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CDI Russia Weekly Home Edited by David Johnson

#10 - RW 263
Rosbalt
June 26, 2003
US Gives Advice to Its Strategic Partner

Recently US Ambassador to Russia Alexander Vershbow had a very lively meeting with top Russian businessmen from the directorship of the Russian union of industrialists and entrepreneurs. The bigwigs of Russian business, including Russian Aluminium Chief Oleg Deripaska, who showed special zeal, asked Vershbow many tough questions. In fact, the argument in regard to the pace of Russia's entry into the WTO raged to such heights that Vershbow half-jokingly reminded Deripaska about the possibility of instigating an anti-dumping investigation in connection with Russian Aluminium. But there were other really curious theses that came up in Vershbow's speech.

More than Oil!

'':Energy is one of the more promising areas of cooperation between the US and Russia with clearly emerging mutual advantages for both sides: development of new markets for Russian producers and diversification of the energy supply for the US. However, the US has other primary requirements from energy producers. Naturally, it is aspiring to find adequate and reliable suppliers of oil products from different countries. Russia, with its significant reserves of oil and gas, fits the role of a country which could provide global energy security. But for that to happen, Russia must increase exports in order to satisfy the growing demand made on Russian energy supplies.

Over the course of many years, US companies have developed technology for increasing the effectiveness of extracting oil and gas from fields. Many companies have made use of significant financial resources. Russia could use this technology to extract her resources much more effectively for the support and development of an energy infrastructure field and increase Russian exports of energy on the international market.

However, one of the factors which seriously limits the increase of Russian oil exports is an insufficient pipeline capacity. In their November joint declaration, Presidents Putin and Bush approved of the idea of constructing a deep water port for the export of energy. The construction of an oil pipeline from Western Siberia to the non-freezing port of Murmansk would allow for the serious increase of exports of Russian oil. I am happy that the Russian government approved the Murmansk project during confirmation of the Russian energy programme. We also welcome the fact that the Russian government plans to allow private companies to take part in the financing and construction of oil pipelines from Western Siberia to Murmansk.

Over the last several years, we have observed an increase in foreign investment in the Russian energy sector. But to attract even more US investment in Russian energy the government must take a number of steps.

Firstly, it must provide for the inviolability of commercial contracts and agreements. Moreover, we propose that special privileges be granted for the development of 'difficult' oil and gas fields, which creates conditions for investment. Several of these privileges, including the stability of taxes for new projects and calling for legal international arbitrage, are key elements. The main principle is that the tax-licensing regime must be transparent, stable and guarantee investors the possibility of earning reasonable profits.

Energy will be the cornerstone of our economic relations. Nevertheless, we also want to increase our cooperation in many other areas and already have successful examples like the cooperation with companies Ford, General Motors, Caterpillar, International Paper, Gillette, Wrigley, Proctor and Gamble and others. I heard that Starbucks could very soon emerge in Russia. I am also hopeful that Wallmart will join the many European discount centers which abound in Moscow.

Problems with Russia's Entry in the WTO:

In order for investment to grow the country needs normal and stable trade relations with well-determined rules of the game. The key element for strengthening our economic ties is Russia's entry into the World Trade Organization (WTO). There is no need to explain here all the advantages which Russia will receive from its membership in the WTO. It will speed up and strengthen structural reforms in the economy which have begun in Russia. Moreover, as a member of the WTO, Russia will be able to participate in working out today's problems and deciding future negotiations on global trade.

Over the course of the last several months negotiations on Russia's entry into the WTO have gone briskly and though it has been a steady process there still remain differences on the following questions: the degree of readiness of Russia to open its economy for serious competition in the sphere of services, including such important areas as banking, insurance and telecommunications services, the necessity to lower import tariffs on specified industrial trade goods like airplanes and automobiles, the installment of acceptable levels of agricultural subsidies and plans to liberalize the domestic energy market in Russia.

The meeting between Russian Vice Premier Alexey Kudrin and US Trade Representative Robert Zoelick, which was held in Paris in April, helped to improve the mutual understanding between both sides and draw our positions closer together. We are hopeful that by the beginning of the next round of talks to be held at the end of June and beginning of July we will be successful in making even more progress.

Obstacles on the Path to Strategic Partnership

I am confident that we are now on the eve of an increase in mutual trade investment. Nevertheless, before we smoothly move into trade and investment prosperity we must resolve many problems in addition to those problems which I have already listed. The principle of rule of law is first problem on this list. Direct foreign investment in Russia will remain low as long as investors are not confident that courts will defend their rights, and will respect the inviolability of contracts.

Our sad dispute over Russian limits to imports of chicken and turkey and other meat only underscores the importance of Russia's entry into the WTO for the development of our trade relations. We need such a trade regime, which will be founded on clear rules together with resolutions which will simply prosecute protectionist goals.

The Russian government is now beginning to understand the importance of Russian business interests and the significance of such key spheres for US companies as intellectual property. In spite of the fact that the government has already begun to take measures in the battle with piracy, violations against intellectual property rights in Russia remain a serious and growing problem which affect the interests not only of foreigners but Russian holders of author's rights.

The lack of protection of author's rights is also a factor which seriously worsens the investment climate. We welcomed the creation of a special commission last fall, which was headed by Prime Minister Mikhail Kasyanov, the recent raids against producers of pirated DVD disks and also the passing of legislation on the protection of intellectual property. The seriousness of this problem is well illustrated with an event that occurred not long ago: I went to the Moscow premier of the film The Matrix Reloaded and was told that pirate copies of disks of the film were already on sale on the streets of Moscow. Please don't buy them!

Widely distributed excessive bureaucracy and the abundance of different instructions bring large losses to business activity, and to a larger degree to Russian business than to US business. The Russian government recognizes the existence of this problem, but still has not taken decisive steps in this area. No progress can be made in this area without comprehensive administrative reform of the government apparatus.

Excessive bureaucratization leads to corruption, which needs to be controlled if we want to reach economic prosperity especially in the areas of small and medium-sized business. Your research paints an alarming picture in many regions: conflict of interests on the city and regional levels which bring about the removal of competition.

The tendency is aggravated by weak and often corrupt executive power which is not capable of carrying out judicial decisions. This element has often emerged in different judicial cases involving foreign investors. Moreover, quite often politics is conducted on the federal level in favour of specific companies and causing losses for their competitors.

Another factor which is not always associated with economics is the free exchange of information and unlimited access to it. A tendency in Russia exists to put controls on the mass media and limit the access to information which must be accessible to society. The case in point is projects of resolutions and details of the government's budget. This negatively influences the economy and democratic process. Market economics depends on information distribution and transparency. I welcome the recent efforts of the Ministry of Economic Development and Trade in advancing the law on freedom of information.

Unfortunately, I must add one more sad problem to this list - HIV infection and AIDS. If this disease is not stopped, it will drain the economy. As leaders of the economy you must be particularly worried about the influence of AIDS on the workforce in the next ten years, if no steps are taken to stop the spread of this infection in Russia which has the fastest growth rate of AIDS cases in the world. I was happy that last week President Putin, in his message to the nation, reminded everyone of the threat of HIV-infection and AIDS and I am hopeful that this problem will be given the necessary amount of attention in Russia.

I believe that if we devote our efforts to the development of the mutual economic interests of our countries, then all these problems can be resolved. We can integrate the economies of the US and Russia in such a way that they advantageously supplement one and other for the prosperity of both countries. In this way we can also integrate Russia into the world economy and even more strongly reinforce the strategic partnership between our countries.'

Prepared for publication by Oksana Chernishyova, Rosbalt

Translated by Richard Sleder

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