CDI Russia Weekly-#204 3 May 2002 Edited by David Johnson Center for Defense Information 1779 Massachusetts Ave. NW Washington DC 20036 phone: 202-797-5277; fax: 202-462-4559 djohnson@cdi.org The CDI Russia Weekly is an e-mail newsletter that carries news and analysis on all aspects of today's Russia, including political, economic, social, military, and foreign policy issues. With support from the Carnegie Corporation of New York and the MacArthur Foundation, CDI Russia Weekly is a project of the Washington-based Center for Defense Information (CDI), a nonprofit research and education organization. CDI Russia Weekly web page (with archive): http://www.cdi.org/russia/ Visit CDI's web site: http://www.cdi.org Contents: 1. RFE/RL: Francesca Mereu, Muscovites Enjoy May Day Holiday, Don't Miss Soviet Celebrations. 2. Moscow Times: Vladimir Ryzhkov, Russia's Festive Postmodernism. 3. Los Angeles Times: John Daniszewski, Communists Play Second Fiddle. Trends: They're still Russia's largest political party, but a May Day rally shows they're no longer the biggest draw. Putin is in charge. 4. Jamestown Foundation Monitor: MOSCOW AND WASHINGTON CLAIM PROGRESS IN ARMS TALKS. 5. AFP: US adopts 'the more, the better' formula for NATO enlargement. 6. Interfax: Russian naval base in Vietnam's Cam Ranh to close on May 4. 7. Institute for War & Peace Reporting: Sanobar Shermatova, MOSCOW SKINHEADS TARGET SOUTHERNERS. Suspicions are growing that attacks by groups of Moscow skinheads on Caucasian traders are being carefully orchestrated. 8. Voice of America: Rebecca Santana, An Unlikely Tourist Site: A Soviet-Era Gulag. 9. Rossiyskaya Gazeta: Russian Security Council Official Interviewed on Eve of Terrorism Session. 10. Far Eastern Economic Review: Ahmed Rashid, WITH THE U.S. AS AN ALLY, DICTATORS GET TOUGHER. AN ACCOUNT OF REPRESSION IN CENTRAL ASIA THIS YEAR. 11. Foreign Policy in Focus: Armen Georgian, U.S. Eyes Caspian Oil in "War On Terror" 12. pravda.ru: FORMER SOVIET REPUBLICS TO BE USED IN OFFENSIVE AGAINST IRAQ. 13. Le Monde: French Editorial Deplores UN Human Rights Commission's 'Hypocrisy' Over Chechnya. 14. The Russia Journal: Alexander Golts, General Staff critical of paratroops. ******* #1 Russia: Muscovites Enjoy May Day Holiday, Don't Miss Soviet Celebrations By Francesca Mereu The first of May is celebrated around the world as International Workers' Day, and Russia is no exception. Large rallies were held in the capital, Moscow, and many ordinary Muscovites also celebrated the holiday. But does May Day still mean as much to Russians today as it did during Soviet times, when people were forced to demonstrate their solidarity with the working class? RFE/RL's Moscow correspondent Francesca Mereu hit the streets of the capital and filed this report. Moscow, 1 May 2002 (RFE/RL) -- Communists and trade unionists held parades and rallies in the Russian capital, Moscow, today to celebrate May Day, which they continue to call the Day of International Workers' Solidarity, according to the old Soviet tradition. Police and rally organizers say some 140,000 trade unionists marched in central Moscow near St. Basil's Cathedral, while the Communist Party claims 100,000 people showed up for a separate rally in Revolution Square. Police, however, estimated that crowd at only 10,000 to 20,000. Authorities ordered more than 4,000 police officers to patrol the capital's streets, and no major incidents were reported. Hundreds of May Day rallies were also planned across the country. At the Moscow demonstration, Communist Party leader Gennady Zyuganov called on the Russian government to resign, accusing it of what he called "crimes against the nation." "Our main demand is for the government to resign, because this government is playing the role of a colonial administration, which strangles the economy, hurries to pay off debts to its masters but, at the same time, does not pay decent salaries." Apart from the organized rallies, Moscow's city center today was full of people taking leisurely walks, and the streets of the Russian capital were empty of the usual chaotic traffic. If during Soviet times ordinary Russians were encouraged to publicly demonstrate solidarity with the working class on May Day, most Russians today -- according to a poll by the public opinion center VTsIOM -- prefer to go to their dachas or spend time with family and friends. Twenty-one-year-old Konstantin Italyev is a singer. He was walking with his younger brother Vitaly along the garden paths near central Tveskoy Bulvar. Italyev says Muscovites his age have forgotten the old Communist meaning of the holiday and simply welcome 1 May as a day off. "[1 May] is just one of the spring days. That's all. If we talk about May 1 in the context of the Communist era, [for me] this is just a symbol of the time gone. That's all. Now, communism is over. I don't understand this day as a holiday. Of course, it is fine that today I got a day off, but I can't see any other meaning." Sixty-two-year-old Taissi Kotova was sitting in central Pushkinskaya Square, enjoying one of the capital's rare sunny days. "I really like this holiday. I didn't go to the dacha because I wanted to stay in Moscow and enjoy this atmosphere. I went a bit to the demonstration [organized by] the Communist Party, but I didn't like the demonstration since -- I'm sorry to say so -- people weren't speaking correctly (they were saying silly things)." Kotova, a pensioner, says that in the days of the Soviet Union, the factory where she used to work required its workers to attend the May Day rallies organized by the Communist Party. Every factory was given a spot where its workers had to stand and wave red flags. Kotova says she has pleasant memories of that time but that she doesn't really miss it: "[During the Soviet time,] we had more fun. The demonstration was big and accompanied with music and dances. We used to go there with the families, with [our colleagues] from the factories. It was, of course, more interesting than it is now. [But] I don't miss it. I just have good memories of it. I'm very happy with my present life. I like it." Lev Yegorov is 76 years old and was heading toward the central Mayakovskaya Square to "stretch his legs a bit." Yegorov recalls how he used to celebrate May Day under communism. "[1 May for me means] a spring day, the beginning of the summer. That's all, and now I'll take a walk in the Moscow city center. During the days of Socialism, everything was different. Then, we were sent to the demonstrations from our working place. We sang and danced in columns. We looked at [Lenin's] mausoleum. We remembered [Soviet leader Josef] Stalin, Molotov, and many other [Communist] leaders. But that time is over. Now we are different. Now we look at all that in a different way." The origins of the May Day holiday go back hundreds of years. It originated in pagan Europe as a festive day to celebrate the first spring planting. The Saxons began their May Day celebrations on the evening of 30 April, when they played games and feasted to celebrate the end of winter and the return of the sun. The Catholic Church eventually outlawed the celebrations in the 17th century. The modern celebration of May Day as a working class holiday evolved following events in the 19th century in the United States. On 7 October 1884, U.S. workers united to demand better treatment and more reasonable working hours, effective 1 May 1886. The Federation of Organized Trades and Labor Unions rallied some 200,000 workers for a general strike in Chicago on that date. A few days later, police in the city attacked a crowd of striking workers, killing four. The next day, at a demonstration to protest police brutality, a bomb exploded, killing seven policemen. Police in the following weeks carried out raids on strikers and trade unionists. Eight anarchists were found guilty of the bombing. Four were hanged. ******* #2 Moscow Times April 30, 2002 Russia's Festive Postmodernism By Vladimir Ryzhkov Vladimir Ryzhkov is an independent State Duma deputy. This comment originally appeared in the magazine Delovye Lyudi (issue No. 132). We Russians are one of the most festive nations on Earth in the sense that we love our holidays. The meticulous calculations of statisticians reveal that when it comes to the number of official holidays and other sundry days off we take each year, Russia is firmly in the top 10 worldwide. This year we even gained Soviet Fleet and Army Day (renamed as Defender of the Fatherland Day) as an additional day off. If you pause to think about it, we've got a pretty peculiar bunch of holidays. It all starts with New Year's Day. In Soviet times (and indeed to this day), it was undoubtedly the best-loved holiday, traditionally celebrated with family and close friends. Next comes Russian Orthodox Christmas, which these days is an official state holiday. The Christmas service is now broadcast on the same television channels that 15 years ago stigmatized "religious prejudices." Feb. 23 was granted us by the Bolsheviks and personally by Vladimir Lenin and Lev Trotsky. On this day in 1918 the newspapers in Petrograd published a Soviet government decree titled "The Soviet Fatherland Is in Danger!" which launched the formation of the Red Army. It is not entirely clear why this day, associated exclusively with the Soviet period in Russian history, is seen today as the main day for honoring our country's heroes, rather than, say, the anniversary of the Battle of Borodino (Sept. 7, 1812) or the Battle of Kulikovo (Sept. 8, 1380). March 8 is International Women's Day. Most of us are fond of this holiday to celebrate all our womenfolk. We declare our love for them and pay tribute to the woman's role as mother, sister and beloved. Historically, however, March 8 is closely linked to leftwing ideology. In 1910, Clara Zetkin, a German socialist, proposed an annual holiday dedicated to the "women's rights struggle." Her proposal was accepted by the Women's Socialist International at its meeting in Copenhagen. May opens with another recently renamed holiday. What we knew as the Red First of May in the Soviet era has now become the Day of Spring and Labor. It misses the actual beginning of spring by quite a stretch, of course. And "labor" sends us back to the Soviet period in our history, with all that that entails. Victory Day, May 9, is loved and revered by absolutely everyone. It's above dispute, just like New Year's Day. On June 12, we take a day off to remember the adoption of the Declaration of State Sovereignty of the Russian Federation. I wonder how many people realize that this is in fact the main state holiday in contemporary Russia. The declaration for the first time proclaimed the principles of a multiparty system and the separation of powers, as well as establishing citizens' political and civil rights and freedoms. In other words, it laid new, democratic foundations for the Russian state. In the popular consciousness June 12, however, is usually associated with the declaration of Russian independence, which was soon followed by the collapse of the Soviet Union. As a result, many people view this holiday negatively, or disregard it entirely. The situation with Nov. 7 is quite incredible. On this day (Oct. 25 on the Julian calendar then in use) 85 years ago, the Bolsheviks seized power in Petrograd from the provisional government. For the Soviet state Nov. 7 naturally became the main national holiday -- the Anniversary of the Great October Socialist Revolution. On this day, parades with red banners took place across the length and breadth of the country to celebrate the achievements of the Soviet state under the leadership and guidance of the Communist Party. On Nov. 7 we now celebrate the Day of Reconciliation and Accord. It is hard to imagine a less appropriate date to symbolize reconciliation, not to mention accord. Moreover, in effect we now celebrate the fall of Soviet power in June and its victory in November. Finally, the Russian Constitution was adopted by national referendum on Dec. 12, 1993. So now we celebrate Constitution Day on that day. To sum up, we have nine national holidays in all. Six of them are directly inherited from the Soviet Union, and four are fatally linked to the ruling ideology of the Soviet Union. Then we have three new holidays -- Christmas, June 12 and Dec. 12 -- only one of which reflects the founding values of the new democratic Russia. Somehow we have contrived to celebrate both the victory of Soviet power and its demise, the birth of Christ and the rise to power of the most godless of parties. We celebrate a Constitution adopted after a bloody confrontation in Moscow, and the Day of Reconciliation and Accord on the day that unleashed a bloody Civil War. We have a Petrine flag, a Romanov seal and a Soviet hymn to boot. Russia is a country of triumphant postmodernism, a thoroughly eclectic state. We honor and celebrate without giving much thought to the meaning of our actions. Of course, the people are used to their holidays and symbols. These cannot be changed frequently or radically. Time will gradually invest them with new significance, at times probably very distant from their original meaning. But this does not free us from the necessity of doing the hard work of rethinking our history and in particular of highlighting those events that are connected with Russia's progress toward freedom and democracy. Once this has been done, it will seem quite natural and obvious to substitute Oct. 17 -- the day in 1905 that Tsar Nicholas II published the manifesto that first provided for the establishment of democratic freedoms and the pre-revolutionary State Duma -- for Nov. 7. In the meantime, however, happy holidays! ******* #3 Los Angeles Times May 2, 2002 Communists Play Second Fiddle Trends: They're still Russia's largest political party, but a May Day rally shows they're no longer the biggest draw. Putin is in charge. By JOHN DANISZEWSKI, TIMES STAFF WRITER MOSCOW -- Communist leader Gennady A. Zyuganov, perspiration beading on his forehead, climbed down from the speaker's platform Wednesday after a speech urging the government's resignation, and posed with elderly supporters. It had been a fair-sized May Day rally, yet there still was a sense of futility written on his ruddy face. Although tens of thousands of people had turned out under sunny skies for the party's annual march, there was little evidence of the seething anger that Communists claim is stirring in Russian society. And there was little reason to believe that the demonstration would change anything. "The government has deteriorated into a criminal dictatorship that imposes conditions of banditry all across the country," Zyuganov told The Times before stomping away behind a phalanx of bodyguards. "The conduct of the government is supported by 5-10% of the population at most." Be that as it may, pro-Kremlin parties and trade unions loyal to President Vladimir V. Putin brought more than 100,000 people to Red Square, dwarfing the 40,000 or so supporters that the Communists could muster to their meeting in front of the nearby Bolshoi Theater. Increasingly, the Communists style themselves as the only real opposition voice in Russia, saying most other groups have been co-opted into a broad coalition directed by Putin's Kremlin. But even die-hard Communists wonder whether anybody is listening to their demands and whether their party, Russia's largest with more than 500,000 members, is capable of standing up to Putin. Zyuganov said he believes that in general the country "is waking up" and showing more active opposition to Putin. But he did not sound very convinced, nor did many of the people who attended Wednesday's rally. "I don't really see results," said Vladimir Derevyansky, a 38-year-old physics teacher from Kharkiv, Ukraine, who is working in Russia. "This is miserably too few people for such a big city." The teacher, attired in a frayed shirt and plastic-rimmed spectacles, said issues being raised by Communists--corruption, high prices, the collapse of industry and education, and the loss of the country's prestige--are important to most citizens, especially those living outside Moscow. And yet, few bother to demonstrate. He said it only shows how firmly Putin's people have control of the situation: "They have managed not only to fool the people, but to turn them into zombies." Since Putin assumed the presidency in 2000, he and his allies have worked to reduce chaos in the countryside and impose discipline on the news media, regional governors, big industries and wayward tycoons. The pro-Putin political bloc has an effective majority in parliament, and has enacted several economic measures, including private land sales, a 13% flat income tax and a new labor code that were anathema to the Communists. Irina Pishchikova, a 50-year-old oil industry engineer at the Zyuganov rally, said she was not sure the current Communist Party leadership was up to the challenge of providing an alternative to Putin's camp. "I think it has exhausted itself as an opposition already," she said. "Oh, there are honest people in the party, but I am talking about the leaders--they have been too well fed by the authorities. It is time to let the younger people run it." Alexei V. Kuznetsov of The Times' Moscow Bureau contributed to this report. ******* #4 Jamestown Foundation Monitor May 2, 2002 MOSCOW AND WASHINGTON CLAIM PROGRESS IN ARMS TALKS. Another week of intensive negotiations appears to have brought Russia and the United States ever closer to an agreement on reducing their strategic nuclear arsenals, but officials yesterday remained unwilling to say with certainty that the accord will be ready for signing when Presidents George W. Bush and Vladimir Putin meet for three days of summit talks in Moscow and St. Petersburg later this month. Reports out of Washington yesterday quoted U.S. officials as saying that there is hope that an agreement can be finalized by the May 23-26 summit. J.D. Crouch, a top aide to U.S. Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld, told reporters that the last roadblocks to a deal are relatively minor and could be overcome by summit's start. But Rumsfeld himself appeared to be more circumspect, describing the negotiations as a "process," and saying that it has "been going along very well." Yesterday's comments follow roughly a week of highly intensive negotiations between the two countries that began with U.S. Undersecretary of State John Bolton's April 23-24 visit to Moscow. Bolton, who has headed the U.S. delegation in talks between the Russian and U.S. defense leaderships (parallel talks have also been taking place between the diplomatic departments of both governments) raised some eyebrows when he departed Moscow on April 24 prior to what was to have been a second day of negotiations (see the Monitor, April 25). Rather than signaling a breakdown in the talks, however, his departure may have marked a turning point of sorts. Subsequent reports suggested that the Russian side had advanced some new proposals during the April 23 meeting and that Bolton had returned to Washington in order to consult on them. Bolton then returned to Moscow this week in time for a brief visit that Rumsfeld paid to the Russian capital on April 29 for additional talks with top Russian officials, including Defense Minister Sergei Ivanov. Russian reports also said that Bolton had met with one of Russia's chief negotiators, Deputy Foreign Minister Georgy Mamedov, during Rumsfeld's stay, and that he stayed on following Rumsfeld's departure for additional consultations. The intensive discussions are scheduled to continue today, when Russian Foreign Minister Igor Ivanov arrives in Washington for two days of talks of his own with U.S. Secretary of State Colin Powell and other Bush administration officials. The Powell-Ivanov talks are expected to center on both the arms reduction accord and final preparation for the May 23-26 summit. To date, the Russian-U.S. arms reduction talks have been held behind closed doors. This relative secrecy has led to some conflicting media reports regarding both the details of the agreements under discussion and the points on which the two sides continue to disagree. Russian and U.S. officials in their public statements, and most news media reporting on the talks, are agreed that that one major roadblock to an agreement is Russia's continued opposition to U.S. plans that call for storing rather than destroying thousands of nuclear warheads scheduled for retirement under the Bush-Putin arms cut initiative. Many analysts are also agreed that Moscow fears the U.S. plan to maintain a large warhead reserve would give Washington a "breakout" potential--that is, the ability to quickly redeploy thousands of warheads beyond the 1,700-2,200 "operationally deployed" warheads mandated under the Bush-Putin reduction proposal. Given the deteriorating state of its own nuclear arsenal and cash shortages faced by the Russian government, the Russian armed forces would be unable to maintain a comparable reserve force of its own. Arms control critics of the Bush administration in the United States, meanwhile, have warned that the U.S. nuclear reserve plan could nonetheless lead Russia to store thousands of its own warheads, a development that they say would pose serious security and proliferation risks. Both the Russian government and Russian and U.S. critics of the Bush administration plan have also charged that the creation of an easily deployable nuclear reserve would in fact do much to render the announced reductions of "operationally deployable" warheads meaningless. Indeed, some in Russia have called it a plan for "virtual" arms reductions. If news reports are clear that the issue of counting warheads remains a major obstacle to an arms reduction agreement, they are less clear about some other aspects of the proposed reduction plan. News reports have differed, for example, over whether or exactly in what respect Russian and U.S. negotiators might be clashing on the related issue of how to count and dispose of delivery systems affected by the reduction plan (Interfax, April 29; AP, April 30, May 1; Strana.ru, April 29-30, May 1; New York Times, April 30; Washington Post, April 28). More important, perhaps, are reported differences between Russia and the United States over how to address the issue of U.S. missile defense plans. Numerous news reports have ignored the issue entirely, yet some Russian and Western accounts have suggested it remains a major stumbling block. At issue is a reported Russian insistence that offensive arms cuts be linked with restrictions of some sort on U.S. plans to develop and deploy a national missile defense system. According to a diplomatic source quoted by the Russian Itar-Tass news agency, Moscow is seeking to address this linkage of offensive and defensive systems directly in the arms cut agreement currently being negotiated. The U.S. side, on the other hand, reportedly wants to include it only in a second document that is being negotiated for the May 23 summit--a political declaration devoted to the new Russian-U.S. strategic relationship. An unnamed Bush administration official has been quoted in this context as confirming what he described as an effort by Moscow to negotiate the scope of the U.S. antiballistic missile system and to codify limitations on the system's development. But he reiterated the administration's disinclination to discuss missile defense limits, and suggested that the issue would, in the end, not be a "deal-breaker" (AP, August 29, 30). Against this background, and given the weak hand Russia is playing in the arms cut negotiations, some in Moscow have raised the question of whether the Kremlin would be better off signing a "bad" agreement with Washington--that is, one in which its concerns about warhead storage and other issues are not satisfactorily addressed--or whether any agreement is better at this point than none at all (RFE/RL, March 21; AP, April 16). For Putin, the stakes in making this decision are high. He has invested considerable political capital in supporting the U.S. antiterror drive and in embracing the West more generally, and may feel that he needs an arms cut agreement to properly crown the upcoming summit and his own pro-Western policies. According to some reports, Defense Minister Sergei Ivanov suggested following his recent talks in Moscow with Rumsfeld that the new proposals offered by Moscow do indeed offer a new flexibility in the Kremlin's approach to warhead counting and the other issues said to be preventing Russia and the United States from finalizing an agreement (New York Times, April 30). Whether that is true should become clearer in the days to come, when the two sides will have to decide whether a major arms cut agreement is in fact to be the centerpiece of their fast approaching summit. ******* #5 US adopts 'the more, the better' formula for NATO enlargement AFP May 2, 2002 The United States has signaled it might favor accepting more new members in NATO than currently anticipated, arguing that "the more allies we have, the better off we're going to be." It also expressed its determination to press its European partners to boost their military capabilities, including making a contribution to President George W. Bush's missile defense program, despite strong reservations about it in many European capitals. The statements came at a Senate Foreign Relations Committee hearing on Wednesday, which featured Undersecretary of State for Political Affairs Marc Grossman and Undersecretary of Defense for Policy Douglas Feith among the key witnesses. The issue of bringing new members into the 19-nation alliance will top the agenda at a NATO summit in Prague in November. The applicants include Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Bulgaria, Romania, Macedonia and Albania. But although no final selection has been made, experts had been pointing out until recently that about five of these candidates were most likely to make the cut. According to the well-informed Republican Senator Richard Lugar, that unofficial list has now been expanded to seven to include Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Bulgaria and Romania. But when asked if he believed the alliance could undergo an even "larger enlargement', Grossman answered without hesitation: "Yes, sir, I do." "The events of September 11 show us that the more allies we have, the better off we're going to be," he continued. "The more allies we have to prosecute the war on terrorism, the better off we're going to be." Both Grossman and Feith made clear the Bush administration remained dissatisfied with the contribution provided to the alliance by the European militaries, arguing that they lacked sufficient airlift and sealift capabilities and were not doing enough to defend the West against weapons of mass destruction. "If we get to a point where it is the truth that the United States fights and NATO cleans up, or the United States fights and the European Union cleans up, that is bad for us, and it is very, very bad for our European allies," Grossman pointed out. ********* #6 Russian naval base in Vietnam's Cam Ranh to close on May 4 MOSCOW. May 2 (Interfax) - In line with international agreements, the Russian naval base in Vietnam's Cam Ranh is to cease its existence within the next few days, aide to the Russian Navy commander-in-chief Igor Dygalo told Interfax on Thursday. Russia completed handing over all facilities and installations at the base to Vietnam on May 2, he said. The closure ceremony is scheduled for May 3-4. A high-ranking source with the Russian Defense Ministry in turn told Interfax that the Russian Ambassador to Vietnam Andrei Tatarinov and head of the transfer commission and chief of the Pacific Fleet administrative service Rear Adm. Alexander Ivliyev are expected to attend the ceremony. On Thursday, the two sides signed a transfer certificate. The work on transferring the installations "was done in the traditional atmosphere of mutual understanding and absolute trust," Dygalo said. After all formalities are observed, the last Russian Il-76 military transport aircraft remaining at the Cam Ranh airfield will take off to head for Vladivostok. After that, the last servicemen from the airfield personnel will board the Sakhalin-9 diesel-electric ferry which will leave Cam Ranh on May 4. ******** #7 From: "Institute for War & Peace Reporting" Subject: Caucasus Reporting Service No. 127 Date: Thu, 2 May 2002 MOSCOW SKINHEADS TARGET SOUTHERNERS Suspicions are growing that attacks by groups of Moscow skinheads on Caucasian traders are being carefully orchestrated By Sanobar Shermatova in Moscow Sanobar Shermatova is a correspondent with Moscow News. Skinhead groups have recently stepped up a campaign of violence in Moscow that may be linked to a push to drive Caucasian traders out of the city's markets. No accurate statistics on the skinhead attacks are available as the police usually suggest domestic violence or gangland revenge was the cause. According to a Chechen student in Moscow, the families of Chechen victims of the attacks never contact the police, as they fear they will only side with the assailants. "The police would rather take the side of the skinheads who are Russian than protect Chechens, whom they consider undesirable aliens," he told IWPR. The wave of violence can be linked to rising antagonism against migrants from the Caucasus and Central Asia - which is largely a consequence of two factors. Firstly, many Muscovites believe they are behind much of the crime in the city, a perception fuelled by the tendency of television news to cite the nationality of criminals. Secondly, the government's "counter-terrorist operation" in Chechnya has been accompanied by intensive propaganda directed against Chechens and all Caucasian ethnic groups. A recent Internet poll conducted by the weekly Moscow News found that only 4.3 per cent of Muscovites would try to stop skinheads attacking someone. Another 58 per cent said they would simply ignore such incidents, while 37 per cent would run away. The latest high-profile victim of skinhead violence was a Russian citizen of Afghan origin, Abdul Haqim Haqrisi, who was beaten to death in central Moscow last month by a group of skinheads. Haqrisi, 35, a father of four, worked as a translator for the Federal Migration Service. The Afghan embassy protested to the Russian foreign ministry over the murder, but a few days later several embassies in Moscow received threatening emails in English from local skinheads, promising more murders of foreign nationals on or around Hitler's birthday on April 20. Police went on high alert on April 19. For three days most of the capital's police were concentrated in the downtown area, with explicit instructions to suppress skinhead activity. Thanks to these extraordinary measures, no attacks occurred over this period. Traders at one small outdoor market at Chertanovskaya Street in southern Moscow marked Hitler's birthday in their own way. On April 20 they closed the market, allegedly for cleaning, though there was no visible evidence of this. A trader explained that this and other markets in the area had shut because of the skinhead threat. "The market had to be closed because there are no police to guard it. They are all in the centre of town," she said. The outdoor markets, with their enormous cash flows, offer prime targets for the skinhead groups. Last April and October, they attacked the markets at Tsaritsino and Yasenevo in southern Moscow. Four people died in the first incident and two in the second. Dozens were injured in both. The largest group of traders at the outdoor markets are from the Caucasus, selling produce at what locals perceive as exorbitant prices. Since the Soviet era "southerners", usually Azerbaijanis, have had a virtual monopoly on bringing fruit, vegetables and flowers from their homeland to Moscow. About two million Azerbaijanis live in Russia, and most are engaged in small-time trading. On average, an Azerbaijani expatriate sends 100 to 350 US dollars monthly to his family back home. Azerbaijanis, Chechens and Dagestanis also sell products from Central Asia. Since Uzbek tomatoes and pomegranates are far pricier than similar Turkish produce, only affluent Muscovites can afford them. Uzbekistan has recently started shipping honey melons to Moscow, but the Uzbeks themselves have been unable to secure a strong presence in the market trading sector. The hierarchy at the markets fuels Russian resentment. At Chertanovo in the south of Moscow, foreign traders rank higher than local Russian "babushkas" (old ladies) selling greens, homemade jam and sauerkraut. A local trader selling fresh parsley and dill recently had to move into the street. "I cannot afford to pay the owner as much as they do," she complained, waving at the Asian traders. On his rare visits to the market, its Azerbaijani owner is accompanied by three bodyguards. All traders pay him kickbacks on top of the regular fee required by law. They do everything they can to keep local competition out of the market, because locals offer the same merchandise far cheaper. Police are frequently seen driving babushkas from the market and nearby streets. The old women then have to bribe the police to stay in business, and increase the price of their produce accordingly. This takes care of the "price competition", and plays into the hands of the Asian traders. Ordinary Moscow families, spending 200 or 250 US dollars a month on food, see the Georgian, Uzbek and Tajik traders as scam artists who keep their prices artificially high by cutting out the local traders. Who is standing behind the skinheads? One theory has it that criminal groups use the young men to do battle with their rivals on their behalf. Another version holds that the police manipulate skinhead activity to keep the traders under control. The police have been raiding outdoor markets in Moscow for two years in a bid to squeeze out traders from the Caucasus. It has not worked, as they have no legal grounds to ban traders from former Soviet Republics or the North Caucasus. But the skinheads also have an agenda of their own. The historian Semyon Charny, in a study of their movement published recently in Moscow News, points out that in the Soviet Union their origins date back to the 1950s. Charny believes the authorities and the KGB were inactive in cracking down on the skinheads because they wanted to use them to scare the Russian population. Nowadays skinheads are active throughout Russia. "Our aim is power," one of their leaders, Alexander Ivanov-Sukharevsky, told Moscow News. "Hitler's idea was to liberate Russia from Jewish oppression and put the Romanovs back on the throne, but God did not let Hitler achieve this at that juncture. Our mission is to continue the cause of liberating the Russian people from that oppression." In the meantime, ethnic Russians traders have been gaining more control of the markets. It is certainly in their interest to clear them of "aliens" by whatever means. The idea that shadowy business groups are behind the phenomenon of skinhead groups may not be far-fetched. ******** #8 Voice of America 1 May 2002 An Unlikely Tourist Site: A Soviet-Era Gulag By Rebecca Santana Solovki Shortly after the founding of the Soviet Union, its leaders began building the Gulag, a network of concentration camps for those considered enemies of the state. At their height in the 1930s, these camps contained as much as 10 percent of the Soviet population. So brutal were conditions there, that it is estimated that half of the tens of millions of people sent to the Gulag died in the Gulag; many didn't even survive a winter. For many years, discussion of the system was off limits in the Soviet Union, but that all changed after the collapse of communism. Now, at least one of the former camps is open to the public. It is spring in the Solovetsky Islands but the snow is still deep. The only way to travel is by trudging through the knee-deep snow or by using cross-country skis. The islands are considered to be among the most beautiful places in Russia. They are covered with green pine trees and fields that are filled with flowers and wild berries in the summer. In the winter, they become a frozen wonderland, unmarred by the pollution that is so common is other parts of Russia. But these beautiful islands, known in Russia as Solovki, have a brutal history. They were home to one of the first Gulags in the Soviet Union. Oleg Volkov, the deputy director of the local museum, tells a visitor that the Soviet authorities converted a Russian Orthodox monastery that had been built centuries before into the Solovki Gulag. "There were beds here, wooden beds, in which the prisoners, slept. There was so-called parasha, it means toilet. It stood on the altar part, the most sacred part of the church," Mr. Volkov said. Conditions in Solovki were harsh. Prisoners were forced to do hard labor but were given little food, usually only a few slices of bread a day. In the summer, prisoners who were believed to merit special punishment were chained to a stake in the ground, where they were easy prey for Solovki's mosquitoes. In the winter, prisoners were doused with water and forced to stand outside. Given Solovki's location, 150 kilometers below the Arctic Circle, that meant the soaking wet prisoners were forced to stand outside in temperatures that were many degrees below freezing. Death came quickly. From its opening in 1923 to the time it closed in 1939 - in an economy measure - about 100,000 people were sent to the Solovki Gulag. Almost half of them died here. Mr. Volkov points to dozens of names etched in a wooden staircase. He believes the prisoners wrote their names to leave something of themselves before they disappeared. "I think it was necessary for them to leave memory, for other people. I think that these prisoners knew that they could die here in this place and it is very important to them to [leave] those inscriptions for those people who would later see their names," Mr. Volkov said. After the Solovki Gulag was closed in 1939, visitors were eventually allowed to return to the islands. Antonina Shopkina moved to islands in 1969 to work at the local museum, which at that time, before the Communist collapse, focused solely on local history and culture prior to the Communist revolution. She said Soviet authorities forbade any discussion of the Solovki Gulag. "People often asked about the history of the Gulag. The guides were only allowed to say that at one time it had been a labor camp but the rest of the history was not known," she said. But she said some visitors knew the history very well. She recalls that one day a man came into her office and started looking around. When Ms. Shopkina asked if he needed help, he replied that he simply wanted to see the room where he lived as a prisoner. But not until the end of the Soviet Union, when Mikhail Gorbachev was in power, could the Gulag be discussed. In 1988, the first Gulag exhibit in the Soviet Union was opened on Solovki. At first, tourism was slow - only about 2,000 people a year visited in the mid-1990s - but the numbers are increasing. Last year, there were 12,000 visitors. Mikhail Lopatkin is the director of the museum. He thinks it serves a two-fold purpose. It gives Russians and foreigners a chance to learn about the Gulag and it also provides something that is not widely available on Solovki, an opportunity for the people who live here to earn a living. "There is no alternative here. And why? It's an energy and ecology saving resource. If we do everything wisely, it's endless. It will feed a lot of generations," Mr. Lopatkin said. But not all the islanders welcome Solovki's growing popularity. They fear their isolation on the beautiful islands is coming to an end. Pyotr Leoniv came here from Moscow eleven years ago with his wife, who leads the church choir. He said many island residents are becoming obsessed with the money coming in from tourists. "As soon as the tourists started coming, people started changing. All this business, money, unfortunately this process is noticeable in Solovki," Mr. Leoniv said. This January a Moscow-based company offered the first winter tour of the island, and about 16,000 visitors are expected this summer, and the numbers are likely to keep increasing. Though the Gulags have been closed for many years, it has been said that every Russian family has in some way been touched by its horrors. That gives every family a connection to the long-dead prisoners on Solovki who etched their names in a staircase. ******** #9 Russian Security Council Official Interviewed on Eve of Terrorism Session Rossiyskaya Gazeta 30 April 2002 Interview with Oleg Chernov, deputy secretary of Russian Security Council, by Yuriy Yershov; date, place not given: "There Should Be Neither Leaders Nor Led in Fight Against Terrorism" A regular session of the Russian Federation Security Council will take place today, devoted to Russia's role in the fight against international terrorism. On the eve of the session our correspondent talked to Security Council Deputy Secretary Oleg Chernov. [Yershov] Oleg Dmitriyevich, the fight against terrorism is probably one of the main topics in world politics nowadays.... [Chernov] Following September 11 it has become a truly dominating topic in world politics and has largely changed the architecture of international security or, at least, is providing real impulses and signals in that direction. Having actively involved itself in this fight, Russia is obviously also taking into consideration the interests of its own internal and external security. Incidentally, we sounded the alarm long ago. Immediately after the blasts in Moscow, Volgodonsk, and other cities we said that a joint effort must be made to oppose specifically international terrorism, because terrorists have long since crossed existing real and virtual borders and now have very substantial resources at their disposal. Unfortunately, however, few people heeded our appeals. It was only after September 11 that an international antiterrorist coalition was formed. Russia constantly repeats that it is important to us that this fight against terrorism should not be used for any opportunist political or geostrategic purposes. There should be neither leaders nor led in this fight. The main organ for coordinating and conducting it should be the United Nations; this is of fundamental importance. It is the United Nations that should ensure that the expansion of the fight to certain other countries does not give rise to new, even more complex threats to mankind. But let us get back to the topic. Our President Vladimir Putin's almost instantaneous -- even quicker than the NATO countries' -- response to the September 11 terrorist attacks in America determined Russia's strategic choice and did much to enable Russia to start resolving a very great many other security-related problems. Such as rapprochement with the West in certain areas, and the prevention of potential direct aggression on Russia's southern borders. It is no secret that both then and later we had to plan for pretty major expenditure of resources on ensuring security in this region. Last but not least, it seems to me that one of the most serious elements of our participation in the antiterrorist coalition has been the consolidation of Russian ministries and departments and, very importantly, of public awareness that, in order to ensure our country's security, we should work more seriously in the CIS area as a whole and in the Caucasus and Central Asian regions in particular. This is stated in our president's message of 18 April, in which he defined the objectives that started to crystallize more distinctly after September 11. He identified the main current priority of Russian foreign policy as substantive cooperation and work with CIS countries, without belittling other foreign policy goals. [Yershov] The objectives have been set. What has the Security Council managed to do in this area? [Chernov] After September 11 our president, who is also chairman of the Security Council, was in constant contact with the CIS leaders. At his behest Security Council Secretary Vladimir Rushaylo visited all the countries in the Central Asian region, including Turkmenistan. As a result it was decided to convene in Dushanbe immediately after the start of the antiterrorist operation in Afghanistan. As early as October 8 there was a session of the Committee of Collective Security Treaty Security Council Secretaries, to which representatives of all the CIS countries were also invited. And note that they all attended. I am saying this for the benefit of those people who doubt that the Collective Security Treaty is flourishing and that essential consultations take place within its framework. There in Dushanbe a collective decision was made that we would all participate together in the antiterrorist operation on principles that each country would formulate for itself. Our president defined such principles. They not only chime with the position of the other CIS countries but also serve Russia's interests. Then, at the CIS summit in December, came the famous joint statement on the fight against international terrorism. [Yershov] To put it mildly, did the Russian Security Council have a part in this? [Chernov] I cannot assess that, and do not intend to. But it seems to me that in the runup to the 10th anniversary, which we celebrate in early June, this could be talked about. The Security Council is a constitutional organ that should help our president to elaborate tactics and strategy in domestic and foreign policy. Moreover, whereas initially the Council members were basically the people we refer to as "security ministers," the Council has now become much broader, because security is a concept that is not restricted to military threats. The Council coordinates the work of virtually all the ministries and departments in the security sphere. We have 10 interdepartmental commissions headed by the appropriate ministers. There is also a scientific council, which brings together the country's current best minds in the most diverse spheres associated with our security. ******* #10 Far Eastern Economic Review May 9, 2002 CENTRAL ASIA WITH THE U.S. AS AN ALLY, DICTATORS GET TOUGHER AN ACCOUNT OF REPRESSION IN CENTRAL ASIA THIS YEAR By Ahmed Rashid KAZAKHSTAN Galymzhan Zhakiyanov, leader of newly formed Democratic Choice of Kazakhstan party, seeks shelter in French embassy, but is later arrested as government breaks agreement with European Union not to detain him. Other Democratic Choice leaders also arrested. Leading opposition figure, former Prime Minister Akezhan Kazhegeldin, head of Republican People's Party, remains in exile. Critical newspapers and TV stations closed down during Davos summit in Almaty in April. Government sets up agency to monitor all press. Government cracks down on all opposition media and parties after President Nursultan Nazarbayev is accused of siphoning off $1 billion to a Swiss bank in 1996. Foreign Minister Kasymzhomart Toakayev admits existence of fund, explaining that it was established to repay the country's debts. KIRGYZSTAN Main opposition leader, former Vice-President Felix Kulov serving lengthy jail sentence. Police kill five people, injure 61 in mass protest in mid-March following mass hunger strike, after popular parliamentary deputy Azimbek Beknazarov is jailed for asking President Askar Akayev why he ceded territory to China last year without informing parliament. Leaders of opposition party Ar-Namys harassed after saying that government is using U.S. presence to gag opposition. Government shuts down two opposition newspapers. U.S. army driver claims diplomatic immunity after killing Kirgyz woman in traffic accident in March, sparking popular outrage. All opposition groups are demanding Akayev's resignation. TAJIKISTAN President Imamali Rakhmanov sacks several Islamist ministers belonging to the United Tajik Opposition from the coalition government set up in 1997. Dozens of alleged Hizb-ut-Tahrir activists arrested. TURKMENISTAN Leading Turkmen diplomats go into exile in Russia and set up Turkmenistan Popular Democratic Movement in January to topple President Saparmurad Niyazov. Baptist missionaries harassed and jailed. International lending institutions suspend loans due to lack of economic reform. Turkmens banned from travelling abroad without government permission. Niyazov sacks 20 senior security, intelligence and army officials, fearing more defections and a coup attempt. In the absence of state funds for education, 11,000 teachers laid off in the past two years. Students forbidden to study abroad. UZBEKISTAN 7,000 political prisoners remain in jail. Interpol arrests Mohammed Solih, leader of opposition Erk party, in Czech Republic on demand of Uzbekistan. Referendum in January extends President Karimov's term in office from five to seven years. Uzbekistan prevents U.S.-run Radio Liberty from broadcasting in country. Government orders all newspapers to produce schedule of articles before publication. Uzbek courts step up convictions of opponents to the regime; 39 political prisoners convicted in February and March. ******* #11 Foreign Policy in Focus April 30, 2002 www.fpif.org U.S. Eyes Caspian Oil in "War On Terror" By Armen Georgian (Armen Georgian writes for Agence-France Presse in London and writes regularly on international issues.) The arrival of U.S. military advisors in Georgia on April 29 raised as many glasses in Ankara and Baku as it did jitters in Moscow. Touted as a new front in the "war on terror," the Bush administration is in reality scrambling for Caspian oil in a bid to oust Russia from its traditional backyard. Washington insists its "train and equip force'" of 10 combat helicopters and 150 military instructors is solely intended to help Georgia combat Islamic radicals in the lawless Pankisi Gorge, allegedly a safe haven for al Qaeda militants and their Chechen allies. But other motives became apparent, although largely unnoticed by the Western press when Georgian Defense Ministry official Mirian Kiknadze told Radio Free Europe on February 27: "The U.S. military will train our rapid reaction force, which is guarding strategic sites in Georgia--particularly oil pipelines." He was referring to the embryonic Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan (BTC) project, set to reduce Georgia's and Azerbaijan's energy reliance on Russia and bring the southern Caucasus into the U.S. fold. Russia's military establishment and domestic opinion are clearly furious, although President Putin has played soft on the issue, delighted to see his Chechen campaign rebranded as a "war on terror" in return for supporting the U.S. bombing of Afghanistan. "It is hard to see why Russia should react so angrily to a U.S. operation promising to neutralize not just al Qaeda fighters but also Putin's longtime Chechen bogeys," said Hovann Simonian, author of the acclaimed Troubled Waters: The Geopolitics of Caspian Oil. "The U.S. training force is unlikely to make much difference given the parlous state of the Georgian military. Clearly this is not simply about fighting terror," Simonian added. Washington has recently injected fresh momentum into its Caspian designs, home to the world's third-largest oil and gas deposits. Deputy Secretary of State Richard Armitage emphatically re-affirmed U.S. support for BTC on March 8 during the visit of Turkish premier Bulent Ecevit. Four days later U.S. Caspian envoy Stephen Mann told Kazakh authorities he wanted to promote pipelines bypassing Iran. The plot thickened on March 28 when U.S. Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense Mira Ricardel announced that the U.S. would provide military assistance to Azerbaijan's navy as part of a $4.4 million aid package this year. Western energy companies have been intensively exploring a sector of the Caspian angrily disputed by Iran and Azerbaijan. With Turkish airbases due in Azerbaijan later this year, the U.S. is clearly promoting a NATO-friendly axis to safeguard the Baku-Ceyhan route and counter the Russia-Armenia-Iran alliance. "Some energy analysts say the Turkish economy is in no position to support the $2.9-billion project, while U.S. taxpayers might be skeptical after the Enron scandal, but BTC is being pushed for political reasons," Simonian said. The Bush administration has particularly compelling reasons to back BTC. Vice President Dick Cheney was until 2000 chief executive of Halliburton Co., an oil services company named a finalist last year to bid on engineering work in the Turkish sector of the route. National Security Adviser Condoleezza Rice was a director of Chevron, a lynchpin of the BTC consortium with extensive operations in Azerbaijan. Richard Armitage is a former co-chairman of the U.S.-Azerbaijan Chamber of Commerce. Bush family adviser James A. Baker III has especially thick oil ties to the region. Baker, who spearheaded George W. Bush's victory in the Florida election dispute, heads U.S. law firm Baker Botts, which represents a consortium of companies drilling and exploring the Caspian, including Exxon-Mobil, Pennzoil, BP, and Unocal. Baker sits on the U.S.-Azerbaijan Chamber of Commerce advisory council, as did Cheney. While America has successfully used the "war on terror" to wrestle the oil- and gas-rich central Asian region from Moscow, the south Caucasus could prove a much tougher nut to crack. Pankisi is not the only unruly enclave beyond Tbilisi's writ. The breakaway leaderships of Abkhazia and South Ossetia, fearful the U.S. deployment could also be used against them, have already appealed to Moscow for associate status within the Russian Federation. Such a move, which would seriously undermine the pro-Western Georgian President Eduard Shervardnaze, is widely supported by the Russian parliament and public opinion. In addition, Moscow could foment separatism in Adzharia and Dzhavaketia, where ethnic Armenians might seek to disrupt the oil earnings of arch-foes Turkey and Azerbaijan. "There is a danger that Shervardnadze will lose control of Georgia. Russia will fight more actively for influence in the region," said political analyst Otar Kharabadze. In early March a top Russian general ominously remarked: "Georgia had better be aware it cannot exist without Russia." If this veiled threat is carried out, Washington's Great Game in the south Caucasus could end up as little more than a pipe-dream. ******* #12 pravda.ru May 2, 2002 FORMER SOVIET REPUBLICS TO BE USED IN OFFENSIVE AGAINST IRAQ A meeting of Russian and American presidents is to take place very soon, that is why the USA hurries up to strengthen military presence on the post-Soviet territory (Central Asia and the Caucasus region). Military training in the network of the US program for military aid to Georgia is to start in Georgia at the end of May and to last for 70 days, official spokesman for the group of US instructors Colonel Scott Tine said at the press-conference in Tbilisi. The first group of US commandos of 20 people in number came to Georgia Monday late. About 200 American soldiers are expected to come to Georgia on the whole. US instructors will train Georgian soldiers to struggle with radical Muslim groups that are allegedly connected with Al-Qaeda. It is believed, Al-Qaeda members are taking shelter in the Pankissi Gorge. Colonel Tine says, the program provides for study of the Georgian language and culture by US soldiers. The American authorities report, the commandos will stay in Georgia for about six months. However, many people in Georgia suppose that US soldiers may stay even for a longer period. There is a suggestion that they will protect the oil pipeline that is to connect the Caspian fields with the Turkish port of Ceyhan. Construction of the pipeline that is to be laid on Georgia's territory, will cost several billions of dollars. Other sources suppose, Washington plans to found a standing military base in the Southern Caucasus close to Iraq and Iran. The USA also pays enough attention to Central Asia. General Paul Mikolashek, commander of the US land forces is to arrive in Tashkent in the second half of the day on Thursday. A short visit provides for his meeting with Uzbekistan Defense Minister Kadyr Gulyamov and visit to the US Embassy in Uzbekistan. General Mikolashek will spend less than a day in Uzbekistan and will leave for Kuwait Friday early. Washington's activity in the region is not connected with the events in Afghanistan, although it is officially stated that inspection of the US bases in former Soviet republics is held within the network of the US-British operation for Al-Qaeda and Taliban liquidation. But the situation is much more complicated than it may seem at the first sight. The USA needs military bases in Central Asia and in the Caucasus for a short-term period, as a subsidiary base for an offensive against Iraq. As for a long-term objective, the USA plans to use the bases as a political, economic and probably military pressure on the Central Asiatic countries with a view to get control over oil and gas that are abundant in these regions. The Izvestia newspaper informs, it became evident after Saudi Prince Abdullah's recent visit to the USA. According to some sources, the Iraq problem was not directly discussed at the meeting, but the Prince declared, his country was against US intervention in Iraq, and Saudi territories would not be provided for landing and refueling of US planes. Moreover, Saudi Arabia will prohibit to use its airspace. The USA has to look for states that are ready to provide territories for an offensive against Iraq. Turkey, Kuwait and Qatar are really convenient states situated near the Iraqi borders. Over the past year the number of US servicemen increased from 5,500 to 10,5000. However, Washington is not sure so far, whether Kuwait and Qatar would support it. The Pentagon considers Central Asiatic republics of Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan and Turkmenistan capable of providing second-echelon bases, a prominent military expert told the Izvestia newspaper. ******* #13 French Editorial Deplores UN Human Rights Commission's 'Hypocrisy' Over Chechnya Le Monde 28-29 April 2002 [translation for personal use only] Unattributed editorial: "Jenin and Groznyy" It is a tradition and has been respected. Each year the UN Commission on Human Rights beats records for hypocrisy. Its annual session in Geneva sees some states that trample on human rights in the most massive fashion -- China and Russia, for example -- escaping all condemnation. They brandish the same shield: do not touch the sacrosanct principle of the sovereignty of states. There are violations of human rights only insofar as Moscow and Beijing consent to denounce them. That is the most conditional and most abject defense of human rights. And we have just seen a repetition of this pitiful exercise. Act I: the commission examined the Israeli offensive on the West Bank. It voted on 15 April, with the support of France, for a statement that pilloried Israel for committing "massive slaughter" against the Palestinian people. Moscow and Beijing stood in the front rank of the offensive. Act II: four days later, on Friday 19 April, the commission rejected all condemnation of Russia for the situation in Chechnya. In this latter vote, China, which had escaped any mention of the situation in Tibet or in Xinjiang, lent its support to Moscow in the name of the "antiterrorist struggle" and defense of the territorial integrity of the Russian Federation. To justify their vote some states emphasized the date angle of the matter. The destruction of part of the refugee camp of Jenin on the West Bank (probably 50 to 80 dead) took place in April, whereas the complete destruction (several tens of thousands killed) in Groznyy, the Chechen capital, a city of 450,000 inhabitants, by the Russians goes back to 1999. The argument is a quibble because, without in any way diminishing the suffering of the Palestinian population and without in any way lessening the condemnation of Ariel Sharon's policy, it has to be stated that the situation in Chechnya is increasingly tragic with every day that passes. It knows no improvement whatsoever. The army is pursuing a policy of horror, which every source confirms. In the middle of April the NGO Human Rights Watch mentioned the disappearance of 87 people in Groznyy since the start of the year: abducted for ransom by the Russian forces or found dead, executed with a bullet fired at point-blank range, the body often showing signs of torture. These activities were confirmed by our special correspondent in our report "The Disappeared of Groznyy" (Le Monde 24 April). The Russian forces are bent on terrorizing in order to subjugate a people who have already undergone an ordeal: perhaps 150,000 dead since the last offensive, that of 1999, while only 300,000 to 400,000 Chechens out of a population of 1 million before the war are said still to be living inside the country. The others have been forced into exile in neighboring republics. By refusing to denounce this tragedy, the UN commission has lost a little more of its credibility. ******* #14 The Russia Journal April 26-May 2, 2002 General Staff critical of paratroops By ALEXANDER GOLTS There’s no need to prove that the Russian Army, which can’t get reform underway, is in the process of disintegration. But what’s especially amazing is that the top military brass is now finding ways to make things worse even in the few areas where it still has a semblance of order. The General Staff has just completed a full-scale inspection of the paratroops. General Staff officials, who only recently were obsessed with preventing the slightest leak of information about the state of the Armed Forces, now happily tell journalists about the problems they’ve unearthed. Paratroops officers, it turns out, don’t know how to organize combat training for their troops. In any case, the paratroops’ training grounds are in no fit state for holding exercises. Finally, the paratroops commanders don’t know how to plan combat-training exercises jointly with other branches of the Armed Forces. Clearly influenced by this report, Defense Minister Sergei Ivanov had somewhat vague but definitely disapproving words for the paratroops: "The paratroops have turned into something resembling a primitive folk image – they carried out peacekeeping functions, including in the Balkans, and at the same time busied themselves breaking bricks with their heads." All these shortcomings un-doubtedly exist. But the inspectors neglected to add that no Russian officer – not just the paratroops – knows how to organize combat training. During Ivanov’s recent visit to the Tamanskaya and Kantemirovskaya divisions, officers told him how they were obliged to learn from their sergeants. Strapped for cash and short of arms, the Russian Army hasn’t been able to carry out training over the last decade. Even now, commanders have the resources for just one battalion-level training exercise in each military district. Most likely, even the officers who inspected the paratroops have never organized such maneuvers themselves. Certainly, it looks absurd to single out the paratroops command in this respect. True, the paratroops level of combat-readiness is far from ideal. And their discipline could be better. But even the obviously biased inspection commission rated their combat-readiness as satisfactory. The 32,000 paratroopers are almost constantly in the middle of military operations, after all. Over the two years of war in Chechnya, four regimental tactical groups have taken turns being stationed there, and, until recently, the paratroops were responsible for peacekeeping operations in both the Balkans and Abkhazia. These tasks were given to the paratroops, however, because only they could quickly put together relatively combat-ready units. It’s also significant that the 76th paratroops division was selected for the Armed Forces’ experiment on setting up a division manned solely by professional soldiers. But if the paratroops are in a better state than the rest of the Armed Forces (the Defense Ministry knows this and uses the paratroops to patch up holes elsewhere), then why carry out an inspection and make paratroops officers nervous with talk of merging the paratroops with ground forces? There’s no rational explanation. The only answer is that head of the General Staff Anatoly Kvashnin, who hopes to become defense minister sooner or later, is busy trying to get all possible rivals out of the way. Kvashnin’s most obvious rivals in this respect are the most talented and respected generals. Everyone still remembers how Kvashnin berated the Strategic Missile Forces only because he considered their commander his rival. Kvashnin managed to convince President Vladimir Putin that the only permanently combat-ready branch of the Armed Forces should be scaled back even faster than the rate at which Russia’s missiles are coming to the end of their service lives. Kvashnin proposes that, of 19 divisions, only two will remain. This would deprive Russia of its nuclear parity with the United States and its main bargaining chip in negotiations with Washington. Now, paratroops commander Georgy Shpak is in Kvashnin’s firing line. Everything is heading towards the paratroops losing their independence. Meanwhile, it’s clear that the foundation of future armed forces won’t be the "heavy" mechanized divisions the General Staff persists in calling the "divisions of the 21st century," but mobile paratroops and light-infantry units. When Sergei Ivanov became defense minister a year ago after public disputes between Kvashnin and former Defense Minister Igor Sergeyev, many thought the quarrels in the Defense Ministry were over. Instead, however, Ivanov has found himself dragged into disputes between the generals. The main problem is that, with no clear reform program for the Armed Forces, officers, including top-level commanders, have no clear prospects for the future and give themselves over to fighting for their own personal ambitions instead. The generals are ready to sacrifice even the country’s last combat-ready units for the sake of these ambitions. *******