For Immediate Release Contact: Rear Adm. Eugene Carroll, Jr., USA (Ret.)
December 17, 1998 Colonel Daniel Smith, USA (Ret.)
  (202) 332-0600
 
Striking Baghdad
Some Questions and Answers
The U.S. and British attacks on Iraq that began December 16 should once again impel the American public to demand clear answers to some basic questions about what lies ahead.
 

Q. Did Iraq make any efforts to comply with its solemn undertakings of February 23rd and November 14th to cooperate with the UN Special Commission (UNSCOM) and with the International Atomic Energy Commission (IAEA)?
 

A. Yes. Although the promised "full cooperation" with UNSCOM was not forthcoming, Ambassador Richard Butler's report on UNSCOM activities since November did note that inspectors were not completely shut out by Saddam's tactics. Further, the IAEA's chief said that Iraq has pledged to resolve the remaining questions about Iraq's past nuclear weapons program.
 

Q. Will cruise missiles and bombing open any doors now closed or produce greater cooperation from the Iraqis?
 

A. We can confidently expect that the immediate result of the bombing will be the total exclusion of remaining UNSCOM and IAEA monitors. Short of occupying Iraq with ground forces, there will be no way to determine if Iraq is complying with its obligations to the UN - let alone compel it to comply. The bombing will not end Iraq's efforts to develop weapons of mass destruction; as good as our intelligence might be, we simply do not know where all Iraqi scientific and engineering facilities are located, and we will not be successful in destroying all of those that have been targeted.
 

The "best" we can hope for from the bombing, as President Clinton acknowledged, is to "degrade and delay" Iraq's efforts to build weapons of mass destruction. But this raises serious questions: how many more times will we have the "degrade and delay"? What will be the cost in lives and money? What constitutes "degrade and delay"?

  -more-