Taliban movement cannot be successful without Russia's participation, and secondly, because the further active presence of the Taliban movement, including in Chechnya and Central Asian republics, would negatively affect the well-being of our society and the country's security.

Question: How long will the US-British action last, in your opinion?

Answer: If the action aims at capturing bin Laden and his associates, it all depends on the efficiency of special services and special-purpose units. They may capture him in a week, a month, or never. As for the rout of the Taliban, this is hardly possible until the end of this year. If the operation of targeted strikes on the Taliban and assistance to the Northern Alliance continues, the latter might rout the Taliban armed formations by the end of next year, restore legal power in the country and start forming a coalition government and stabilising the country's socio-economic situation. However, if we mean the fight against international terrorism, it will last for years, even given the maximally coordinated efforts of all civilised states.

Question: Is there a danger that Russia might come under a terrorist attack? Could our country count on support from the West in such a case?

Answer: Regrettably, terrorist actions may be directed against Russia, too. By the way, it was so in 1999 and later. However, if Russia stayed alone in such situations before, now, in connection with the change of the entire international situation, it has opportunities to get support from abroad, including from advanced democracies. Naturally, Russia's participation in the counter-terrorist operation should presuppose mutual commitments should a terrorist act be carried out here. Wherever this might happen, Russia must be sure that it will get political, military and economic assistance from those states together with which it is taking part in the anti-terrorist operation by contributing its resources and thus bringing just retribution on all those people who are guilty of the terrorist attacks in the United States.

Question: According to some press reports, Russian soldiers are fighting in tanks of the Northern Alliance.

Answer: This isn't really so. There are no Russian soldiers there now. What there is is Russian military hardware and Russian weapons, as well as instructors, advisers and technical specialists who must ensure the proper functioning of this hardware and train troops of the Northern Alliance to use it. However, if the Taliban launches a counter-offensive and violates state frontiers of Uzbekistan or Tajikistan, I think Russia will have to grapple with it and protect Central Asian republics the security of which is directly linked with actual interests of our country's security. If the Northern Alliance needs air support when attacking the Taliban and the United States fails to provide it, I think Russia must ensure such support. But Moscow shouldn't send any troops to Afghanistan or take part in land forces' operations there. It is for Afghan nationals to liberate their own country. Russia may help them, but it shouldn't assume such functions.

Question: Do you think Americans have come to stay at the CIS countries' borders?

Answer: No, I don't think they've come here to stay. Americans will stay as long as is needed for carrying out the operation. Our task now is not to let them just bomb sites and go away leaving us face to face with the Central Asian republics and the continuing war in Afghanistan. We would like them to stay as long as is needed for routing the Taliban and restoring the legal government of Afghanistan to its rights. When this is done, there won't be any grounds for US military presence there.

Transcript by Yulia PETROVSKAYA.

 

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